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Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 25 Apr 2009, 16:26
by My T Sharp
REAL_DEAL wrote:i have just lumped 50 quid on sato. come on sato :box: i will win 500 if he wins.

no idea on a stream
Good Luck...Sturm has been stopped before :box:

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 25 Apr 2009, 18:33
by Hagler2002
REAL_DEAL wrote:i have just lumped 50 quid on sato. come on sato :box: i will win 500 if he wins.

no idea on a stream

Mug Punter! in future give me a ring :o oh hold on last you did and still lost money due to the fact you didn't listen :wink:

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 25 Apr 2009, 18:56
by REAL_DEAL
Froch better win tonight is all i can say :confused: :confused:

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 25 Apr 2009, 19:17
by Hagler2002
REAL_DEAL wrote:Froch better win tonight is all i can say :confused: :confused:
The best bet of tonight was Lindsay, fornicate getting involved in the Froch fight.

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 25 Apr 2009, 23:29
by REAL_DEAL
:DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 25 Apr 2009, 23:48
by Asterix
REAL_DEAL wrote::DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD :DD
I want to know how you felt before the 12th round started? Were you bricking it?

I hate betting on fights because I don't enjoy watching them when I do.

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 26 Apr 2009, 00:46
by lefthook82
20 on Froch KO 11/4
50 on Froch/Taylor not going distance Evens
1500 on Hatton v pacman fight not to go disance 4/6-8/11- evens

2000( and rising) on either Hayeor Klitcko to fall over before 10 rounds and not get back up
2/5

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 27 Apr 2009, 09:33
by skanksta
You have £20 on Froch KO @ 11/4, and £50 @ evens, but bags on Haye v Klitschko and Hatton ??

What staking plan do you use ?



PS.
In your face Hagler2002 ! :shame:

http://www.puntingace.com/boxing/results.html

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 27 Apr 2009, 09:37
by Chambers2
:DD :DD :DD :DD

I had £50 on Froch at 11/10, £60 on Froch by KO 11/4 and a late inspired bet of £20 for Froch to win in rounds 10-12 at 11/1. Happy fcuking days!! :DD

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 27 Apr 2009, 13:37
by lefthook82
I'm sorry I dont understan the queston

Originally I only out 250 o the hatton fight but I got a bit crazy. I'm regrettig it a bit now as there i a fair chance it does go all the way, so all fingers and toes are crossed

The Klit fight is free money though. Haye is a gunslinger, he isnt suddenly going to turn into pernell whittaker. He will kill or be killed in the ring (metaphorically). I see it going 3 rounds max. Tote sports have him 40/1 to win in rounds 1 or 2 and I think I'll get on that before it shortens

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 27 Apr 2009, 13:40
by lefthook82
Brave bet. What made you think they would come back

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 28 Apr 2009, 04:33
by skanksta
lefthook82 wrote:I'm sorry I dont understan the queston

Originally I only out 250 o the hatton fight but I got a bit crazy. I'm regrettig it a bit now as there i a fair chance it does go all the way, so all fingers and toes are crossed

The Klit fight is free money though. Haye is a gunslinger, he isnt suddenly going to turn into pernell whittaker. He will kill or be killed in the ring (metaphorically). I see it going 3 rounds max. Tote sports have him 40/1 to win in rounds 1 or 2 and I think I'll get on that before it shortens

What I mean is.....

For you to bet £70 on one fight and upwards of a thousand on another is very unlikely to be a rational staking plan. I don't mean to criticise - staking plans are geeky and mathematical and hard to get right, and it just sounds like you need some help with them. Even if you're picking winning tips a bad staking plan can lessen your profits, or worse, turn winning in to losing. Basically if you bet £70 on one fight and £1000 on the next, that's fine if you think the Haye bet is 14 times better. There's a good explanation of the Kelly method of staking at
http://www.puntingace.com/bettingguide/kelly.htm
Good luck with your bets. :TU:

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 28 Apr 2009, 04:54
by Asterix
Interesting stuff. Thanks for posting the link, Skanksta.

