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Re: Betting thread
Posted: 20 Sep 2015, 04:26
by freddydoesdallas
Just been looking at the history of results between Argentina & new Zealand and it's not very often that new Zealand win by more than 22 points against them. -22 is the handicap with pp. The last 5 games have eeen a difference of 21, 21, 19, 18, 15.
The 1/2 on -16 looks like a very good bet
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 20 Sep 2015, 04:33
by Finn
freddydoesdallas wrote:Finn wrote:Sky bet voided my bet on buckland and refunded the stake post fight. Has anyone got any idea why? Not that I'm complaining.
Thin someone said that the number of stated rounds changed
Ah bonus when I was reading that comment last night I thought they meant they voided the Saunders fight.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 20 Sep 2015, 04:43
by Exoddus
Exoddus wrote:I got £50 on Ireland to win the world cup @ 10/1. They have an easy group and should give all the teams, bar France a hammering. After they win their group, they wont be 10/1. Then I'll just lay them off on befair to make a profit either way.
That's the plan anyway.

They've won one game against a rubbish team and they've already came in a point. Can only get 9/1 now. They have Italy, Romania and France left. If they continue to come in a point for each win. They will only be 6/1 in the quater-finals. If they do beat France I see them going a point and a half in. My guess it that they'll be around 11/2 if they reach the quater finals without losing game. Which they shouldn't do.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 20 Sep 2015, 05:04
by freddydoesdallas
Exoddus wrote:Exoddus wrote:I got £50 on Ireland to win the world cup @ 10/1. They have an easy group and should give all the teams, bar France a hammering. After they win their group, they wont be 10/1. Then I'll just lay them off on befair to make a profit either way.
That's the plan anyway.

They've won one game against a rubbish team and they've already came in a point. Can only get 9/1 now. They have Italy, Romania and France left. If they continue to come in a point for each win. They will only be 6/1 in the quater-finals. If they do beat France I see them going a point and a half in. My guess it that they'll be around 11/2 if they reach the quater finals without losing game. Which they shouldn't do.
I reckon you might need to see some vulnerability in new Zealand to get that type of price. Ireland have to beat them and then win the final!
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 20 Sep 2015, 05:31
by Exoddus
Yeah, I'll be laying Ireland off in the quarter-finals. I'm hoping to be able to lay them off around 6/1. Which shouldn't be a problem as they've already came in a point just beating Canada. They have Italy and France yet, who can play rugby but Ireland should beat them both comfortably. I think New Zeland will win it, but spotted an opportunity for a potential free bet. We'll just have to wait and see what happens to Irelands price.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 20 Sep 2015, 07:21
by Deno1986
freddydoesdallas wrote:4 of the first games in the RWC have seen the favourites score a penalty as the first score of the game. Prices for that today are
Samoa 6/4
Wales 3/1
New zealand 11/8
Might do singles and a treble on this today. Wales might let it down but after the s Africa shock they may just put points up early on
Good start mate. I done a small treble with the above.

