Betting thread

[ladnarf]

I'm gonna go Usyk, Canelo, Monroe points should be about 12-1 or more, might hedge with Glowacki points coz I have a sneaky feeling if it's close Glowacki will get the home decision.

Pissed off I didn't jump at the Justin deloach odds of 3/1 earlier today didn't expect to go down so quick.

Do you fancy Deloach for this one or just seeing value at 3's.? Bookies cant split em now.

[Jmashyaka]

I'm gonna go Usyk, Canelo, Monroe points should be about 12-1 or more, might hedge with Glowacki points coz I have a sneaky feeling if it's close Glowacki will get the home decision.

Pissed off I didn't jump at the Justin deloach odds of 3/1 earlier today didn't expect to go down so quick.

Do you fancy Deloach for this one or just seeing value at 3's.? Bookies cant split em now.

His in good form atm, I wouldn't put big money on him but I'm gunna have him in my accumulator, his height should be a problem for Dalton. His favourite on bet365 3/5 but on paddy power his at 2.7 I think

[TheLeprechaun]

I doubled up Usyk with Canelo earlier in the week. Free money

[Jmashyaka]

I doubled up Usyk with Canelo earlier in the week. Free money

Canelo yeah but Usyk one is tight Glowacki is a live underdog if he makes it close and it takes it to the scorecard we could see some home cooking.

[littlepug]

I doubled up Usyk with Canelo earlier in the week. Free money

canelo on points ?

[littlepug]

frank Galarza 7-2 to beat ishe smith, don't know much about Galarza other than he was the first to beat john Thompson, smith cant have a whole lot left can he ?

[Jmashyaka]

frank Galarza 7-2 to beat ishe smith, don't know much about Galarza other than he was the first to beat john Thompson, smith cant have a whole lot left can he ?

I like the look of that I think there could be a few upsets soon, there was already today with Hugo Ruiz losing.

[JimGunn]

Taking a chance on a few underdogs this weekend. Small stab on Frank Galarza to beat 38 year old Ishe Smith on the PBC card on Bounce TV from Vegas tonight at decent odds. Also the more experienced Glowacki to stay undefeated vs Usyk in the WBO Cruiserweight championship bout in Poland Saturday afternoon. For the big PPV card on Saturday evening Gabriel Rosado seemed fired up and pushed Willie Monroe at the weigh-ins. He could win the co-main event via aggression if he makes it a brawl instead of a technical fight with Monroe Jr.. Finally I'm expecting a Canelo decision over Liam Smith in the main event so I bet the over 7½ rounds and Canelo by 12 round decision.

PBC on Bounce TV

Frank Galarza (+345) vs Ishe Smith $28.99 for $100.00

WBO Cruiserweight Championship

Krzysztof Glowacki (+230) vs Oleksandr Usyk $100.00 for $230.00

HBO PPV

Gabriel Rosado (+130) vs Willie Monroe Jr. $100.00 for $130.00

Saul Alvarez/Liam Smith Over 7½ (-145) $58.00 for $40.00

Saul Alvarez wins by 12 round decision (+260) $40.00 for $104.00

[freddydoesdallas]

Saul Alvarez wins by 12 round decision (+260) $40.00 for $104.00

Interestingly to see the us price on this. Over here, 40 will return 150-160

[Deno1986]

SkyBet offering a free €/£10 bet for new joiners (no deposit required).

[dookus]

Dimitrenko now 11-1 against Parker on Bet365 (widened from 7-1 earlier in the thread).

For me, those are crazy odds. Yes, Parker is the favourite - he has quick hands, throws neat combinations, and looks to have good power and a solid chin (based on the lowly opposition he's fought). Dimitrenko has a less-than-stellar chin, an awkward style, and is at the end of a 15-year career during which he hasn't beaten anyone above solid European level.

But, to flip this on its head: Parker's performance against Takam was simply not that of a future world champion. He was blowing very heavily after six rounds, his technique got ragged, and frankly he was very fortunate that Takam stopped throwing punches in the last third of the fight. He also has a history of getting caught with counters over and over because he just doesn't move his head when throwing.

Conversely, beside the obvious deficit in experience, Dimitrenko has a significant height and reach advantage and has shown an ability to fight hard for twelve rounds, having scored a late KO against Sosnowski. He moves his head pretty well and is accurate, landing 36% of his power punches and taking 4 out of 10 rounds against Pulev in 2012, who at the time was being hailed as #2 or #3 in the division (behind only Povetkin and Klitschko).

Parker should take it, of course, and if he's going anywhere at world level he will. But surely this is a 60-40 or 65-35 fight, not a 91-9 fight! Parker gassing after 6 and getting slowly countered / outworked to a decision loss is not out of the question.