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 29 Apr 2009, 15:40
by lefthook82
Thank you @ skan

I wil have a proper look and do it properly next time

Totesprt are offering 40/1 for Haye to win in the first 2 rounds, and 33/1 for the 3rd. Wirth a sneaky tenner to cover each round I reckon

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 01 May 2009, 05:18
by Chambers2
lefthook82 wrote: Totesprt are offering 40/1 for Haye to win in the first 2 rounds, and 33/1 for the 3rd. Wirth a sneaky tenner to cover each round I reckon
Cheers, I've had abit of that through to round 6

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 01 May 2009, 05:35
by champ4ever
if you guys are from england then why bet on fights before they happens when you can bet live on bet365? 99% of the time i do my betting live.

i put small money on froch to win on the 12th round knowing taylor was slowing down by the radio stream at odds 6/1. not brilliant odds i suppose knowing froch had to win in that round, but IMO he only had a punchers chance anyway.

lindsay i won 5/1. i put bets on both lindsay and appleby to win by knockouts and both odds were 5/1. put abit on that as it was obvious that fight wasn't going the distance just watching it.

bit of advice, if you can bet live then do it. much more chance in winning money.

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 01 May 2009, 05:50
by Chambers2
champ4ever wrote:if you guys are from england then why bet on fights before they happens when you can bet live on bet365?
Because by then Totesport will probably have realised that their odds on Haye winning by early KO are way off the mark and I won't get such good value.

You can bet live on numerous online bookies not just BET365

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 01 May 2009, 09:06
by champ4ever
Chambers2 wrote:
champ4ever wrote:if you guys are from england then why bet on fights before they happens when you can bet live on bet365?
Because by then Totesport will probably have realised that their odds on Haye winning by early KO are way off the mark and I won't get such good value.

You can bet live on numerous online bookies not just BET365
the david haye fight you will have to bet before the fight because it's a fight that can end very quickly, so that one i can understand. i think haye can win that fight early aswell, but best bet is probably for haye and klischko not to go the distance. much safer bet.

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 01 May 2009, 10:34
by Wales
What are the hatton odds? Anyone?



Cant get 'em in work - damned government servers. :witzend:

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 01 May 2009, 10:39
by Chambers2
Wales wrote:What are the hatton odds? Anyone?



Cant get 'em in work - damned government servers. :witzend:
From Stan James

Pacquiao, Manny 1/2
Draw 20/1
Hatton, Ricky 6/4


Pacquiao, Manny Round 1 25/1
Pacquiao, Manny Round 2 18/1
Pacquiao, Manny Round 3 18/1
Pacquiao, Manny Round 4 18/1
Pacquiao, Manny Round 5 16/1
Pacquiao, Manny Round 6 14/1
Pacquiao, Manny Round 7 14/1
Pacquiao, Manny Round 8 14/1
Pacquiao, Manny Round 9 14/1
Pacquiao, Manny Round 10 14/1
Pacquiao, Manny Round 11 18/1
Pacquiao, Manny Round 12 25/1
Pacquiao, Manny On Points 3/1
Draw 25/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 1 40/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 2 33/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 3 33/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 4 28/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 5 28/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 6 28/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 7 28/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 8 28/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 9 28/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 10 33/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 11 33/1
Hatton, Ricky Round 12 40/1
Hatton, Ricky On Points 11/2


Under 9.5 EVS
Over 9.5 8/11


Pacquiao, Manny Rds 1-4 11/2
Pacquiao, Manny Rds 5-8 5/1
Pacquiao, Manny Rds 9-12 6/1
Pacquiao, Manny Points 3/1
Draw 20/1
Hatton, Ricky Rds 1-4 10/1
Hatton, Ricky Rds 5-8 9/1
Hatton, Ricky Rds 9-12 10/1
Hatton, Ricky Points 5/1


Pacquiao, Manny Ko Or Tko 6/5
Pacquiao, Manny Points 3/1
Draw 20/1
Hatton, Ricky Ko Or Tko 5/2
Hatton, Ricky Points 5/1


Rounds 1-4 3/1
Rounds 5-8 11/4
Rounds 9-12 10/3
Points/Draw 6/4


To Go The Distance 6/4
Not To Go The Distance 1/2

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 01 May 2009, 10:39
by Chambers2
champ4ever wrote:
Chambers2 wrote:
champ4ever wrote:if you guys are from england then why bet on fights before they happens when you can bet live on bet365?
Because by then Totesport will probably have realised that their odds on Haye winning by early KO are way off the mark and I won't get such good value.

