Betting thread

[reggaereggae]

Did anyone take my Buglioni bet? :-) The price bet was decent considering..... Roll on!

[reggaereggae]

one of thse guys will lose is what I think

Usmanee's stepped in on short notice, so I'd say Buglioni is most likely to lose, Khomitsky has given a few good fighters some problems.

Bro - sorry you lost. And hate saying I warned you but.... I won £90 off a tenner against Buglioni

[jessi]

Just put £10 on a draw after round 5 of the manny fight
16/1

[The Insider]

Did anyone take my Buglioni bet? :-) The price bet was decent considering..... Roll on!

No had a free night and small profit off Price inside 4. Had a treble Vasquez, Vargas and Usmanee but the latter let me down.

[GlobalBox]

Did anyone take my Buglioni bet? :-) The price bet was decent considering..... Roll on!

I could not have a middle beating a super middle at that level {both similar standard) but it was a great shout. Finished level for the night backing Vasquez to beat felix but
Feel I should have won money

Good call though

[broomy7s]

Anyone found any odds on the Crolla vs Murray fight yet?

[expe]

Strange to have backed a person I think will lose but have had to back Mckenzie Rounds 1,2 and 3 against Conquest with PP 55,50,40, just seem way to big

There are 18s about for those three which is the right call as you cant go too low obviously or it will mess up what you do for the other rounds but they are just too big

Sometimes you just have to give the bookie your money when you think it will probably lose because the prices make you, however sometimes it just comes back.

My most famous two like this were Rahman/Lewis 1 , I backed Hasim in rounds 1-6 all at 100 even though I thought Lennox would win and indeed desperately wanted him to, just thought the prices were crazy what with Lennox playing his role in Oceans 11 etc. Also backed Sanders against Wlad at 125/1 rounds 1,2 and 3.

Only had a fiver on each of the rounds but it was tidy pick up, there have been many times the prices have been wrong since and had the odd little tickle but thought I would try my luck tonight
Fancy Conquest 2nd half of the fight around 8-10, but although would not have backed McKenzie rounds at 20s as that would be reasonable this seems big.

Good post. So often people forget betting is about finding value. Crucially this doesn't necessarily mean you're backing the result you think will happen but rather the result that has a better chance of happening than the bookies are giving it.

And the bookies have thrown another one out there, Munyai 10/1 to beat Quigg.

[GlobalBox]

Strange to have backed a person I think will lose but have had to back Mckenzie Rounds 1,2 and 3 against Conquest with PP 55,50,40, just seem way to big

There are 18s about for those three which is the right call as you cant go too low obviously or it will mess up what you do for the other rounds but they are just too big

Sometimes you just have to give the bookie your money when you think it will probably lose because the prices make you, however sometimes it just comes back.

My most famous two like this were Rahman/Lewis 1 , I backed Hasim in rounds 1-6 all at 100 even though I thought Lennox would win and indeed desperately wanted him to, just thought the prices were crazy what with Lennox playing his role in Oceans 11 etc. Also backed Sanders against Wlad at 125/1 rounds 1,2 and 3.

Only had a fiver on each of the rounds but it was tidy pick up, there have been many times the prices have been wrong since and had the odd little tickle but thought I would try my luck tonight
Fancy Conquest 2nd half of the fight around 8-10, but although would not have backed McKenzie rounds at 20s as that would be reasonable this seems big.

Good post. So often people forget betting is about finding value. Crucially this doesn't necessarily mean you're backing the result you think will happen but rather the result that has a better chance of happening than the bookies are giving it.

And the bookies have thrown another one out there, Munyai 10/1 to beat Quigg.

Was unlucky in the end as I ended up having rounds 1-4 backed for McKenzie at fancy prices and he goes and does him in the fifth, Still not to worry, it was crazy value.

Agree Munyai is not a 10/1 shot, still not convinced about Quigg holding a really big shot, although I am very impressed with his overall skill level. I would have put Munyai in around the 5s mark as I accept he has not mixed at a high level at 122lbs, however he has decent pop a long reach and some skills, although I think he can be hurt as well having watched him against one of the Mexicans he fought, he was in a little trouble at one poiint, not sure Quigg would have let him off the hook. Still definite value at 10s thats for sure.

[broomy7s]

I've only been betting on boxing for about a year. Maybe only 1 or 2 bets a month when there is clear value. It's safe to say in my experience, the bookies know sod all about boxing and how to price it up. Mckenzie shot down too 2/1 on saturday after being as big as 7/2. I'm really hoping they get it wrong pricing Crolla vs Murray.

