fergusg wrote:Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez = It has recently been widely reported by the media that Golden Boy Promotions are preparing to file a lawsuit, with support from the WBO, against Al Haymon and the PBC for breaching the Muhammad Ali Boxing Reform Act, for violating the Anti-Trust Act and for also breaking California’s Unfair Competition laws.
Also, the Mayweather-Alvarez bout only took place less than two years ago and Floyd dominated the stocky ginger-haired Mexican youngster with astonishing ease.
Therefore, in commercial terms, there’s not enough demand to see Floyd grant Canelo a rematch… and I highly doubt that Al Haymon would even consider lining Oscar’s pockets with money that will subsequently be used to fund Golden Boy's lawsuit filed against the PBC and himself! This means that this bout has zero chance of taking place!
Miguel Cotto = From what I recall, Roc Nation provided seemingly generous offers to Al Haymon fighters like Adrien Broner, Keith Thurman, Deontay Wilder and Peter Quillin, which have all been turned down… and all they wanted to do was to promote these men.
It seems that Al Haymon has no intention of assisting Roc Nations' entrance into the sport of boxing, unless he’s allowed to call the shots (especially after the Beyoncé fraudulent accusations debacle).
Another issue, is the fact that it appears that Cotto is affiliated with HBO and it seems that they have only rubber-stamped the Geale fight, with an expectation that he’ll commit to facing Canelo later on this year. And as we all should know by now, unless mega-bucks are involved, Haymon and Showtime don’t work with HBO.
In addition to the commercial issues, Mayweather has already faced Cotto and gained a comfortable decision that was almost certainly not considered controversial in nature.
Therefore, whilst it’s possible for Mayweather to face Cotto again, especially considering the fact that Miguel holds both the WBC and lineal 160lb titles coupled with his PPV popularity, these factors don’t outweigh the other hurdles that are seemingly unsurmountable in nature, which means that the chances of their rematch taking place are slim to none… and slim has just left the building.
Gennady Golovkin = GGG is physically too big and perhaps too young for Floyd. He is also not a marquee name, which means the risk versus return ratio calculates a figure that does not make any business sense whatsoever.
The other issue is the proverbial “road” that must be crossed in order to make this bout happen, because GGG is contractually-tied to HBO and there does not seem to be enough financial demand to warrant Leslie Moonves and Stephen Espinoza to once again open talks with Richard Plepler.
Simply put, Haymon & Showtime aren’t going to establish another partnership with HBO to promote and televise a Mayweather-Golovkin bout, because the pot of money at the end of the rainbow isn’t big enough.
In terms of the remaining fighters on this poll, both
Danny Garcia and
Amir Khan are “advised” by Al Haymon and aren’t tied to any TV networks. So they’re both serious contenders to face Floyd in September.
That being said, from a commercial perspective alone, coupled with the fact that he’s a fully-fledged welterweight on a good run of form, Khan is probably in a better position than Garcia to be selected as Mayweather’s next opponent… and if I were a betting man, I'd day that Amir will be facing Floyd on Mexican Independence Day weekend in September (assuming the Brit overcomes the moderate challenge posed by Chris Algieri in his next fight).
If Khan cannot make the September date, because Amir may need more than the eight weeks that are available between the end of Ramadan and the 12th September fight date in order to recover and train for the bout, then
Keith Thurman may be in contention for Floyd’s next opponent.
However, ‘One Time’ may be deemed undeserving of the opportunity, because he’s relatively anonymous to mainstream fans and he only has one decent name on his resume (he took quite a beating in order to gain a lop-sided decision victory over Robert Guerrero).
Haymon may also prefer to protect the “zero” on Thurman’s record if he considers the talented 'One Time' as a potential marquee PPV-type name of the future. After all, Al is a business man and he has a responsibility and a vested interest to look after his investments.