Re: Betting thread
Posted: 20 Sep 2015, 08:55
by freddydoesdallas
Deno1986 wrote:Samoa to win & -48.5 match points @ 5/4. I can never figure out Samoa, sometimes they look shìt hot and other times they are like 15 headless chickens chasing an egg. USA should keep them tight for a while but won't be able to cope with the physicality over 80 minutes.
Ma'a Nonu to score a try anytime @ 2/1. The old warrior is in some of the best form of his career, has a knack of scoring against the Pumas and at the World Cup.
Another cracking spot mate! You're on fire in this tournament
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 20 Sep 2015, 09:00
by Deno1986
Yeah, it's been a tidy weekend! Hope it continues for the next 4 weeks or so.
![[icon_e_biggrin.gif] :D](./images/smilies/icon_e_biggrin.gif)
D
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 20 Sep 2015, 11:55
by freddydoesdallas
freddydoesdallas wrote:4 of the first games in the RWC have seen the favourites score a penalty as the first score of the game. Prices for that today are
Samoa 6/4
Wales 3/1
New zealand 11/8
Might do singles and a treble on this today. Wales might let it down but after the s Africa shock they may just put points up early on
2/3 ain't bad. Wales were always the worry although i wasn't expecting Uruguay to score!
Think I'll be doing this bet for the next round at least
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 20 Sep 2015, 13:02
by Deno1986
Ma'a Nonu gave me no value there.
Argentina really putting it up to NZ here.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 20 Sep 2015, 17:02
by Batley18
Scared to bet on the rugby now. Had a mate who took Japan at 46/1 at HT against SA. Unbelievable value.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 21 Sep 2015, 13:40
by Ettt9350
Yamanaka for the stoppage or points win against Moreno?
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 22 Sep 2015, 04:49
by Finn
I've just seen that W Klitschko is 1/1 for the stoppage against fury. Surely thats just giving money away?
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 22 Sep 2015, 05:42
by freddydoesdallas
Finn wrote:I've just seen that W Klitschko is 1/1 for the stoppage against fury. Surely thats just giving money away?
It is very enticing. Anything other than that and Fury has done incredible. I can't see how he will stand up to a big right from Wlad
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 22 Sep 2015, 07:11
by Bard of Boxrec
Finn wrote:I've just seen that W Klitschko is 1/1 for the stoppage against fury. Surely thats just giving money away?
yeah that's what I used my free bet on. Considering steaming in for more. Although who knows when Mr Octopus will turn up and stink the place out with 12 rounds of loving embrace.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 22 Sep 2015, 07:24
by Batley18
Riddick Blowe wrote:Finn wrote:I've just seen that W Klitschko is 1/1 for the stoppage against fury. Surely thats just giving money away?
yeah that's what I used my free bet on. Considering steaming in for more. Although who knows when Mr Octopus will turn up and stink the place out with 12 rounds of loving embrace.
Will Fury actually get close enough for Wlad to tag him. Pretty sure it is going to be jabbing heaven.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 22 Sep 2015, 15:46
by Deno1986
I like Australia -26 vs Fiji. Australia will be fresh going into the game whereas Fiji are coming off a 5 day turnaround. Australia will have the physicality to match the Fijians. I think it will be tight for 40/50 minutes but Fiji will tire.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 22 Sep 2015, 16:16
by freddydoesdallas
Deno1986 wrote:I like Australia -26 vs Fiji. Australia will be fresh going into the game whereas Fiji are coming off a 5 day turnaround. Australia will have the physicality to match the Fijians. I think it will be tight for 40/50 minutes but Fiji will tire.
I've just said the same in the rwc thread on the off topic page. Think it's a cracking line.
I'm going on 3 Pens to scot, aus, france again.
Also paddy power are going 6/1 fofana 1st try. Seems good to me
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 22 Sep 2015, 16:33
by Deno1986
freddydoesdallas wrote:Deno1986 wrote:I like Australia -26 vs Fiji. Australia will be fresh going into the game whereas Fiji are coming off a 5 day turnaround. Australia will have the physicality to match the Fijians. I think it will be tight for 40/50 minutes but Fiji will tire.
I've just said the same in the rwc thread on the off topic page. Think it's a cracking line.
I'm going on 3 Pens to scot, aus, france again.
Also paddy power are going 6/1 fofana 1st try. Seems good to me
Didn't see your tip over there. Great minds think alike.

Re: Betting thread
Posted: 22 Sep 2015, 18:30
by digzee
Finn wrote:I've just seen that W Klitschko is 1/1 for the stoppage against fury. Surely thats just giving money away?
I got on at 5/4 (8th of August) now its 11/10 but I don't know if its worth waiting a little longer as surely there will be some money on Fury as this fight gets closer?
Wlad can often be safety first but Fury doesn't punch hard enough to worry Wlad, there is no way Fury can stay out of range for 12 rounds he's not good enough.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 23 Sep 2015, 05:46
by Bard of Boxrec
digzee wrote:Finn wrote:I've just seen that W Klitschko is 1/1 for the stoppage against fury. Surely thats just giving money away?
I got on at 5/4 (8th of August) now its 11/10 but I don't know if its worth waiting a little longer as surely there will be some money on Fury as this fight gets closer?
Wlad can often be safety first but Fury doesn't punch hard enough to worry Wlad, there is no way Fury can stay out of range for 12 rounds he's not good enough.
I think the line for Wlad KO will get shorter so I would get on now.
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 23 Sep 2015, 06:49
by freddydoesdallas
anyone seen any prices on Buglioni stopping Chudinov yet or vice versa?
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 23 Sep 2015, 07:34
by reggaereggae
freddydoesdallas wrote:anyone seen any prices on Buglioni stopping Chudinov yet or vice versa?
Only 1.62 at coral
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 23 Sep 2015, 08:17
by freddydoesdallas
Cheers. Hopefully i'll continue building a decent pot with the rugby and have a fair few on it.
Got Aussies -25 at evens with Coral on my lunch and after reading the racing post i'm going with Michael Leitch to score a try for Japan at 17/2 with B365.
Also going on the favourites scoring a penalty as first scoring play @
Scotland 6/4
Aussies 15/8
France 6/4
Busy day for a weds!
Re: Betting thread
Posted: 23 Sep 2015, 08:20
by digzee
Riddick Blowe wrote:digzee wrote:Finn wrote:I've just seen that W Klitschko is 1/1 for the stoppage against fury. Surely thats just giving money away?
I got on at 5/4 (8th of August) now its 11/10 but I don't know if its worth waiting a little longer as surely there will be some money on Fury as this fight gets closer?
Wlad can often be safety first but Fury doesn't punch hard enough to worry Wlad, there is no way Fury can stay out of range for 12 rounds he's not good enough.
I think the line for Wlad KO will get shorter so I would get on now.
That's a shame but cant complain I guess. Gonna put it in some doubles and trebles, have you got any tips?