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Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 20 Oct 2014, 23:05
by ikorolev
Right, I am saying favorable things about undefeated fighters annihilating anybody put in front of them and being avoided by many. Shame on me for that.

Let's add that they are one of the most exciting boxers on the scene right now. See
http://boxrec.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=22&t=185890
or many other polls. Golovkin is more popular than Floyd, Ward and Hopkins together.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 20 Oct 2014, 23:09
by KBB
ikorolev wrote:Right, I am saying favorable things about undefeated fighters annihilating anybody put in front of them and being avoided by many. Shame on me for that.
Yes, you're right: he is undefeated but there aren't too many fighters out there in his class that probably wouldn't be against the competition that he has faced thus far. Sure he is avoided, I've stated that and it isn't his fault (well, kind of because he's knocking heads to the Moon) but you get my point.

Shame on you for overinflating him though.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 21 Oct 2014, 10:40
by black panther
Riddick Blowe wrote:
Extract your penis from Ward's anus for a second and understand how these two match up. Ward has some advantages yes. But they count for little in the ring against that style.
:lol: :lol: :lol:

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 21 Oct 2014, 10:53
by ikorolev
crusader, you will not be able persuade fergusg. He is one of those people who think that everything follows some formulas and those formulas are set in stone. He did not listen to your arguments about decisions and mistakes being made by people. He does not understand that broadcasters and other parties can operate with different margins for different events or that there are other considerations beside money received today.

If everything follows those formulas, how come one promoter was ready to pay 1.9 million to Quillin and Korobov while others were not willing more than 1.2 million ?

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 21 Oct 2014, 11:06
by Impractical Poster
Golovkin has been bringing out the big stars in his past couple fights. the man is definitely a huge draw and is only going to get bigger.

Popular guys don't always make the most money...at first. Once G has been on the scene as long as Ward, I'd bet he draws more money than him as well.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 21 Oct 2014, 12:48
by Freedom2013
Golovkin-Rubio Scores on HBO With 1.3 Million Rating

http://www.BS.com/golovkin-rub ... ing--83410

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 21 Oct 2014, 13:58
by ikorolev
Those tolerances, variances, etc. can be very wide. Money pocketed by networks, promoters, etc. can vary a lot.

Take yesterday's statement by Arum that Provodnikov can't get a decent opponent because his promoter (Pellulo or whoever that is) wants too much money. So, why can't you believe in a possiblity of HBO and K2 making significantly more money on Golovkin than on Ward (replacing K2 with Goossen Promotions) ?
Of course, we don't have an evidence, but there is no evidence of the contrary either.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 21 Oct 2014, 15:00
by crusader
fergusg wrote:
crusader wrote:
fergusg wrote: You may realise that the strength of the undercard, which consequently plays an important part of the financial aspect of staging such events, were seemingly stronger on the dates whereby the HBO viewership figures were high. This wasn't a mere coincidence, because this costs money.
The undercard for Golovkin-Stevens, a bout which drew more viewers than any Andre Ward fight, wasn't strong. Perez and Abdusalmov weren't high profile fighters and each of them were arguably outside the top 15 of the HW division. Likewise, the undercard for GGG-Macklin was unspectacular, featuring Willie Nelson, Luciano Cuello, Thomas Oosthuizen, and Brandon Gonzales, none of whom are popular or considered especially good. GGG-Geale, which had the lowest ratings of any GGG fight I listed, had in my opinion the best undercard with Jennings-Perez, as Jennings was coming off an impressive win on HBO and Perez was more established than he was when he first appeared on the network.
fergusg wrote: You’ll also notice something else that’s really interesting, the “planned” overall fight purses for both Golovkin-Geale ($750K + $600K) and Golovkin-Rubio ($900K + $450K) were both $1.35m. This wasn’t a coincidence, because this figure was budgeted and ultimately based on realistic expectations to generate income using anticipated market demand.

The problem is… if Golovkin’s popularity is increasing, with bigger gate receipts and better viewing figures, which could reach 1.4m HBO views for the Rubio bout, then why isn’t Gennady being paid more than $1m?

Well, the answer is simple… in order to help generate good viewing figures, they had to put together a stronger undercard for the Golovkin-Rubio fight, because the financials and HBO viewing figures for the Golovkin-Geale event was underwhelming.

The supporting bout for Golovkin-Geale was Jennings-Perez, who split a $190K fight purse. Whereas the Donaire-Walters contest, which was on the Golovkin-Rubio undercard, cost nearer the $500K mark.
I'm not sure how this supports your argument about the strength between a fighter's drawing power and their purses. I believe roughly $3 million was initially put forward for Ward-Rodriguez when Ward's previous bout drew 1.3 million viewers if I remember correctly, but if we look at GGG-Stevens we'll see that for the televised portion only about $1 million was paid in purses, yet the fight attracted 1.5 million viewers. Since the latter card pulled in more viewers for significantly less money, it seems like HBO either overpaid for Ward-Rod or underpaid for GGG-Stevens, especially considering that their next expenditure for a GGG card was significantly less than the $3 million they shelled out for Ward-Rod when the former's previous bout only did 1.3 million.

In the case of GGG-Rubio/Donaire-Walters there was only about $2 million paid out total. If the latter card pulls in higher or even similar ratings to the Ward bout, wouldn't that suggest that HBO again either overpaid for that Ward's last fight or underpaid for the GGG-Rubio card, since it attracted similar or better viewership numbers but less money was paid? And if HBO overpaid or underpaid, doesn't that mean that purses don't necessarily equate to drawing power?

You also mention 'expectations', but it's possible for those to be incorrect, and this thread was directed towards the fighters' actual and current drawing power and not what someone previously predicted it to be.
fergusg wrote: It seems to be a rather silly notion to refuse to believe that economics does not influence the size of a fighters’ payday, especially considering the finances are ultimately funded by market demand.