[SteveDow]

Hopkins looks free money at 8/15 to beat Shumanov. Him to win on points is 8/13 but will probably just dump a load on the win.

[JayMc]

What do people think of Malignaggi chances to beat Porter - 9/4 on points ?

Hopkins by decision @ 8/13 is not great value but will no doubt be the outcome.

Still no odds available for Murray v Crolla ?

[Deno1986]

What do people think of Malignaggi chances to beat Porter - 9/4 on points ?

Hopkins by decision @ 8/13 is not great value but will no doubt be the outcome.

Still no odds available for Murray v Crolla ?

Murray 4/5 Crolla 6/5 (Oddschecker)

[ThereByTheGrace]

Fancy Crolla to beat Murray on saturday. The longer it goes the better for Crolla. Should be a great fight

[Ronners]

Did anyone take my Buglioni bet? :-) The price bet was decent considering..... Roll on!

Yes I wagered £1 on it, I've not yet decided what to spend the winnings on.

[Bard of Boxrec]

I'm tempted by a hail mary on Luis Collazo. waiting for the stoppage odds to drop. The bookies are going to be massive scaredy-cats on that market though, they'll all wait for someone else to put it up.

Interesting to see the graphs on Oddschecker. It says that 78 per cent of money wagered on this fight through Oddschecker has gone on Collazo, yet Luis is still a 10/3 dog. Unbelievable, to think there must be a hell of a lot of rubes out there going direct through bookies shovelling money on Khan.

[SteveDow]

I'm tempted by a hail mary on Luis Collazo. waiting for the stoppage odds to drop. The bookies are going to be massive scaredy-cats on that market though, they'll all wait for someone else to put it up.

Interesting to see the graphs on Oddschecker. It says that 78 per cent of money wagered on this fight through Oddschecker has gone on Collazo, yet Luis is still a 10/3 dog. Unbelievable, to think there must be a hell of a lot of rubes out there going direct through bookies shovelling money on Khan.

Khan is a ridiculously skinny price for that fight given that he has no experience at welter.

[Bard of Boxrec]

I'm tempted by a hail mary on Luis Collazo. waiting for the stoppage odds to drop. The bookies are going to be massive scaredy-cats on that market though, they'll all wait for someone else to put it up.

Interesting to see the graphs on Oddschecker. It says that 78 per cent of money wagered on this fight through Oddschecker has gone on Collazo, yet Luis is still a 10/3 dog. Unbelievable, to think there must be a hell of a lot of rubes out there going direct through bookies shovelling money on Khan.

Khan is a ridiculously skinny price for that fight given that he has no experience at welter.

It's astonishing. Who are these swathes of mugs betting on Khan? Or maybe it just needs a few crazed rich fans who just bet thousands on him regardless of odds or knowledge of the sport. Either way, not complaining...

EDIT bet down on Collazo KO, 7/2 Betfred. That price won't be around long I shouldn't think.

[JWP]

For as long as there is 3/1 Collazo to win the fight around then the 7/2 Collazo KO will represent shocking value. The difference between the two prices is 2.78% which means by backing Collazo KO @ 7/2 you believe Collazo Points is a 35/1 shot. Its not.

Just advice and of course ye dont have to listen but I think you would be better served just taking the 3/1 Collazo and if Khan is up and down all night but sees the final bell then you'll still be a happy man.

[SteveDow]

Yes and whilst I haven't done the maths the difference between taking Hopkins to win (4/7 now) over on points 8/13 is similarly negligable no doubt.

[Boxing Prospect]

Paddy Power have hinted on twitter that they will be taking bets on Next Wednesday's fights in Japan...Kiko may have nice odds against Hasegawa.

[Deno1986]

Missed the boat on the Munyai 10/1 odds but 17/2 still represents good value as does the draw odds of 33/1.

[JC]

Quigg points at 2/1 (Stan James) looks decent

[Glass Joe]

I put a small bet on porter to stop paulie, at 6/1

[rubberneck]

Missed the boat on the Munyai 10/1 odds but 17/2 still represents good value as does the draw odds of 33/1.

^^^

Tempted by the draw for Munyai at 33/1, and also Crolla/Murray at 25/1. Worth sticking a fiver on the double with skybet....

[digzee]

Does anyone think 5/2 for Tyler Goodjohn to beat Tyrone Nurse seem worth a few quid? Not been massively impressed by Nurse but maybe he will use his height and reach and stay on the outside all night and out point him, reminds me a bit like Skeete.