You can bet live on numerous online bookies not just BET365
the david haye fight you will have to bet before the fight because it's a fight that can end very quickly, so that one i can understand. i think haye can win that fight early aswell, but best bet is probably for haye and klischko not to go the distance. much safer bet.
It's a much safer bet, but you've got a risk alot of cash to win anything of note

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 01 May 2009, 10:55
by champ4ever
It's a much safer bet, but you've got a risk alot of cash to win anything of note
sometimes it's better to risk bigger money on a bet to win little money and win your bet than it would be to put little money to win bigger money only for you to lose your own money.

what i would do is this. for an example put £100 on the fight not to go the distance, that IMO is near enough guaranteed to come up, so you would get £20 profit for that under the 1/5 odds, so put £20 on david haye to win by knockout. you would either win no profit if david haye loses by knockout, but you don't lose your own money, or if david haye does win by knockout then you can win like £60 profit altogether with both bets. either way you don't lose your money.

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 01 May 2009, 11:46
by Chambers2
champ4ever wrote:
It's a much safer bet, but you've got a risk alot of cash to win anything of note
sometimes it's better to risk bigger money on a bet to win little money and win your bet than it would be to put little money to win bigger money only for you to lose your own money.

what i would do is this. for an example put £100 on the fight not to go the distance, that IMO is near enough guaranteed to come up, so you would get £20 profit for that under the 1/5 odds, so put £20 on david haye to win by knockout. you would either win no profit if david haye loses by knockout, but you don't lose your own money, or if david haye does win by knockout then you can win like £60 profit altogether with both bets. either way you don't lose your money.
I'm more interested in winning money though rather than not losing money, I like to put in on the line :D

I've split £150 over the first 6 rounds for Haye to win (funded from my Froch winnings 8) )

Bet stake £-25.00 Round 6 28/1
Bet stake £-25.00 Round 5 28/1
Bet stake £-30.00 Round 4 33/1
Bet stake £-30.00 Round 3 33/1
Bet stake £-20.00 Round 2 40/1
Bet stake £-20.00 Round 1 40/1

Win between £700 and a £1000 if it comes in

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 01 May 2009, 12:49
by lefthook82
I covered both Klit and Haye first 3 rounds.

OI reckon Haye is gonna use he corey sanders approacvh and not let klit settle

If someone falls over and stays down before the first 3 rounds I make between 300 and 700 pounds

@champ

I've been telling everybody who would listen in my office about the 'free money' David Haye v Klitcko bet

I explain it to them like this. 20% return on investment guaranteed in 2 months time. Worst case scenario the fight doesnt happen and you get your money back. In the two months between the fight your money would have accrued interest in the bank of about 1%( in reality much lower) so not having it in the bank makes no difference

I've chipped away at two of my friends and I'm going to help them place bets on monday

Re: Betting thread.

Posted: 01 May 2009, 13:01
by champ4ever
Chambers2 wrote:
champ4ever wrote:
It's a much safer bet, but you've got a risk alot of cash to win anything of note
sometimes it's better to risk bigger money on a bet to win little money and win your bet than it would be to put little money to win bigger money only for you to lose your own money.

what i would do is this. for an example put £100 on the fight not to go the distance, that IMO is near enough guaranteed to come up, so you would get £20 profit for that under the 1/5 odds, so put £20 on david haye to win by knockout. you would either win no profit if david haye loses by knockout, but you don't lose your own money, or if david haye does win by knockout then you can win like £60 profit altogether with both bets. either way you don't lose your money.
I'm more interested in winning money though rather than not losing money, I like to put in on the line :D

I've split £150 over the first 6 rounds for Haye to win (funded from my Froch winnings 8) )

Bet stake £-25.00 Round 6 28/1
Bet stake £-25.00 Round 5 28/1
Bet stake £-30.00 Round 4 33/1
Bet stake £-30.00 Round 3 33/1
Bet stake £-20.00 Round 2 40/1
Bet stake £-20.00 Round 1 40/1

Win between £700 and a £1000 if it comes in
where did you get those odds from chambers? that's quite abit higher than most betting sites.