Boxing is a business, which means that TV networks and promoters won’t fund massive paydays out of the goodness of their own hearts. They will only stage such costly events when there’s a realistic prospect of earning a profit. I really don’t know why you won’t acknowledge this fact!
Why do I need to acknowledge something that is so obvious? The issue here isn't whether networks and promoters stage events to eventually make a profit, but their more specific thinking behind that. For example, one may pay a fighter a lofty purse because they want to secure them for their network and reap longer term returns rather than being narrowly focused on the returns they'll get from one card. Or, as was the case with Bradley-Casamayor, they may also promise a fighter a large purse for a future bout to persuade that fighter into taking a certain fight--whose viewership is yet to be determined--before that. Moreover, all of these decisions are made by error-prone humans who could by flawed reasoning, inaccurate expectations or other reasons make poor business decisions that result in a fighter being overpaid and therefore less than optimal returns. You do know that people can make flawed decisions?

So, Ward may be earning twice the amount that GGG is earning but there are many factors which could explain that other than his actual drawing power (i.e. ability to attract viewers). I think the best evidence as to how much of a draw someone is in this case are TV viewership, gate figures, and attendance if the latter is not available. Looking at that GGG and Ward have done similar numbers with GGG's generally rising and his highest rated fight doing better numbers than Ward's, and I see nothing to suggest that Ward earning so much more is a reflection of a commensurate advantage in drawing power.
It seems clear that you’re going to argue against every single point I make, regardless as to whether you sincerely believe the things you type are true or not… and that’s clearly your prerogative to do so.

Whilst I’m willing to concede that there are exceptions to every rule… and that the proverbial “big picture” may sometimes be dictated by political manoeuvring, which may explain unusual situations… the fact remains, is that the biggest draws in the sport usually earn the biggest fight purses.

The main reason why certain fighters gain a bigger payday than others do, is because they have a fan-base that are willing to invest in them, which consequently results in bigger gate receipts and network views.

Promoters and TV networks won’t fund large paydays if the market demand is not there. So if fighter “A” consistently earns paydays that are usually far more than double those earned by fighter “B”, then it’s usually because there is a greater market demand from the paying public to see fighter “A”… and it is also economically viable to fund such purses.

Unfortunately, us fight fans are not privy to all the financial statements for the TV networks, promoters and the fighters themselves, which means it’s nigh on impossible to accurately quantify our theories.

That being said, assuming the fight purses that have been communicated to the media ring true, then the figures realised by Gennady Golovkin are unremarkable.

I use basic economics to justify my belief that Andre Ward is the bigger overall draw than Gennady Golovin, which is supported by the fact that he has earned more than $3.5m in his previous two fights, which is 47% more than what Golovkin has earned in the combined total of his last four contests… and there has to be commercial reason for this.

No one can say for certain if Andre Ward’s popularity has diminished, due to inactivity, because he is often seen on TV in his role as one of HBO’s expert commentators. So I doubt that sitting on the side-lines has had such a detrimental effect on the size of his fan-base.
Right, so your argument is that Ward is currently a bigger draw because he gets paid more, but you acknowledge that drawing power is only one factor influencing purses and several examples have been adduced of fighters earning purses which evidence suggests were incommensurate with their drawing power at the time. The facts are that the attendance (can't find gate, though I suspect it's highly related) and TV viewership numbers for Ward and GGG's recent (and this is used loosely for Ward) HBO fights are:

GGG TV averages--1.3m, 984k, 1.4m, 1.1m
Ward TV averages--1m, 1.3m

GGG attendance--9923, 8572, 4618 (two seats short of sellout just for interest's sake), can't find Macklin figures
Ward attendance--4158, 8500

So, to assess their current drawing power we can look at strong evidence of how many people they're drawing, or we can simply bypass this and just assume that if someone's being paid more than another fighter that must reflect disparities in drawing power even though there are plenty of reasons why it wouldn't. I'll go with the figures, which don't suggest that Ward has anything close to the drawing power to justify a purse that is 2x larger than GGG's. These figures and the total TV purse expenditures also suggest that recently Ward has been overpaid and/or there has been underpayment for GGG's cards given that about $2-$3 million was paid out for Ward's last two fights, while less was paid out for cards in which GGG attracted about as many or more viewers. Can you explain how that wouldn't be the case given the figures?

Moreover, the thread was about current drawing power and I think Ward's stock has fallen since he fought Dawson (then a P4P rated fighter who has been an HBO A-side several times) while GGG's has generally been rising. The glow of Ward's SS win three years ago has faded in my view and it seems like he may be inactive for quite a while still.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 26 Oct 2014, 22:46
by ikorolev

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 27 Oct 2014, 15:57
by crusader
By your own admission, you’re not in possession of all the facts
Just like the overwhelming majority of people aren't. Are you in possession of all the facts?
so you cannot provide any categorical evidence to back-up your belief that there isn’t a correlation between popularity (market demand) and the size of a fighters’ payday.
I never claimed that there isn't a correlation between popularity and purse sizes. Please point me to where I claim that no correlation exists and read my posts more closely next time.

A correlation, even a very strong one, still leaves the possibilities of cases which don't correspond with the general relationship between the factors. My main point was that there are other factors involved in how much a fighter is paid, and you already agreed with this.
Fighters will only attract big fight purses when the promoters feel that it is economically viable to offer such large paydays
First, you've claimed this repeatedly and I've addressed it extensively. Second, someone can feel (and feeling that something is the case doesn't mean that it is) that something is economically viable yet still overpay or underpay. For example, it would be economically viable to pay a total of $50k to stage a card that will return $200k, just as it would be economically viable to pay $100k for the same card. Someone may also think that something is economically viable yet in the long run but take a loss in the short-term because they think it will eventually be worthwhile---this is seen all the time in business.