Anyone else have any thoughts?

[ElJefe]

First leg of the treble is in with Usyk winning on points.

[dookus]

First leg of the treble is in with Usyk winning on points.

[Jmashyaka]

Dimitrenko now 11-1 against Parker on Bet365 (widened from 7-1 earlier in the thread).

For me, those are crazy odds. Yes, Parker is the favourite - he has quick hands, throws neat combinations, and looks to have good power and a solid chin (based on the lowly opposition he's fought). Dimitrenko has a less-than-stellar chin, an awkward style, and is at the end of a 15-year career during which he hasn't beaten anyone above solid European level.

But, to flip this on its head: Parker's performance against Takam was simply not that of a future world champion. He was blowing very heavily after six rounds, his technique got ragged, and frankly he was very fortunate that Takam stopped throwing punches in the last third of the fight. He also has a history of getting caught with counters over and over because he just doesn't move his head when throwing.

Conversely, beside the obvious deficit in experience, Dimitrenko has a significant height and reach advantage and has shown an ability to fight hard for twelve rounds, having scored a late KO against Sosnowski. He moves his head pretty well and is accurate, landing 36% of his power punches and taking 4 out of 10 rounds against Pulev in 2012, who at the time was being hailed as #2 or #3 in the division (behind only Povetkin and Klitschko).

Parker should take it, of course, and if he's going anywhere at world level he will. But surely this is a 60-40 or 65-35 fight, not a 91-9 fight! Parker gassing after 6 and getting slowly countered / outworked to a decision loss is not out of the question.

Anyone else have any thoughts?

I think dimentrenko will push him and will have good moments but his not a good fighter so I would go for Parker on points mate. One thing I will do is watch the fight and maybe put an inplay bet when Parker looks shaky, Dimentrenko just doesn't have the quality and power to stop Parker or outpoint. Your right though Parker will lose once he steps into the top 5 territory though. I think Joshua stops him late when they fight soon

[dookus]

Dimitrenko now 11-1 against Parker on Bet365 (widened from 7-1 earlier in the thread).

For me, those are crazy odds. Yes, Parker is the favourite - he has quick hands, throws neat combinations, and looks to have good power and a solid chin (based on the lowly opposition he's fought). Dimitrenko has a less-than-stellar chin, an awkward style, and is at the end of a 15-year career during which he hasn't beaten anyone above solid European level.

But, to flip this on its head: Parker's performance against Takam was simply not that of a future world champion. He was blowing very heavily after six rounds, his technique got ragged, and frankly he was very fortunate that Takam stopped throwing punches in the last third of the fight. He also has a history of getting caught with counters over and over because he just doesn't move his head when throwing.

Conversely, beside the obvious deficit in experience, Dimitrenko has a significant height and reach advantage and has shown an ability to fight hard for twelve rounds, having scored a late KO against Sosnowski. He moves his head pretty well and is accurate, landing 36% of his power punches and taking 4 out of 10 rounds against Pulev in 2012, who at the time was being hailed as #2 or #3 in the division (behind only Povetkin and Klitschko).

Parker should take it, of course, and if he's going anywhere at world level he will. But surely this is a 60-40 or 65-35 fight, not a 91-9 fight! Parker gassing after 6 and getting slowly countered / outworked to a decision loss is not out of the question.

Anyone else have any thoughts?

I think dimentrenko will push him and will have good moments but his not a good fighter so I would go for Parker on points mate. One thing I will do is watch the fight and maybe put an inplay bet when Parker looks shaky, Dimentrenko just doesn't have the quality and power to stop Parker or outpoint. Your right though Parker will lose once he steps into the top 5 territory though. I think Joshua stops him late when they fight soon

Yeah, an in-play bet is a sound idea. I reckon Dimitrenko is a decent value bet on the basis that he will push Parker and there is always the chance of a cut or injury or Parker getting caught and hurt (unlikely to be a KO) by a counter.

[crusader]

Dimitrenko actually had decent boxing skills and speed for a big man in his day, but he doesn't have a fighter's mentality and falls apart when things don't go his way. Incidentally, it's noted that he stopped Sosnowski late in a tough fight, which is of course true, but to me it looked like he was on the verge of quitting prior to that.

He's being regularly put down by journeymen now, and I think maybe after a good round or so at the start he'll begin taking shots, go into a shell, and get beaten up. I don't think he'll make Parker work hard enough and long enough for stamina to make a difference, and while I can see him landing some solid punches to due Parker's defensive holes, I don't think he'll really do enough damage to deter Parker from opening up on him.

