Liam Smith: Not be as good as we think?

[Lenny]

I'd say Smith would just about scrape into Canelo's top 10 opponents.

Would be a massive upset for him to win this. Got that Pavlik/Lockett, Cotto/Jennings feel about it

[rd350lc]

Now there's a suprise , somebody Horse doesn't like - bet that list is very , very long .

And you're on it.

very good

you must have loads of mates .

[TheCobra]

Would be a massive upset for him to win this. Got that Pavlik/Lockett, Cotto/Jennings feel about it

I think it's a bit better than that, but we'll see I guess! Jennings didn't really have any sort of dig on him and Lockett was a very limited type. I'd put Liam Smith at decent Euro level, fringe world level, just don't think he'll have enough tonight but I think those comprarisons are a bit off.

[rab]

A lot of people think he has the power to stop Canelo? or outbox him..

Who???

This. I've not seen one post that has even said there is a chance of this happening let alone stating it will happen.

I think (hope) Smith can go 12

could he have a chance with body shots ? canelo is a high waist band man. i always get the feeling that boxers that wear a guard high with shorts several inches above their belly button are giving a small tell they really don't like body shots ,i know no one actually likes getting hit to the body, but there are some that take them worse than others.

[dookus]

For me the punch that gives Smith real problems, potentially, is the looping long right uppercut/hook Canelo loves to throw coming in behind the jab. Smith typically stands at mid-range square-on with a high guard - I can see that punch crashing straight through his gloves over and over, especially given Smith's typical Gallagher gym lack of head movement.

Initially I was all set to put money on the 3-1 Canelo PTS bet - that seemed such good odds given that Canelo is a good but not great puncher at world level - but having reviewed Smith's record I cannot find any evidence that he has the chin to stand up to a proper world-class puncher, and we know from his style that he's not going to be evading many of those shots. Maybe yes, maybe no - but for me, not enough evidence the bookies have those odds wrong.

In any event I'll be watching tonight in an LA bar - expecting a totally partisan crowd and a lot of cheering every time Canelo's right lands!