Roughly $3 million was paid for Ward-Rod, a bout whose average viewership was 1 million on a card whose attendance was 4k, while only about $2 million was paid for the GGG-Rubio card, whose average viewership was 1.3 million on a card with nearly 10k in attendance. Likewise, roughly only $1 million was paid for GGG-Stevens, and it attracted an average of 1.4 million with 4.6k in attendance. I believe only around $1 million was paid for GGG-Macklin, and even that fight did better viewing figures than Ward-Rodriguez.

I posted this before and you skirted around the question, so perhaps you can now read this paragraph and answer the question posed near the end:
So, to assess their current drawing power we can look at strong evidence of how many people they're drawing, or we can simply bypass this and just assume that if someone's being paid more than another fighter that must reflect disparities in drawing power even though there are plenty of reasons why it wouldn't. I'll go with the figures, which don't suggest that Ward has anything close to the drawing power to justify a purse that is 2x larger than GGG's. These figures and the total purse expenditures also suggest that recently Ward has been overpaid and/or there has been underpayment for GGG's cards given that about $2-$3 million was paid out for Ward's last two fights, while less was paid out for cards in which GGG attracted about as many or more viewers. Can you explain how that wouldn't be the case given the figures?
And if overpayment and underpayment based on viewership/attendance/gate occur, logically purses don't always correspond precisely to actual drawing power at the time.

------
By the way, Golovkin-Rubio (staged in California) attracted 1.3m HBO views because the chief support bout had a Californian native competing on the undercard (i.e. Nonito Donaire was paid a lofty sum of $400K to fight Walters).
It seems like Donaire-Walters could help the ratings, but can you offer 'categorical evidence' of the particular impact it had? As for that 'lofty sum', there was still only $1.8 million paid out to the fighters televised on the main broadcast, which is well short of the roughly $3 million paid to Ward and Rodriguez for a fight that had lower ratings and attendance. I've mentioned this multiple times but you haven't specifically addressed these figures.
Similarly, one of the main reasons why Golovkin’s bout against Stevens attracted 1.4m HBO viewers, was because this fight was staged in New York and GGG was defending his title against a New York native.
Again, where is the 'categorical evidence' of your claim? Even if that helped attract viewers, can you give me evidence of the extent of it? Was it greater than any boost Ward-Dawson got from Dawson being an HBO A-side several times?
The other fights televised by HBO that Golovkin was involved in, generated the following HBO viewing figures, which were considered at the time to be less than stellar:
• Gregorz Proksa (Sept. 1, 2012): 685,000
• Gabriel Rosado (Jan. 19, 2013): 813,000
• Matthew Macklin (June 29, 2013): 1.1 million
• Daniel Geale (July 26, 2014): 984,000
These numbers support the suggestion that GGG's stock is rising. His viewership has generally increased, three of his last four HBO bouts did better numbers than Ward's last fight, I can only find one example of any Ward fight doing better numbers than those three bouts, and GGG's highest rated fight drew more viewers than Ward's; this is hardly evidence that Ward's drawing power merits purses that are multiple times larger. The topic of this thread was about current drawing power, not drawing power a few years back when Ward was relatively fresh off his Super Six win and GGG was a new face on a major American network.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 28 Oct 2014, 10:48
by Baby Face Finster
Checkmate!

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 28 Oct 2014, 12:55
by BAD INTENTIONS
After you TV execs finish discussing which one of "your guys" is the bigger draw, perhaps you can address the real question ... who would win?

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 28 Oct 2014, 15:53
by crusader
I’ve already posted a tonne of information on this forum, much moreso than you have. So my opinion is at least as valid as yours, because I’ve done more research on this than you have.
Whether you've posted more information is debatable and not the issue. You conveyed to me that I don't know all the facts and thus I can't provide 'categorical evidence' of my position, but the same applies to you.
The main factor is money… so any tolerances with typical behaviour will be trivial.
First, as I asked in my last post please indicate out where I suggest that no correlation exists between purse size and demand. Second, while money is the main factor that doesn't mean that those who pay the purses look at every bout in a vacuum or always make optimal decisions. That means that the purse a boxer receives for certain bouts need not correspond precisely to their drawing power at that time, which could explain how someone gets paid more than someone else who is then a better draw.
If what you say is true, which it clearly isn’t… then Team Golovkin have the capability to award high-profile opponents more than $2.5m to face their man, but the biggest fight purse they’ve offered to-date is merely$600K.
What isn't true? Do some research and you'll see that on multiple instances (the ones I mentioned) there has been less paid for GGG cards than for individual Ward bouts, yet GGG's bouts returned higher ratings.