[Tarkus]

Krzysztof Glowacki (+230) vs Oleksandr Usyk $100.00 for $230.00

Gabriel Rosado (+130) vs Willie Monroe Jr. $100.00 for $130.00

Saul Alvarez/Liam Smith Over 7½ (-145) $58.00 for $40.00

Saul Alvarez wins by 12 round decision (+260) $40.00 for $104.00

One of us is going to profit. :)

I have:
Canelo/Smith Under 7.5 - 1.99
Monroe by PTS - 1.71
And I did win Usyk/Glowacki to go to distance - 1.54

[Jmashyaka]

Looking at this kamanga vs kozaev fight, it was even money but now it's shifting towards Kamanga. I think people are picking Kamanga coz he looks like the better fighter on paper but I watched both these guys fights recently. Kamanagas last fight they robbed the Russian guy he was lighting up Kamanga all fight but the judges gave it to the home fighter. Kamanga is so poor defensively constantly ducking with out his hands up so susceptible to an uppercut,

Kozaev might be even worse if you thought Kamangas fight was a robbery at least he was in the fight, this guy Kozaev got one of the biggest gift decisions I've seen in my life. The guy he was fighting boxed his ears off and he had a record of 15-12 but to be fair he was a very tricky journeyman and style was all wrong for Kozaev. As Kozaev keeps getting gift decisions, Im gunna go for Kozaev by robbery. Kamanga doesn't like being walked down and that seems to be Kozaev style, Kamangas best chance will be too knock him out.

[The Insider]

I think Arnfield is very generously priced at 5/1 against Ryder. Defo worth a nibble.

[TheLeprechaun]

Looking at this kamanga vs kozaev fight, it was even money but now it's shifting towards Kamanga. I think people are picking Kamanga coz he looks like the better fighter on paper but I watched both these guys fights recently. Kamanagas last fight they robbed the Russian guy he was lighting up Kamanga all fight but the judges gave it to the home fighter. Kamanga is so poor defensively constantly ducking with out his hands up so susceptible to an uppercut,

Kozaev might be even worse if you thought Kamangas fight was a robbery at least he was in the fight, this guy Kozaev got one of the biggest gift decisions I've seen in my life. The guy he was fighting boxed his ears off and he had a record of 15-12 but to be fair he was a very tricky journeyman and style was all wrong for Kozaev. As Kozaev keeps getting gift decisions, Im gunna go for Kozaev by robbery. Kamanga doesn't like being walked down and that seems to be Kozaev style, Kamangas best chance will be too knock him out.

where did you watch these fights?

[Jmashyaka]

Looking at this kamanga vs kozaev fight, it was even money but now it's shifting towards Kamanga. I think people are picking Kamanga coz he looks like the better fighter on paper but I watched both these guys fights recently. Kamanagas last fight they robbed the Russian guy he was lighting up Kamanga all fight but the judges gave it to the home fighter. Kamanga is so poor defensively constantly ducking with out his hands up so susceptible to an uppercut,

Kozaev might be even worse if you thought Kamangas fight was a robbery at least he was in the fight, this guy Kozaev got one of the biggest gift decisions I've seen in my life. The guy he was fighting boxed his ears off and he had a record of 15-12 but to be fair he was a very tricky journeyman and style was all wrong for Kozaev. As Kozaev keeps getting gift decisions, Im gunna go for Kozaev by robbery. Kamanga doesn't like being walked down and that seems to be Kozaev style, Kamangas best chance will be too knock him out.

where did you watch these fights?

There on YouTube, garrido vs Kozaev and Kamanga vs Balanoev ( not sure how you spell his name just boxrec Kamangas record)

[ElJefe]

Crolla vs Linares is a killer to predict. No outcome would surprise me. I'm tempted to just take whatever method of victory has the biggest odds come fight night. Right now that is Linares by decision at 11/2. Crazy that Linares has been in 9 World title fights and not a single one has gone the distance.

[Jmashyaka]

Crolla vs Linares is a killer to predict. No outcome would surprise me. I'm tempted to just take whatever method of victory has the biggest odds come fight night. Right now that is Linares by decision at 11/2. Crazy that Linares has been in 9 World title fights and not a single one has gone the distance.

Your right the safe bet is linares win hedged by Crolla tko, can't see Crolla out boxing linares over 12 rounds. The problem is we don't know how linares looks after 11 months off and he has a dodgy chin and skin

[littlekinny]

I think Arnfield is very generously priced at 5/1 against Ryder. Defo worth a nibble.

Definitely. Looks to have size advantage with similar records. Apparently dedicated in gym and adding a bit of pop to his punches. His trainers are very confident. But I'm sure same applies to ryder.

[Jmashyaka]

:cla