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Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 01 Feb 2016, 23:06
by zorndeslammes
I like Kovalev plenty and I think the world of Andre Ward's potential, but to me, I don't see the winner as being P4P #1. Maybe for Ward if he does it since he's moving up and hasn't been fighting anyone for years, but as unfair as it might be to some, I couldn't give it to Kovalev. Ward has simply been out of the game for far too long to make assertions that a win over him proves anything. He may very well struggle with Sullivan Barrera leading into the fight and in a couple years we may see both Ward and Barrera as fringe/noncontenders.

The most important thing is seeing the fight actually take place. Right now, Ward doesn't even have a contract to fight Barrera and has dropped out of fights many times before. I, like many, will believe it when I see it.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 01 Feb 2016, 23:22
by crusader
Which fighter(s) would you rank above the winner?

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 01 Feb 2016, 23:53
by diddy
zorndeslammes wrote:I like Kovalev plenty and I think the world of Andre Ward's potential, but to me, I don't see the winner as being P4P #1. Maybe for Ward if he does it since he's moving up and hasn't been fighting anyone for years, but as unfair as it might be to some, I couldn't give it to Kovalev. Ward has simply been out of the game for far too long to make assertions that a win over him proves anything. He may very well struggle with Sullivan Barrera leading into the fight and in a couple years we may see both Ward and Barrera as fringe/noncontenders.

The most important thing is seeing the fight actually take place. Right now, Ward doesn't even have a contract to fight Barrera and has dropped out of fights many times before. I, like many, will believe it when I see it.
How is the winner NOT p4p #1?? Cmon the winner obviously is p4p #1. Why? Because GGG has no one he can beat who is in the same stratosphere as these 2 that could propel him ahead of them. Oh well, except for Ward but we know he's never taking that fight so it's moot.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 02 Feb 2016, 00:29
by zorndeslammes
diddy wrote: How is the winner NOT p4p #1?? Cmon the winner obviously is p4p #1. Why? Because GGG has no one he can beat who is in the same stratosphere as these 2 that could propel him ahead of them. Oh well, except for Ward but we know he's never taking that fight so it's moot.
crusader wrote:Which fighter(s) would you rank above the winner?
Lemme get this straight: Kovalev beats a guy who will have fought maybe 3 times in 4 years against *zero* elite fighters, and he is definitely the best P4P in the entire sport? I'm not saying he sucks. But he's beaten a 50 year old man, some fringe contenders, and an increasingly depleted Jean Pascal. He hasn't moved up in weight and fought bigger guys here, and he's displayed some defensive liabilities. If I compare his record to Canelo Alvarez, Canelo has fought waaaaay better comp even if I throw in Ward. If Manny goes out and KOs Tim Bradley, I'm not in a rush to toss him down the ladder. GGG could very easily have a signature win or two by the time this fight ever happens (if it does). You rush to promote him there in this instance and you might make yourself look foolish if and when Ward either retires or looks like a dungheap afterwards. The only guy who has looked passable after fighting Kovalev is Cleverly. Everyone else looks like a failed prospect or a journeyman. You can't heap all that on Kovalev's shoulders either when you inspect the records of the Mohammedis.