I'll post it again:

Roughly $3 million was paid for Ward-Rod, a bout whose average viewership was 1 million on a card whose attendance was 4k, while only about $2 million was paid for the bouts televised on the main HBO broadcast, with GGG-Rubio averaging 1.3 million viewers on a card with nearly 10k in attendance. Likewise, roughly only $1 million was paid for the GGG-Stevens card, which was attended by 4.6k people and obviously featured the GGG-Stevens bout which averaged 1.4 million viewers (higher numbers than Ward-Dawson as well, which paid about 2x more purses). Only around $1 million was paid for the GGG-Macklin card and $650k for the main event, and even that fight did better viewing figures than the $3 million Ward-Rodriguez.
So one of two things could apply here, either:
• I’m talking nonsense about revenue generation driving the size of fight purses, which doesn’t only come from TV viewers, but also advertising revenue, gate receipts etc., which means that Team Golovkin have repeatedly lied about not being able to afford to fund the big paydays that the top-tier world-class opponents have demanded in order to face their man… OR…
• Everything I say is 100% accurate and Gennady Golovkin isn’t a big draw… and the reason for GGG receiving small paydays in comparison to his rivals, is because he really isn’t that big a draw!
False dichotomy.
I’ve provided a tonne of evidence on this already… learn to read! Also, see my previous bullet-pointed comments.
I've addressed the numbers you've offered, so how about addressing those points I've raised in relation to the evidence I've posted? You're very reluctant to answerer the questions I've asked about the money paid compared to viewership attracted and it makes me think that you recognize holes in your argument. You say that you've provided abundant evidence but how does that evidence relate to the figures I've presented?
Alternatively, they may have peaked after the Curtis Stevens fight, because having Nonito Donaire may have exaggerated GGG’s popularity somewhat. I doubt HBO would have achieved 1.3m viewers for the Rubio fight without him?
Fluctuation is normal and general patterns are more informative. Throughout his time on HBO his numbers have steadily risen and he achieved his second highest rating in his most recent bout. Also, since this is a comparison to Ward's drawing power I can note:

1. Ward's numbers in his last fight fell from his career peak of 1.3 for the 2012 Dawson fight.
2. Here you seem to consider TV viewership a proxy for popularity and since being on HBO GGG has generally had higher TV viewership than Ward has, with three of his last four bouts doing better by that measure than Ward's last bout, those three bouts doing better than I believe any Ward fight apart from Dawson, and GGG's highest rated fight drawing more viewers than Ward's.
3. Dawson was an HBO A-side for several bouts over multiple years and generally seen as a top 10 P4P fighter when he fought Ward, which I suspect helped the numbers for Ward-Dawson. You only mention the possible opponent-based boosts GGG's received, but I think there is a good chance that Ward has benefited similarly.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 28 Oct 2014, 16:36
by ikorolev
crusader wrote: 3. Dawson was an HBO A-side for several bouts over multiple years and generally seen as a top 10 P4P fighter when he fought Ward, which I suspect helped the numbers for Ward-Dawson. You only mention the possible opponent-based boosts GGG's received, but I think there is a good chance that Ward has benefited similarly.
fergusg is a type of a "scientist" who tries to make facts fit his theory versus the other way around. Facts which don't fit are getting omitted/dismissed.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 28 Oct 2014, 17:55
by crusader
BAD INTENTIONS wrote:After you TV execs finish discussing which one of "your guys" is the bigger draw, perhaps you can address the real question ... who would win?
Who is a bigger draw is no less a question than who would win, which has it's own thread here somewhere.

I didn't know that looking up a few viewership figures and spending probably less than an hour over a week discussing relative drawing power made someone a TV exec. Is it that easy nowadays?

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 28 Oct 2014, 18:09
by Baby Face Finster
fergusg wrote:You probably don’t have the intellect to play chess! Why don’t you stick to your Fisher Price toys instead? :OhYes: :lol: :lol: :lol: :TU:
Oh I know how to play chess, I simply don't play with trolls like you. Now take your egotism and shove it straight up your ass.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 28 Oct 2014, 21:57
by KBB
The true test of Gennady's popularity with numbers of viewers will come if he ever makes it to the level of $69 PPVs where he is fighting a nobody or a fighter that no one really cares to see him fight, then let's see what his numbers are.

Pacquiao has managed to keep his numbers somewhere around 500K PPV buy fighting smaller guys that no one really wanted to see him fight but he has not had a 1 million plus PPV in a long time, sure anyone will line up to watch GGG for relatively free (cost of your monthly cable subscription) but who is going to be paying those hefty PPV prices once he starts to headline major bouts and for how long will they buy them??

Ward will never be a PPV star, he has no charisma, personality or KO ability.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 29 Oct 2014, 09:10
by tiny_acres
fergusg wrote:
crusader wrote:
So one of two things could apply here, either:
• I’m talking nonsense about revenue generation driving the size of fight purses, which doesn’t only come from TV viewers, but also advertising revenue, gate receipts etc., which means that Team Golovkin have repeatedly lied about not being able to afford to fund the big paydays that the top-tier world-class opponents have demanded in order to face their man… OR…
• Everything I say is 100% accurate and Gennady Golovkin isn’t a big draw… and the reason for GGG receiving small paydays in comparison to his rivals, is because he really isn’t that big a draw!
False dichotomy.
Have you used the poetic phrase “false dichotomy” as a weak attempt to refuse to address a valid point, one which you have no answer for?

I’m not letting you get away with that comment so easily! :lol: :lol: :lol:

The total fight purses for Andre Ward’s previous two bouts were $5.1m, with the equivalent figures for Golovkin’s fights against Geale and Rubio supplying a combined grand total of $2.7m.

So assuming your argument rings true… Why isn’t Golovkin being paid more (he's earning less than half the sums being paid to most of his pound-for-pound rivals)? Why does the boxing media and Golovkins' rivals claim that they aren’t being offered enough money to fight him? Why did Rubio only receive $450K (before the $100K deduction) for facing GGG, but Rodriguez (originally) received $1m to fight Ward?

You simply can’t have your cake and eat it! :OhYes:

Either Golovkin really is “a bigger draw” than Andre Ward, which means that Team Golovkin have been lying about the apparent lack of funds to attract top-tier world-class opposition to fight him… or the current cost of promoting GGG’s fights means that there is very little money in the pot left to pay for the big name fighters to share the ring with him… so which one is it?

