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Re: Betting thread
Posted: 08 Jul 2015, 15:12
by WelshJack
Old bones Ian wrote:right win me a holiday lads, i have £200 which i wish to be £400 to pay for my holiday. So which bet is a sure fire win in your books.
Just lump it on people you know will win 100% like 1/10 shots.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 08 Jul 2015, 16:11
by freddydoesdallas
I'm a big Murray fan but the 11/10 on Federer to beat him looks pretty huge. Federee has eased past everyone so far whereas Murray has had a few hiccups
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 08 Jul 2015, 17:10
by keithmoonhangover
Anyone think Wlad by stoppage is easy money?
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 08 Jul 2015, 17:41
by reggaereggae
keithmoonhangover wrote:Anyone think Wlad by stoppage is easy money?
I don't know. Wlad can be so careful. And Fury's chin only seems suspect in the early rounds.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 08 Jul 2015, 18:05
by bruthead
Chad Mendes out to 7/4 (2.75) with Stan James.
Cesar Rene Cuenca looks like value at 5/1 against Ik Wang unless anyone has any direct insight into it. Cuenca is away from home but neither guy has boxed at the highest level before, and it looks reasonably evenly matched.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 10 Jul 2015, 08:44
by ardybo
BillyTKid wrote:For those who bet on the UFC....Mendes to beat Mcgregor at 2.38. Mcgregor is great in the stand up but a lot of that price is hype. Mendes will take him down and grind him.
A lot are backing McGregor, although I don't know much about this sport
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 10 Jul 2015, 13:44
by freddydoesdallas
freddydoesdallas wrote:I'm a big Murray fan but the 11/10 on Federer to beat him looks pretty huge. Federee has eased past everyone so far whereas Murray has had a few hiccups
Didn't think it would be that easy for Federer. Sure I'll find a way to lose it all by Monday though
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 10 Jul 2015, 23:44
by bruthead
Opening prices for David Price-Erkan Teper: Price 3/10, Teper 11/4, Draw 33/1
Price should win this fight but 11/4 is a tasty price on Teper who has home advantage in Germany. I'll hedge with something like Price inside 4 rounds when more options become available.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 11 Jul 2015, 07:26
by Bard of Boxrec
Teper looks like an obese plodder but seems to be able to take a dig. Hmmm. At first I thought as vulnerable as Price is he should be able to take this guy. But if Teper is as gritty as I think it is and can take Price deep...well, we all know how much Price loves that situation. 11/4 looks good and won't last long.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 12 Jul 2015, 06:32
by SteveDow
Agree on Teper. Really want Price to win though. Will be interesting to see what the price is for the fight not to go the distance. I reckon someone is getting stopped here.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 13 Jul 2015, 15:19
by The Insider
Tyrone nurse is stonking value @ 3/1 to beat the largely untested Chris Jenkins so there is definitely space to bet and hedge there.
Price V Tepper not to go the distance is a cert but the market is unavailable at the moment. I don't expect this to be generously priced though
There are also a couple of other really good bets this weekend but need a bit more research. Fingers crossed were counting our winnings this time next week.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 07:41
by Shanemc
Canelo 10/3 to stop Cotto looks good odds I know a lot of people fancy it
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 07:42
by SteveDow
Shanemc wrote:Canelo 10/3 to stop Cotto looks good odds I know a lot of people fancy it
That is a good price. Cotto has been stopped a few times before and Canelo can clearly bang.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 07:46
by SteveDow
Andy Lee to beat Billy Joe Saunders at 5/6 with Stan James is massive in my view. Lee is fighting on home turf and has proved himself to be a world level operator. BJS is a level below in my view.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 07:49
by keithmoonhangover
SteveDow wrote:Andy Lee to beat Billy Joe Saunders at 5/6 with Stan James is massive in my view. Lee is fighting on home turf and has proved himself to be a world level operator. BJS is a level below in my view.
I thought that, but I was talking to a guy that knows both of them very well and who's opinion I respect and he told me that BJS is going to win this one with ease.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 07:52
by SteveDow
keithmoonhangover wrote:SteveDow wrote:Andy Lee to beat Billy Joe Saunders at 5/6 with Stan James is massive in my view. Lee is fighting on home turf and has proved himself to be a world level operator. BJS is a level below in my view.
