BoxRec

cmdenny wrote: ↑24 Aug 2023, 16:50 you will prob get filled at 1.13 on Betfair, or you can take 1.12 now. £509 return (1.13) so an extra £109 for your stated £4k bet after the 2% commisson.

I sometimes wander onto WallStreetBets sub on reddit, and there moderators delete posts where the poster doesn't upload a copy of their trade.

Good luck to all having a bet.

jwfg wrote: ↑23 Aug 2023, 06:00

Exoddus wrote: ↑23 Aug 2023, 05:37 £4000 to win £400 isn't a bet for me. However it's not bad really. As Usyk will win this fight.

However, id rather risk £150 on Usyk points @ 14/5 to win £420. Usyk hasn't stopped any decent heavyweight. It's been what 3 years since he last stopped anyone?

Dubois took plenty off JJ. His face was a total mess but he still got to round 10. He'll be a better fighter for it.

Usyk points is the bet I'll be doing. Losing 4k would have an impact on my life, but £150 wouldn't! However each individual should only bet what you can afford to lose.

I have a feeling the fight will be stopped by either the ref, the doctor or the towel. I can see Usyk finding a home for a lot of his shots early in the fight and the accumulation will be the end of DDD.

I can definitely afford to lose the £4,000, but I won't be at all happy with myself if I do.

Ruthless-RKO wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 09:04 Oleksandr Usyk 220.9
Daniel Dubois 233

Manchester Hitman wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 09:08

Ruthless-RKO wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 09:04 Oleksandr Usyk 220.9
Daniel Dubois 233

Dubois around the 10lb lighter than normal. Assuming It doesn’t affect his power, and increases his speed a touch, that can only benefit him.

Manchester Hitman wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 09:08

Ruthless-RKO wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 09:04 Oleksandr Usyk 220.9
Daniel Dubois 233

Dubois around the 10lb lighter than normal. Assuming It doesn’t affect his power, and increases his speed a touch, that can only benefit him.

Oiky wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 11:22 Usyk with ease, as we all know

Coco wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 11:28

Oiky wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 11:22 Usyk with ease, as we all know

Exactly that

CaptainSpacerod wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 05:21 Gamblers take note - the answers you seek are all in the boxrec polls.

For any given fight, if the percentage of people who think boxer A will win in the boxrec poll is sufficiently higher than the implied probability in prices available on boxer A on the betting exchanges, be confident that you are getting good value.

In this case it’s a no bet. 89% of Boxwreckers pick Usyk to win and the implied probability of Usyk winning according to the 1.12 price on the exchanges is 89% so there’s no value to be had.

rd350lc wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 16:42 I suppose we're all thinking easy night for Usyk , but he did get caught quite often against old Del boy and Bellew too and didn't look great on his heavyweight debut either, mind you DDD didn't look great against JJ or his last fight .
Yes still easy night for Usyk.

jwfg wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 16:48

rd350lc wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 16:42 I suppose we're all thinking easy night for Usyk , but he did get caught quite often against old Del boy and Bellew too and didn't look great on his heavyweight debut either, mind you DDD didn't look great against JJ or his last fight .
Yes still easy night for Usyk.

DDD just got floored three times in the first round by a South African cruiserweight.

rd350lc wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 16:50

jwfg wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 16:48

rd350lc wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 16:42 I suppose we're all thinking easy night for Usyk , but he did get caught quite often against old Del boy and Bellew too and didn't look great on his heavyweight debut either, mind you DDD didn't look great against JJ or his last fight .
Yes still easy night for Usyk.

DDD just got floored three times in the first round by a South African cruiserweight.

What tonight ?
Yes I did note that one , bit of an odd one with a leg injury going on as well tho wasn't it ? .

jwfg wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 17:02

rd350lc wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 16:50

jwfg wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 16:48

DDD just got floored three times in the first round by a South African cruiserweight.

What tonight ?
Yes I did note that one , bit of an odd one with a leg injury going on as well tho wasn't it ? .

The first knockdown was a punch direct to the frontal lobe, He got hit with it and went down. He got up and showed no indications of injury to the legs or feet and then none again in the second round. If he had ankle damage it would likely get worse as the fight went on, not better.

jwfg wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 13:58

CaptainSpacerod wrote: ↑25 Aug 2023, 05:21 Gamblers take note - the answers you seek are all in the boxrec polls.

For any given fight, if the percentage of people who think boxer A will win in the boxrec poll is sufficiently higher than the implied probability in prices available on boxer A on the betting exchanges, be confident that you are getting good value.

In this case it’s a no bet. 89% of Boxwreckers pick Usyk to win and the implied probability of Usyk winning according to the 1.12 price on the exchanges is 89% so there’s no value to be had.

That would work if it was actually true, but unfortunately BoxRec posters don't accurately pick the winners of fights and the stats you mention don't mean a great deal.