Simply put: if “Golovkin is a bigger draw than Ward”, then there should be money to fund fights against big name opponents! :neutral:
My theory on GGG's purses being so poor is a direct effect of K2 promotions being crap promoters.
GGG is the future of K2 but they are doing nothing to push him into the main stream.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 29 Oct 2014, 09:17
by lefty
crusader wrote:
BAD INTENTIONS wrote:After you TV execs finish discussing which one of "your guys" is the bigger draw, perhaps you can address the real question ... who would win?
Who is a bigger draw is no less a question than who would win, which has it's own thread here somewhere.

I didn't know that looking up a few viewership figures and spending probably less than an hour over a week discussing relative drawing power made someone a TV exec. Is it that easy nowadays?
To be honest, I doubt being a tv exec is exactly rocket science at the best times. It's just good business acumen and knowing the market/industry well.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 29 Oct 2014, 10:41
by Purse Bid Shakedown
fergusg wrote:By the way, here’s something to think about… The total fight purse for the Abraham-Stieglitz fight in March was $3,135,000 meaning Stieglitz as champion received 75% of the bid $2,351,250, whereas Abraham received the remaining $783,750. King Arthur is now the champion and is once again commanding multi-million dollar paydays.

So I’ve supplied a tonne of figures relating to fight purses recently earned by Golovkin’s super-middleweight rivals (Abraham, Stieglitz, Ward & Froch)… and they are all massively greater than the two biggest fight purses earned by GGG (i.e. $900K versus Rubio & $750K versus Geale). :lol: :lol: :lol:

Wasn’t Darren Barker paid $1.7m to face Felix Sturm?

Miguel Cotto received $7m to face Sergio Martinez, who received $1.5m.

Canelo earned $1.5m to fight Lara, who himself earned $1m.

The more I keep researching paydays for fighters held in lower regard than Golovkin, the more surprised I am at the stats!
That's cause you're a stubborn idiot. Everybody's telling you that, can they all be wrong?

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 29 Oct 2014, 14:58
by crusader
First let me point out that you conveniently replied only to one small portion of my post, and yet again refused to answer the questions I addressed to you, which is a common feature of weak argumentation.

Additionally, my central argument throughout this discussion has been that drawing power and purse sizes don't always correspond precisely and that the disparity between Ward and GGG's purses must be explained by other factors than drawing power. Rather than chiefly supporting your counterargument with viewership figures showing that Ward's ability to draw viewers is significantly better than GGG's, your main line of evidence seems to be purses and the ill-supported assumption that since GGG is paid less, he's not a bigger draw. Since that validity of that assumption is also the key point we've been debating, your arguments are plagued by circularity and do little to persuade me.
Have you used the poetic phrase “false dichotomy” as a weak attempt to refuse to address a valid point, one which you have no answer for?

Either Golovkin really is “a bigger draw” than Andre Ward, which means that Team Golovkin have been lying about the apparent lack of funds to attract top-tier world-class opposition to fight him… or the current cost of promoting GGG’s fights means that there is very little money in the pot left to pay for the big name fighters to share the ring with him… so which one is it?
I've made several posts outlining my positions, providing evidence for those positions, and responding to your claims, and I posted 'false dichotomy'--which is still a response to your argument-- not because I could think of no other way to pick apart that aspect of your post, but because you've listed two options as if they were the only possibilities when there is a range of several more possible explanations. If you've read my posts carefully you should know that I could easily pick another option based on my comments that drawing power is only one factor influencing purse size. Golovkin may be a big draw (refuting your first option, which is flawed because it assumes a questionable relationship between drawing power and purse size that hasn't been shown to uniformly exist) while still not bringing in the type of money, at least in the past, to attract even bigger draws and money makers who will likely want larger purses than usual due to the risk involved (refuting you second option). That you think you've covered the gamut of possibilities suggests to me that you're seeing the matter simplistically.
I’m not letting you get away with that comment so easily! :lol: :lol: :lol:
I think it's ironic that you jump on me for giving a brief response to one of your arguments amidst a generally detailed reply to your post when you failed to respond to all but two words of my last post. I enjoy debating and addressing your arguments, so I have no problem elaborating. You, on the other hand, continue to dodge the questions I ask and are now reduced to quoting only two words that I posted.
Simply put: if “Golovkin is a bigger draw than Ward”, then there should be money to fund fights against big name opponents! :neutral:
Not that simple. I've already given plenty of evidence that GGG's bouts attract more viewers than Ward's despite the latter being paid significantly more. You've also posted examples of people such as Lara who don't have comparable drawing power to GGG but were paid more than his career-high purse. The numbers in this case clearly suggest that drawing power and purse size don't precisely correspond.
The total fight purses for Andre Ward’s previous two bouts were $5.1m, with the equivalent figures for Golovkin’s fights against Geale and Rubio supplying a combined grand total of $2.7m.

So assuming your argument rings true… Why isn’t Golovkin being paid more (he's earning less than half the sums being paid to most of his pound-for-pound rivals)? Why does the boxing media and Golovkins' rivals claim that they aren’t being offered enough money to fight him? Why did Rubio only receive $450K (before the $100K deduction) for facing GGG, but Rodriguez (originally) received $1m to fight Ward?
I'm not privy to all information, but what's clear is that someone is forking out more money for Ward's bouts even though GGG regularly attracts more viewers. One reason may be that people at HBO see Ward, or saw him at one time, as someone with superstar potential--perhaps a future Floyd--based on his impressive ability, accomplishments, and possibly him being American rather than someone from the former USSR who speaks rudimentary English. Therefore they paid him very well to lure him away from Showtime and start developing his stardom. That means that they're still concerned with making a profit, but do not assess each of his fights in a vacuum and instead take a longer term perspective. Moreover, that Ward is earning significantly more does not necessarily suggest that GGG is being underpaid relative to his drawing power; it seems like it's more a case of Ward being overpaid when his purse sizes are juxtaposed with the viewing figures for his bouts.