I'm more amenable to giving it to Ward because he was a dominant champion who beat every meaningful opponent at 168 prior to entering pseudoretirement and would be heading up in weight to fight a guy who is probably top 5 P4P after years of doing hot nothing. That's how the P4P thing works -talent over size. But even then, again: one meaningful fight in nearly 5 years. It isn't much of a resume. Compared to what Floyd did, its a dumpster fire.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 02 Feb 2016, 00:31
by gilgamesh
zorndeslammes wrote:
diddy wrote: How is the winner NOT p4p #1?? Cmon the winner obviously is p4p #1. Why? Because GGG has no one he can beat who is in the same stratosphere as these 2 that could propel him ahead of them. Oh well, except for Ward but we know he's never taking that fight so it's moot.
crusader wrote:Which fighter(s) would you rank above the winner?
Lemme get this straight: Kovalev beats a guy who will have fought maybe 3 times in 4 years against *zero* elite fighters, and he is definitely the best P4P in the entire sport? I'm not saying he sucks. But he's beaten a 50 year old man, some fringe contenders, and an increasingly depleted Jean Pascal. He hasn't moved up in weight and fought bigger guys here, and he's displayed some defensive liabilities. If I compare his record to Canelo Alvarez, Canelo has fought waaaaay better comp even if I throw in Ward. If Manny goes out and KOs Tim Bradley, I'm not in a rush to toss him down the ladder. GGG could very easily have a signature win or two by the time this fight ever happens (if it does). You rush to promote him there in this instance and you might make yourself look foolish if and when Ward either retires or looks like a dungheap afterwards. The only guy who has looked passable after fighting Kovalev is Cleverly. Everyone else looks like a failed prospect or a journeyman. You can't heap all that on Kovalev's shoulders either when you inspect the records of the Mohammedis.

I'm more amenable to giving it to Ward because he was a dominant champion who beat every meaningful opponent at 168 prior to entering pseudoretirement and would be heading up in weight to fight a guy who is probably top 5 P4P after years of doing hot nothing. That's how the P4P thing works -talent over size. But even then, again: one meaningful fight in nearly 5 years. It isn't much of a resume. Compared to what Floyd did, its a dumpster fire.
If Kovalev defeats Ward he will have beaten a better fighter than anyone Canelo has ever beaten by a wide margin. You can spin it however you want, but that's the way it is.

Right now I have Kovalev #2 on my P4P list, a win over Ward puts him at the top.

GGG vs Canelo would be a big one too, and the winner of that one is certainly Top 3 at the very least. Hopefully we get both fights this year.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 02 Feb 2016, 04:19
by diddy
Zordes,

Get this straight. When Kovalev fights Ward it won't be the Ward who only fought 3 times in 4 yrs. It will be Ward who is acclimated to 175 with a few fights under his belt in the previous year alone. And beating THAT guy, should Kovalev do it, would propel him to the top of the p4p mountain. And vice versa.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 02 Feb 2016, 08:33
by Bard of Boxrec
crusader wrote:That's fine. It's a very competitively matched fight and I expect reasonable opinions to differ.
I think people have been duped into thinking it's competitive. What about this fight is competitive? I don't really see it, and I'm talking as if Ward is even in his prime.

Style wise, Ward has massive problems here. He is not a high-volume type of guy to go with his pure boxer skills, and he would need that in order to have a chance of outlanding Kovalev, who conversely does deal in volume. But in the event Ward throws enough punches to give himself a shot of outlanding Kovalev (because he sure as hell isn't stopping him) he is opening himself up to getting caught, and we have seen evidence before that suggests Ward is unlikely to be able to withstand that power.

So how does he win? Well, people picking him will probably suggest he has to be successful with his inside game, employing the right amount of borderline dirty tactics to 'offset Kovalev's rhythm' and 'take him out of his gameplan'. But what does this actually mean? People think Ward can afford to spend a lot of the fight tying up Kova, not getting penalised for it, and still manage to mix that with actually going about winning the rounds? In addition, do people really think Ward can outmuscle Kova like he has other foes a division lower? And even if he can, so what? Is it really going to stop the 12-round barrage?

Folk picking Ward might suggest his ring generalship will lower Kova's output like Hopkins managed to do. But Hopkins was focused 100 per cent on defense in that fight and STILL got caught with huge shots. How does Ward maintain Hopkins' level of defense AND manage to offer enough offensive output to win him rounds, all the while showing a strong chin when he inevitably does get caught?

Honestly, I feel like Ward is going to be put in survival mode early exactly like Hopkins was. And no, I am not saying Ward isn't better than Bernard. The difference is that Ward doesn't have the constitution to deal with the shots Hopkins got clocked with.

Kovalev KO7. One-sided. And all of that applies to GGG vs Ward too.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 02 Feb 2016, 13:08
by Ezzard
Interesting read. Appreciate your opinion...and can see where you're coming from...

