seattledirk wrote:
What's the problem? The simpletons willingly hand over their money to the more intelligent people. That's Utopia in my opinion.
There really isn’t a “problem” per se. It’s more about the absurdity of the betting odds.
To be honest, I’m looking to exploit this anomalous situation by placing a pretty sizable bet on Money May at the very last-minute, because I could secure myself an impressive 40% ROI on an almost “risk free” investment that could be paid out to me immediately.
No way it gets down to 40%. That's -250. Just no way.
The ROI on Mayweather has risen from 16% to 30% over the last few weeks. As the fight approaches, this figure will likely continue to rise.
If it doesn't break the 40% ROI milestone, it'll at least be very close to that number.
Do I smell Rocky 3 here where Rocky spent the entire training camp with chicks and promo while Clubber Lang was working hard?
IIRC that's also how Tyson went downhill in 1990.
Then again, it's Floyd. He's pranking us and just pretends to be clubbing.
Riddick Blowe wrote:Can someone give me a strong case for not betting on Floyd to win in the first four rounds, apart from the possibility of weird shennanigans?
He'll be hitting Conor clean and often after about half a round. I don't think him not being a puncher is relevant.
Floyd comes out slow/cautiously as per usual? McGregor will be near 170 in the ring so should at least have some durability? Floyd carries him so as to give the impress it wasn't the ridiculous mismatch most of thought.
I'll be betting heavily on Mayweather but will avoid betting on method.
Riddick Blowe wrote:Can someone give me a strong case for not betting on Floyd to win in the first four rounds, apart from the possibility of weird shennanigans?
He'll be hitting Conor clean and often after about half a round. I don't think him not being a puncher is relevant.
Floyd comes out slow/cautiously as per usual? McGregor will be near 170 in the ring so should at least have some durability? Floyd carries him so as to give the impress it wasn't the ridiculous mismatch most of thought.
I'll be betting heavily on Mayweather but will avoid betting on method.
I find it hard to believe May will be cautious when he sees the bumbling fool in front of him. He'll connect early doors and Conor won't be used to getting hit by a boxer, non puncher or not. I feel like it's actually ridiculous to imagine this going past four.
diddy wrote:I've decided to pounce now at -450 and not wait any longer. Huge sharks are gonna pound the windows on Floyd next week which will override all these retard nation $50 square bets.
I have a total of $15,000 staked on Floyd mostly at -450 with some at -500.
Are you hedging out dodgy results? For example a draw for clash of heads or a mayweather disqualification incase a fix is on. I have done both against my big mayweather bet at only a small cost.
Riddick Blowe wrote:Can someone give me a strong case for not betting on Floyd to win in the first four rounds, apart from the possibility of weird shennanigans?
He'll be hitting Conor clean and often after about half a round. I don't think him not being a puncher is relevant.
Floyd comes out slow/cautiously as per usual? McGregor will be near 170 in the ring so should at least have some durability? Floyd carries him so as to give the impress it wasn't the ridiculous mismatch most of thought.
I'll be betting heavily on Mayweather but will avoid betting on method.
I find it hard to believe May will be cautious when he sees the bumbling fool in front of him. He'll connect early doors and Conor won't be used to getting hit by a boxer, non puncher or not. I feel like it's actually ridiculous to imagine this going past four.
I actually think it will go longer just because Floyd likes to take a look at the guys he fights early and he doesn't take risks going for the KO ,it will be completely one sided but McGregor's size and fitness will keep him in there till the middle RDS then he'll get pulled out by his corner or ref will step in .....
diddy wrote:I've decided to pounce now at -450 and not wait any longer. Huge sharks are gonna pound the windows on Floyd next week which will override all these retard nation $50 square bets.
I have a total of $15,000 staked on Floyd mostly at -450 with some at -500.
What are your thoughts on the stoppage market?
I don't see how it's even possible for Connor to last 6 rounds, never mind the distance. Something's stopping me for some reason.
^^^ I would wonder if floyd has a vested interest in the fight not ending too early and appearing too obviously as the farce it is. Given that it's not exactly his instinct to come out bombing that would be why I'd be wary of betting on a very early finish myself
I just have no confidence in Floyd stepping it up. I think he'd be content to land flush counters here and there as he grins at how badly McG is missing. Sometimes you can clown a guy more by carrying him than by getting him out early...