On that note, we can speculate on the reasons why Ward is paid more but what we can't speculate on those viewing numbers. Since we've been debating the relationship between drawing power and purse size in a specific set of cases, the two boxers' purses cannot be adduced as evidence of their drawing power as doing so would be circular reasoning, something you've been guilty of throughout this thread. Drawing power is a boxer's ability to attract viewers, so TV viewership and attendance are the best available evidence of that quality:

1. Three of GGG's fights are higher rated than every Ward fight apart from Dawson.
2. GGG's highest rated fight is rated higher than Ward's.
3. The attendance for GGG's last two US fights were nearly 9923k and 8572k, while Ward's last two drew 4158k and 8500k.
4. Ward's peak numbers occurred against a multiple-time HBO and Showtime A-side who was coming off a win on HBO against Bernard Hopkins. GGG's peak numbers came against someone with significantly less exposure than Dawson who had never headlined a major HBO or Showtime card and was coming off a win on NBC Sports against Saul Roman.
5. Ward's fight with Dawson was in 2012 when he was relatively fresh off his Super Six win. The glow of him winning that tournament has faded, he's been very inactive, and his numbers for his last fight weren't very good. Since this is about current drawing power, his one standout rating against Dawson--which is still lower than GGG's best rating--is losing relevance.

I think these figures suggest that GGG is currently a bigger draw, and I don't see how they provide evidence to the contrary, let alone to the argument that Ward holds an advantage that is commensurate to him receiving purses over 2x the size of GGG's.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 29 Oct 2014, 18:04
by Purse Bid Shakedown
fergusg wrote:
crusader wrote:First let me point out that you conveniently replied only to one small portion of my post, and yet again refused to answer the questions I addressed to you, which is a common feature of weak argumentation.

Additionally, my central argument throughout this discussion has been that drawing power and purse sizes don't always correspond precisely and that the disparity between Ward and GGG's purses must be explained by other factors than drawing power. Rather than chiefly supporting your counterargument with viewership figures showing that Ward's ability to draw viewers is significantly better than GGG's, your main line of evidence seems to be purses and the ill-supported assumption that since GGG is paid less, he's not a bigger draw. Since that validity of that assumption is also the key point we've been debating, your arguments are plagued by circularity and do little to persuade me.
Have you used the poetic phrase “false dichotomy” as a weak attempt to refuse to address a valid point, one which you have no answer for?

Either Golovkin really is “a bigger draw” than Andre Ward, which means that Team Golovkin have been lying about the apparent lack of funds to attract top-tier world-class opposition to fight him… or the current cost of promoting GGG’s fights means that there is very little money in the pot left to pay for the big name fighters to share the ring with him… so which one is it?
I've made several posts outlining my positions, providing evidence for those positions, and responding to your claims, and I posted 'false dichotomy'--which is still a response to your argument-- not because I could think of no other way to pick apart that aspect of your post, but because you've listed two options as if they were the only possibilities when there is a range of several more possible explanations. If you've read my posts carefully you should know that I could easily pick another option based on my comments that drawing power is only one factor influencing purse size. Golovkin may be a big draw (refuting your first option, which is flawed because it assumes a questionable relationship between drawing power and purse size that hasn't been shown to uniformly exist) while still not bringing in the type of money, at least in the past, to attract even bigger draws and money makers who will likely want larger purses than usual due to the risk involved (refuting you second option). That you think you've covered the gamut of possibilities suggests to me that you're seeing the matter simplistically.
I’m not letting you get away with that comment so easily! :lol: :lol: :lol:
I think it's ironic that you jump on me for giving a brief response to one of your arguments amidst a generally detailed reply to your post when you failed to respond to all but two words of my last post. I enjoy debating and addressing your arguments, so I have no problem elaborating. You, on the other hand, continue to dodge the questions I ask and are now reduced to quoting only two words that I posted.
Simply put: if “Golovkin is a bigger draw than Ward”, then there should be money to fund fights against big name opponents! :neutral:
Not that simple. I've already given plenty of evidence that GGG's bouts attract more viewers than Ward's despite the latter being paid significantly more. You've also posted examples of people such as Lara who don't have comparable drawing power to GGG but were paid more than his career-high purse. The numbers in this case clearly suggest that drawing power and purse size don't precisely correspond.
The total fight purses for Andre Ward’s previous two bouts were $5.1m, with the equivalent figures for Golovkin’s fights against Geale and Rubio supplying a combined grand total of $2.7m.

So assuming your argument rings true… Why isn’t Golovkin being paid more (he's earning less than half the sums being paid to most of his pound-for-pound rivals)? Why does the boxing media and Golovkins' rivals claim that they aren’t being offered enough money to fight him? Why did Rubio only receive $450K (before the $100K deduction) for facing GGG, but Rodriguez (originally) received $1m to fight Ward?
I'm not privy to all information, but what's clear is that someone is forking out more money for Ward's bouts even though GGG regularly attracts more viewers. One reason may be that people at HBO see Ward, or saw him at one time, as someone with superstar potential--perhaps a future Floyd--based on his impressive ability, accomplishments, and possibly him being American rather than someone from the former USSR who speaks rudimentary English. Therefore they paid him very well to lure him away from Showtime and start developing his stardom. That means that they're still concerned with making a profit, but do not assess each of his fights in a vacuum and instead take a longer term perspective. Moreover, that Ward is earning significantly more does not necessarily suggest that GGG is being underpaid relative to his drawing power; it seems like it's more a case of Ward being overpaid when his purse sizes are juxtaposed with the viewing figures for his bouts.