But after the weekend I think Ward wins.

So many times Pascal was right up close and Kov couldn't shorten his punches and at best cuffed his ear. Sure, Pascal was looking to survive. But I think Ward can do more. He will look for those lead right hands early on, follow in with his head. And for most of the fight he will be out of range. Then when he commits he will either land the right and the head and/or he will be right up close.

I prefer watching Kov. But Ward seems like a nicer guy.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 02 Feb 2016, 13:09
by Ezzard
Ezzard wrote:Interesting read. Appreciate your opinion...and can see where you're coming from...

But after the weekend I think Ward wins.

So many times Pascal was right up close and Kov couldn't shorten his punches and at best cuffed his ear. Sure, Pascal was looking to survive. But I think Ward can do more. He will look for those lead right hands early on, follow in with his head. And for most of the fight he will be out of range. Then when he commits he will either land the right and the head and/or he will be right up close.

I prefer watching Kov. But Ward seems like a nice guy.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 02 Feb 2016, 13:30
by Bard of Boxrec
Ezzard wrote:Interesting read. Appreciate your opinion...and can see where you're coming from...

But after the weekend I think Ward wins.

So many times Pascal was right up close and Kov couldn't shorten his punches and at best cuffed his ear. Sure, Pascal was looking to survive. But I think Ward can do more. He will look for those lead right hands early on, follow in with his head. And for most of the fight he will be out of range. Then when he commits he will either land the right and the head and/or he will be right up close.

I prefer watching Kov. But Ward seems like a nicer guy.
How does this equate with Ward being able to keep up with Kovalev's workrate? Ward is going to have to throw an awful lot of lead right hands followed by unpenalised headbutts to actually outscore/demoralise Kovalev in this fight. And he has to do it all without being caught himself. You say Ward will be out of range, but I don't believe he has any say in the matter. Kovalev closes the distance and cuts off the ring exceptionally well.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 02 Feb 2016, 16:51
by zorndeslammes
diddy wrote:Zordes,

Get this straight. When Kovalev fights Ward it won't be the Ward who only fought 3 times in 4 yrs. It will be Ward who is acclimated to 175 with a few fights under his belt in the previous year alone. And beating THAT guy, should Kovalev do it, would propel him to the top of the p4p mountain. And vice versa.
"A few fights"? How many Ward fights do you think will happen between now and Kovalev (assuming Kovalev ever happens)? I'm guessing, at most, one. That puts Kovalev squarely in the "three fights in 4 years" zone by the time he ever steps into a ring with Kovalev.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 02 Feb 2016, 17:17
by ikorolev
According to some, HBO requires that starting from July, Ward can only fight Kovalev and Kovalev can only fight Ward in their next fights.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 02 Feb 2016, 22:01
by diddy
zorndeslammes wrote:
diddy wrote:Zordes,

Get this straight. When Kovalev fights Ward it won't be the Ward who only fought 3 times in 4 yrs. It will be Ward who is acclimated to 175 with a few fights under his belt in the previous year alone. And beating THAT guy, should Kovalev do it, would propel him to the top of the p4p mountain. And vice versa.
"A few fights"? How many Ward fights do you think will happen between now and Kovalev (assuming Kovalev ever happens)? I'm guessing, at most, one. That puts Kovalev squarely in the "three fights in 4 years" zone by the time he ever steps into a ring with Kovalev.
Ward will fight Barrera in late March. And maybe another guy approx 4 months later around July. Smith fight was late June. That would make for....3 fights in a year.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 03 Feb 2016, 00:21
by zorndeslammes
diddy wrote:
zorndeslammes wrote:
diddy wrote:Zordes,