I thought that, but I was talking to a guy that knows both of them very well and who's opinion I respect and he told me that BJS is going to win this one with ease.
That's interesting but I'd be hugely surprised if he does. Lee will get any close decision I think and he has that equaliser of a right hand. His win over Korabov and draw with Quillan is form levels above anything Saunders has done in my view.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 08:00
by The Insider
SteveDow wrote:Andy Lee to beat Billy Joe Saunders at 5/6 with Stan James is massive in my view. Lee is fighting on home turf and has proved himself to be a world level operator. BJS is a level below in my view.
I'd say those odds are bang on right. I'd have Lee slight favorite. I personally can't split them but would just about Fancy Lee to come through. I'm definitely not confident enough to lump on so I'll be leaving it I think.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 08:01
by keithmoonhangover
SteveDow wrote:keithmoonhangover wrote:SteveDow wrote:Andy Lee to beat Billy Joe Saunders at 5/6 with Stan James is massive in my view. Lee is fighting on home turf and has proved himself to be a world level operator. BJS is a level below in my view.
I thought that, but I was talking to a guy that knows both of them very well and who's opinion I respect and he told me that BJS is going to win this one with ease.
That's interesting but I'd be hugely surprised if he does. Lee will get any close decision I think and he has that equaliser of a right hand. His win over Korabov and draw with Quillan is form levels above anything Saunders has done in my view.
That's the thing. Before he said anything, I told him Andy Lee was going to win it, then he chuckled and told me BJS was going to win pretty much every round.
I was going to have a few quid on Lee, but that's scared me off.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 08:08
by SteveDow
That's the thing. Before he said anything, I told him Andy Lee was going to win it, then he chuckled and told me BJS was going to win pretty much every round.
I was going to have a few quid on Lee, but that's scared me off.[/quote]
What is he basing his confidence on though? Saunders was pushed all the way by Eubank Jnr who is not at the level of Quillan and probably no better than Korobov. Saunders has fought no-one else really worthy of mention and will have been inactive for over 9 months by fight night.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 08:20
by keithmoonhangover
SteveDow wrote:That's the thing. Before he said anything, I told him Andy Lee was going to win it, then he chuckled and told me BJS was going to win pretty much every round.
I was going to have a few quid on Lee, but that's scared me off.
What is he basing his confidence on though? Saunders was pushed all the way by Eubank Jnr who is not at the level of Quillan and probably no better than Korobov. Saunders has fought no-one else really worthy of mention and will have been inactive for over 9 months by fight night.[/quote]
Two things, styles and the fact that we haven't seen the best of BJS. We've seen all we're ever going to see of Lee.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 10:29
by mickey1975
They will both be more than up for this, it's a huge fight.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 11:00
by GlobalBox
Think it's a pick em fight almost really, Billy Joe has great skills and I can see him boxing Lee's ears off for 5 or 6 rounds but I am not convinced with the back end of BJ''s fights to be honest despite his 12 round affairs in the past.
However, Lee does not inspire me to consider him a 12 round fighter particularly either, so Lee at the prices or Saunders at the prices, I would have to go with Saunders to be honest.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 12:13
by crusader
I'd go more by what they've shown when they've actually fought than by what Keith's mystery man says.
Can't see this being a rout for BJS and I lean slightly to Lee. Last time out he showed that he can compete with one of the best in the division for prolonged periods without having to rely on a sudden big punch stoppage, and though he was clearly hurt at points he won't be facing nearly the same firepower against BJS. Now BJS has built a nice resume and he's got some good skills, but in my opinion he's struggled multiple times against British level opposition and I have more doubts about his ability to pull through against someone like Lee than I do Lee's ability to do the same against him.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 14 Jul 2015, 23:54
by mickey1975
Keith lives in a town with a huge Romany population, so I wouldn't put too much emphasis on it, it'd be like someone in Ireland saying Lee will win.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 16 Jul 2015, 14:29
by ardybo
The Insider wrote:Tyrone nurse is stonking value @ 3/1 to beat the largely untested Chris Jenkins so there is definitely space to bet and hedge there.
Price V Tepper not to go the distance is a cert but the market is unavailable at the moment. I don't expect this to be generously priced though
There are also a couple of other really good bets this weekend but need a bit more research. Fingers crossed were counting our winnings this time next week.
Nurse and Foot are good double with Price TKO and Perez win