On that note, we can speculate on the reasons why Ward is paid more but what we can't speculate on those viewing numbers. Since we've been debating the relationship between drawing power and purse size in a specific set of cases, the two boxers' purses cannot be adduced as evidence of their drawing power as doing so would be circular reasoning, something you've been guilty of throughout this thread. Drawing power is a boxer's ability to attract viewers, so TV viewership and attendance are the best available evidence of that quality:

1. Three of GGG's fights are higher rated than every Ward fight apart from Dawson.
2. GGG's highest rated fight is rated higher than Ward's.
3. The attendance for GGG's last two US fights were nearly 9923k and 8572k, while Ward's last two drew 4158k and 8500k.
4. Ward's peak numbers occurred against a multiple-time HBO and Showtime A-side who was coming off a win on HBO against Bernard Hopkins. GGG's peak numbers came against someone with significantly less exposure than Dawson who had never headlined a major HBO or Showtime card and was coming off a win on NBC Sports against Saul Roman.
5. Ward's fight with Dawson was in 2012 when he was relatively fresh off his Super Six win. The glow of him winning that tournament has faded, he's been very inactive, and his numbers for his last fight weren't very good. Since this is about current drawing power, his one standout rating against Dawson--which is still lower than GGG's best rating--is losing relevance.

I think these figures suggest that GGG is currently a bigger draw, and I don't see how they provide evidence to the contrary, let alone to the argument that Ward holds an advantage that is commensurate to him receiving purses over 2x the size of GGG's.
That’s a very long and impressively articulated post, but once again, you omit some really pertinent points, namely…
• The reason why Golovkin achieved 1.3m HBO viewers and attracted such a large Californian audience for the Rubio contest, was because Nonito Donaire was on the undercard.
• Whilst it’s impossible to quantify, but New York Natives, challenging for world titles in New York, somehow attract good viewing figures, which may partially explain the reason why Golovkin-Stevens achieved 1.4m HBO views.
• With the exception of the Stevens & Rubio bouts, Golovkin’s average viewing figures are far less than one million.
• Only two of Andre Ward’s most recent fights were televised by HBO (Chad Dawson = 1.3m & Edwin Rodriguez = 1.2m), the Froch (580K) & Abraham (610K) fights were televised by Showtime. If you don’t understand the reason why Showtime enjoys a smaller audience than HBO, then you really do have no right in being involved in this argument! By the way, notice the HBO average?

So once again, the points you are arguing are irrelevant!

Please do some thinking and re-articulate your argument, because your previous attempt was astonishingly weak!

Also, please remember that volume never trumps quality, so try to be concise next time!
Lol this is rich coming from a long winded troll like you. Listen sh1t fro brains, Donaire is not a draw. His live attendance and tv ratings are average at best. This show was a sellout before Donaire was ever added to the card.

But the most important takeaway is that a larger purse does not mean better draw. This is clear if you follow boxing. If not, you got plenty of examples in this thread. Understand finally?

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 29 Oct 2014, 18:30
by KBB
Being a draw on regular cable is not a measure of what it'll be like to headline a PPV card, I'll wait and reserve my judgment on Gennady to see how much HBO really believes in him once he lines up 60 to 70 dollar PPVs that draw one million plus.

I haven't seen anyone coming close to doing over 700K other than Floyd Mayweather.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 29 Oct 2014, 19:10
by crusader
First, let me start with some quick questions I hope you answer:

The licensing fee for Ward-Rod, which followed $2m being paid to Ward and Dawson for a bout that drew 1.3m, was a whopping $3.15m yet the fight drew fewer viewers (1,029,333; your figure of 1.2m was closer to the peak of 1.19m) than GGG-Macklin (1.1m), GGG-Rubio (1.3m), and GGG-Stevens (1.4m) did, all of which were less costly even when you account for the undercards. Can you explain how that is anything but a case of overpayment or underpayment, or both, and if overpayment or underpaid occurred doesn't that mean that we can't assume that one's purses correspond precisely with their drawing power at the time?
The reason why Golovkin achieved 1.3m HBO viewers and attracted such a large Californian audience for the Rubio contest, was because Nonito Donaire was on the undercard.

Whilst it’s impossible to quantify, but New York Natives, challenging for world titles in New York, somehow attract good viewing figures, which may partially explain the reason why Golovkin-Stevens achieved 1.4m HBO views.
What evidence do you have that Donaire was the reason for those ratings, and that he was any more a boost to the them than Dawson was to the figure his fight with Ward did? Likewise, do you have evidence that the fight did disproportionately well in NY compared to other GGG fights? Do you have evidence that Stevens, who isn't a high-profile fighter compared to the likes of Chad Dawson, was more of a boost than Dawson was?