Get this straight. When Kovalev fights Ward it won't be the Ward who only fought 3 times in 4 yrs. It will be Ward who is acclimated to 175 with a few fights under his belt in the previous year alone. And beating THAT guy, should Kovalev do it, would propel him to the top of the p4p mountain. And vice versa.
"A few fights"? How many Ward fights do you think will happen between now and Kovalev (assuming Kovalev ever happens)? I'm guessing, at most, one. That puts Kovalev squarely in the "three fights in 4 years" zone by the time he ever steps into a ring with Kovalev.
Ward will fight Barrera in late March. And maybe another guy approx 4 months later around July. Smith fight was late June. That would make for....3 fights in a year.
If he indeed fights Barrera in March and another guy in July, then yes, he'd have three fights in the span of 12-13 months. Otherwise, if he doesn't, and we get around to Kovalev/Ward in October or November? Then, yeah, basically 3 fights in 4 years against non-elite.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 03 Feb 2016, 04:25
by diddy
zorndeslammes wrote:
diddy wrote:
zorndeslammes wrote:
"A few fights"? How many Ward fights do you think will happen between now and Kovalev (assuming Kovalev ever happens)? I'm guessing, at most, one. That puts Kovalev squarely in the "three fights in 4 years" zone by the time he ever steps into a ring with Kovalev.
Ward will fight Barrera in late March. And maybe another guy approx 4 months later around July. Smith fight was late June. That would make for....3 fights in a year.
If he indeed fights Barrera in March and another guy in July, then yes, he'd have three fights in the span of 12-13 months. Otherwise, if he doesn't, and we get around to Kovalev/Ward in October or November? Then, yeah, basically 3 fights in 4 years against non-elite.
Huh? He's not gonna fight Kovalev straight away. He's obviously gonna take at least one (Barrera fight is already scheduled for the 26th of March) if not 2 fights before Kovalev. He signed a 3 fight contract with Kovalev being the 3rd of the HBO arrangement. Your point doesn't make any sense.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 03 Feb 2016, 08:11
by Ezzard
Riddick Blowe wrote:
Ezzard wrote:Interesting read. Appreciate your opinion...and can see where you're coming from...

But after the weekend I think Ward wins.

So many times Pascal was right up close and Kov couldn't shorten his punches and at best cuffed his ear. Sure, Pascal was looking to survive. But I think Ward can do more. He will look for those lead right hands early on, follow in with his head. And for most of the fight he will be out of range. Then when he commits he will either land the right and the head and/or he will be right up close.

I prefer watching Kov. But Ward seems like a nicer guy.
How does this equate with Ward being able to keep up with Kovalev's workrate? Ward is going to have to throw an awful lot of lead right hands followed by unpenalised headbutts to actually outscore/demoralise Kovalev in this fight. And he has to do it all without being caught himself. You say Ward will be out of range, but I don't believe he has any say in the matter. Kovalev closes the distance and cuts off the ring exceptionally well.
Ward will slow the pace of the fight and not get penalised for the head work. If Kov can land the right hand flush a couple of times a round then I see it as his fight. But I don't think he will.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 03 Feb 2016, 09:08
by Bard of Boxrec
Ezzard wrote:
Ward will slow the pace of the fight and not get penalised for the head work. If Kov can land the right hand flush a couple of times a round then I see it as his fight. But I don't think he will.
But what does Ward slowing the pace entail exactly? Defensive nous, feints, good footwork, tying up. Nothing that can proactively win him rounds. Nothing based on actual punching. Slowing the pace of the fight doesn't magically mean Kovalev isn't able to land anything. Kovalev might be throwing less than he is used to (a la Hopkins fight) but he found openings there and he will find them here. He always lands.

I think Kov needs approximately one big right hand to change the fight drastically, or even end it. That sickener he landed on Hopkins in the eighth? Ward would still be unconscious today. Sergey proved in that fight that he can deal with a tricky opponent. Easily. And it's even more impressive that he so comprehensively beat an (albeit past it) all time great that was so focused on defense that most would have got frustrated and looked bad. A tricky opponent who isn't totally reliant on spoiling, as Ward would have to be to stand a chance? Even easier.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 03 Feb 2016, 13:01
by Ezzard
I hope you're right.