Floyd is the type of fighter whose wins often look very similar, even if there are significant differences in the quality of his opposition.
Riddick Blowe wrote:Can someone give me a strong case for not betting on Floyd to win in the first four rounds, apart from the possibility of weird shennanigans?
He'll be hitting Conor clean and often after about half a round. I don't think him not being a puncher is relevant.
Asterix wrote:It took a younger Mayweather 10 rounds to get rid of a Ricky Hatton who was literally rushing into punches. I don't think McGregor will fall early.
crusader wrote:I just have no confidence in Floyd stepping it up. I think he'd be content to land flush counters here and there as he grins at how badly McG is missing. Sometimes you can clown a guy more by carrying him than by getting him out early...
Floyd is the type of fighter whose wins often look very similar, even if there are significant differences in the quality of his opposition.
Conor has never been in a boxing match! It can't be overstated how crucial this is. How many rounds does a very fit and strong random guy from the gym last?
Asterix wrote:It took a younger Mayweather 10 rounds to get rid of a Ricky Hatton who was literally rushing into punches. I don't think McGregor will fall early.
Conor has never been in a boxing match...
Ridiculous comparison
Floyd's never been 40 years old in a fight before either. He's a full 10 years older than he was when he knocked out Hatton, and has only scored one KO victory in the 10 years since then.
That being said I DO think he will stop McGregor, but there are reasons to believe it might not be a certainty.
I personally think he probably stops him because I figure he'll barely be able to miss on a lot of his shots. We'll see.
crusader wrote:I just have no confidence in Floyd stepping it up. I think he'd be content to land flush counters here and there as he grins at how badly McG is missing. Sometimes you can clown a guy more by carrying him than by getting him out early...
Floyd is the type of fighter whose wins often look very similar, even if there are significant differences in the quality of his opposition.
Conor has never been in a boxing match! It can't be overstated how crucial this is. How many rounds does a very fit and strong random guy from the gym last?
He's still a Professional Fighter, and has a lot of experience in Combat Sports. His approach to Boxing is gonna be piss poor though as some have mentioned the stance in MMA and Boxing is completely different so he'll probably be wide open for most of Floyd's punches.
I figure he probably gets stopped mainly because he'll honestly be trying for the KO all through the fight, and Floyd will get annoyed at having haymakers thrown at him repeatedly and really start to give Conor a beating for it.
Asterix wrote:It took a younger Mayweather 10 rounds to get rid of a Ricky Hatton who was literally rushing into punches. I don't think McGregor will fall early.
Conor has never been in a boxing match...
Ridiculous comparison
We'll see. If Floyd wins in the first 4 rounds, you're right.
Sky Sports are currently running a poll asking their viewers to vote for who they expect to emerge victorious from the Mayweather-McGregor fight...
And according to the current results, from over 190K votes, only 55% of the voters expect a victory for Mayweather, with McGregor receiving the remaining 45%.
OMFG! When I review the results from these sort of voting polls, coupled with the current betting odds, it seems that the general public are absolutely clueless and gullible enough to have wholeheartedly bought into all the nonsense spouted by the crazy media hype!
Enlightened-One wrote:Sky Sports are currently running a poll asking their viewers to vote for who they expect to emerge victorious from the Mayweather-McGregor fight...
And according to the current results, from over 190K votes, only 55% of the voters expect a victory for Mayweather, with McGregor receiving the remaining 45%.
OMFG! When I review the results from these sort of voting polls, coupled with the current betting odds, it seems that the general public are absolutely clueless and gullible enough to have wholeheartedly bought into all the nonsense spouted by the crazy media hype!
I wouldn't take any public polls seriously, especially not for a fight like this. Many people vote for humour.
Asterix wrote:It took a younger Mayweather 10 rounds to get rid of a Ricky Hatton who was literally rushing into punches. I don't think McGregor will fall early.
Conor has never been in a boxing match...
Ridiculous comparison
We'll see. If Floyd wins in the first 4 rounds, you're right.
When I review the results from these sort of voting polls, coupled with the current betting odds, it seems that the general public are absolutely clueless and gullible enough to have wholeheartedly bought into all the nonsense spouted by the crazy media hype!