We can speculate about all that, but what isn't speculation is that GGG's highest rated fight did better than Ward's, and that three of GGG's last four bouts have done better ratings than all but one of Ward's.
With the exception of the Stevens & Rubio bouts, Golovkin’s average viewing figures are far less than one million.
Why not exclude Ward's fight with Dawson since the later had been an A-side on major networks multiple times and was fairly well-known to boxing fans? Besides, this thread and conversation wasn't about GGG's drawing power two years ago, but how it relates to Ward's now. Three of GGG's last four HBO bouts have done 1.1+ million while Ward's last bout drew only 1.0m even though the licensing fee was a grandiose $3.15m.
Only two of Andre Ward’s most recent fights were televised by HBO (Chad Dawson = 1.3m & Edwin Rodriguez = 1.2m), the Froch (580K) & Abraham (610K) fights were televised by Showtime. If you don’t understand the reason why Showtime enjoys a smaller audience than HBO, then you really do have no right in being involved in this argument! By the way, notice the HBO average?
You listed the peak for the Rodriguez bout which was actually just under 1.2m. The average viewership, which is what I've been using for each figure I posted, was 1,029,333 and thus lower than the ratings for three of GGG's last four HBO fights. Showtime has a smaller audience, but GGG has done better numbers even on HBO so I don't see much basis there for saying he's less of a draw than Ward. Moreover, it shouldn't matter too much that HBO is in more households because more people still watch it's programming and demand in TV terms is manifested through more people turning in. Hence, if GGG is drawing significantly bigger audiences on HBO than Ward was on Showtime and purses so closely correspond to revenue generation, GGG should've been making significantly more than Ward was during his Showtime tenure, yet that wasn't the case.
So once again, the points you are arguing are irrelevant!
They're very relevant.
Please do some thinking and re-articulate your argument, because your previous attempt was astonishingly weak!
I thought it was pretty good. What is weak is failing to continually address the questions someone poses and cherry picking two words from a much more extensive post.
Also, please remember that volume never trumps quality, so try to be concise next time!
Try not conflating concision with shortness. Concision is conveying one's point without needless words and figures, but if one is responding to several points it's quite likely that a concise response won't be a short one.

Re: Golovkin is a bigger draw in California than Ward

Posted: 29 Oct 2014, 22:01
by Purse Bid Shakedown
fergusg wrote:
crusader wrote:The licensing fee for Ward-Rod, which followed $2m being paid to Ward and Dawson for a bout that drew 1.3m, was a whopping $3.15m yet the fight drew fewer viewers (1,029,333; your figure of 1.2m was closer to the peak of 1.19m) than GGG-Macklin (1.1m), GGG-Rubio (1.3m), and GGG-Stevens (1.4m)...
If you’re going to try to force me to ask questions, at least use an accurate premise.

Here are the average HBO viewing figures for Gennady Golovkin’s last four fights (average figures quoted by Dan Rafael using data supplied by Nielsen):
• Rubio = 1.304m
• Geale = 984K
• Stevens = 1.41m
• Macklin = 1.097m

Here are Andre Ward’s only HBO viewing figures (average figures quoted by Dan Rafael using data supplied by Nielsen):
• Edwin Rodriguez = 1.2m (peaked at 1.3m)
• Chad Dawson = 1.3m
crusader wrote:What evidence do you have that Donaire was the reason for those [Golovkin-Rubio] ratings...
I keep on having to copy and paste the same posts time-and-time again... and it’s getting really tedious:
fergusg wrote:Here are the facts:
• The Gennady Golovkin & Marco Antonio Rubio contest was staged in the US state of California.
• Gennady Golovkin & Marco Antonio Rubio had NEVER EVER fought in the state of California prior to the 18th October, 2014.
• Nonito Donaire had fought in California 13 times and it was his third time that he fought in Carson (the location of Golovkin-Rubio).
• Nonito Donaire grew up in California, got married there and currently lives there.
• Nonito Donaire is a popular fighter, because his fights against Arce, Rigondeaux & Darchinyan attracted 1.3m, 1.1m & 1m HBO viewers respectively.
• The supporting bout for Golovkin-Geale was Jennings-Perez, who split a $190K fight purse, with the HBO figures bringing in a disappointing 984K viewers.
• The supporting bout for Golovkin-Rubio was Donaire-Walters, who split a $575K fight purse, which drew 1.3m HBO viewers.
• Almost 1.2m HBO viewers watched the Donaire versus Walters fight.
• An average of 714K HBO viewers watched the Jennings-Perez supporting bout.

So do you really believe that HBO paying a big name Californian resident (Nonito Donaire) a massive purse to be involved in the supporting bout of Golovkin-Rubio, which was coincidentally staged in California, played no part whatsoever in the commercial success of the Golovkin-Rubio contest, when the fighters involved in the main event had NEVER EVER fought in that US state before?
crusader wrote:
With the exception of the Stevens & Rubio bouts, Golovkin’s average viewing figures are far less than one million.
Why not exclude Ward's fight with Dawson since the later had been an A-side on major networks multiple times and was fairly well-known to boxing fans? Besides, this thread and conversation wasn't about GGG's drawing power two years ago, but how it relates to Ward's now. Three of GGG's last four HBO bouts have done 1.1+ million while Ward's last bout drew only 1.0m…
As I’ve already stated, "with the exception of the Stevens & Rubio bouts, Golovkin’s average viewing figures are far less than one million" (i.e. 895,500).

The figure you’ve dishonestly quoted for the Ward-Rodriguez fight was well short of the actual numbers quoted by Nielsen (i.e. average of 1.2m, with a peak of 1.3m).

To be honest, I’m not a big fan of arguing with people who choose to either misquote statistics as a dishonest debating tactic... or refuse to perform an adequate amount of due diligence to research their claims!
crusader wrote:You listed the peak for the Rodriguez bout which was actually just under 1.2m. The average viewership, which is what I've been using for each figure I posted, was 1,029,333 and thus lower than the ratings for three of GGG's last four HBO fights.
The figures you’ve quoted for the Ward-Rodriguez bout is contradicted by ESPN, Dan Rafael and Nielsen Media Research. It actually averaged 1.2m viewers, but peaked at 1.3m viewers.

You’ve got your figures from Steve Kim, who’s a boxing scribe (via BS.com)? So who do you think supplies more reliable figures? Steve Kim… or ESPN, Dan Rafael and Nielsen Media Research?

I won’t bother to discuss other points you’ve raised, because I refuse to be distracted from our original topic of discussion.
I dont believe you watched Ggg Rubio. Else how could you fail to notice the reception he got from the fans despite never fighting out west before.

And again, it was a near sellout before the undercard was announced, troll