I have a tendency to go with the defensive fighter in these big fight match ups.

I envisage Ward moving around and simply not engaging a little like Rigo who prevents a fight from breaking out. Then looking to land one or two accurate shots and continue to move and move and move. When Kov does close the distance Ward will completely collapse any space between them and will clutch and slip and butt.

Kov was not as effective up close. Ward is a master at never being in that mid-range.

What will happen if Kov does land flush?

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 03 Feb 2016, 13:18
by ikorolev
Ezzard wrote: What will happen if Kov does land flush?
Do you think that Ward could beat a count after Kovalev lands flush to his head ? Do you think that Ward can take Kovalev's jabs to the body ? Do you think that Ward can avoid getting hit for 12 rounds ? I find that close to impossible.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 03 Feb 2016, 13:26
by Ezzard
What is Ward's track record of getting hit flush? Doesn't happen that often. He's a defensive fighter.

I seem to remember him getting dropped once. Could be wrong though.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 03 Feb 2016, 13:40
by Baby Face Finster
The key to this fight is the jab. If Kovalev didn't have or utilize such a stiff and accurate jab then I could see Ward winning easily, but Kovalev does have a very good jab. Ward is going to have to get past that punishing jab. He can not win the fight on the outside. He has to close distance and work inside but getting past that jab will be key. Can he do it? I don't think so.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 03 Feb 2016, 14:20
by ikorolev
Ezzard wrote:What is Ward's track record of getting hit flush? Doesn't happen that often. He's a defensive fighter.

I seem to remember him getting dropped once. Could be wrong though.
He also got dropped a couple of times in the Olympic semi-final where he was gifted a decision.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 03 Feb 2016, 17:13
by Counter-puncher
Baby Face Finster wrote:The key to this fight is the jab. If Kovalev didn't have or utilize such a stiff and accurate jab then I could see Ward winning easily, but Kovalev does have a very good jab. Ward is going to have to get past that punishing jab. He can not win the fight on the outside. He has to close distance and work inside but getting past that jab will be key. Can he do it? I don't think so.
Oh, indeed, if Kov lands that jab with any kind of frequency its curtains for ward, no doubt.

If ward were to manage to take the jab away from him- and this does happen even to great jabbers (first random instance that comes to mind, Witherspoon vs Holmes took away possibly the greatest jab in heavyweight history, pretty much completely nullified it), ward wouldn't be the first athletic and smart fighter to offset a good jab- the fight has a very different complexion I think.

I wouldn't bet money on it but athletic smart guys can sometimes seriously fvck with the rhythm and timing of a big puncher. Yes, Kovalev has shown himself to be good at cutting the ring off, but he hasn't done that against anyone near as mobile as ward, that I recall, so to a degree it remains to be seen if he can make the ring small enough to fight his fight.

I assume Kovalev will be betting favourite? I don't think theres a good argument against that.

Re: Sergey Kovalev vs Andre Ward Master Thread

Posted: 03 Feb 2016, 20:30
by Evander
With Ward fighting in March and in the event he comes through relatively unscathed I'm expecting these two to be kicking it off against one another in their next fight, this could be a big game changer at the high level P4P ranks.
When the idea first surfaced that this contest could happen I thought Ward would win, but since the Smith and Pascal fights I find myself wavering a bit.
Kovalev has looked fantastic lately, his conditioning power pace and drive have highly impressed me and it's perfectly reasonable to say he could beat Ward.
Ward had the long lay off and has come back in quality physical shape, he does look slightly vulnerable to power but some of that could be down to such things as inactivity or new weight class I don't know yet, the next fight should make things a bit clearer in a lot of fields.
Kovalev is a patient fighter with a healthy punching appetite, it's clear to see he carries a concussive shot on him and seemingly has natural power which bodes well for him should the circumstances unfold in a particular fashion.
I haven't done the media rounds so I'm unsure of exactly where the politics lines are drawn, but as far as I'm concerned it's a bout that has to happen ... it's great for us [boxing].