Betting thread

Bennyblanco
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 967
Joined: 19 Jul 2009, 05:01

Re: Betting thread

Post by Bennyblanco »

ok so I've had,

beterbiev rounds 7-12
tanaka
guzman
uchiyama

odds went to shit on corrales, so i thought id go for uchiyama as he's after redemption

£10 returns £86
JimGunn
Welterweight
Posts: 437
Joined: 09 Apr 2016, 10:07

Re: Betting thread

Post by JimGunn »

I think Naandrew had a good suggestion with this bout. I still like the value on the younger Corrales as a small favorite in this super-featherweight rematch on New Year's Eve in Tokyo, especially considering that he stopped Uchiyama in the second round in their last bout only eight months ago. The price on this has shot up significantly at most books.

Jezreel Corrales (-133) vs Takashi Uchiyama ~$122.09 for ~$91.80
JimGunn
Welterweight
Posts: 437
Joined: 09 Apr 2016, 10:07

Re: Betting thread

Post by JimGunn »

Small cha-ching. Beterbiev knocks down Prieto twice in the very first round and the ref waves it off as Prieto can't even get his legs under him to fully stand upright.
Bennyblanco
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 967
Joined: 19 Jul 2009, 05:01

Re: Betting thread

Post by Bennyblanco »

JimGunn wrote:Small cha-ching. Beterbiev knocks down Prieto twice in the very first round and the ref waves it off as Prieto can't even get his legs under him to fully stand upright.
Fair play, good shout :salut:
Andrew
Super Middleweight
Posts: 6108
Joined: 17 Jul 2012, 09:31

Re: Betting thread

Post by Andrew »

JimGunn wrote:I think Naandrew had a good suggestion with this bout. I still like the value on the younger Corrales as a small favorite in this super-featherweight rematch on New Year's Eve in Tokyo, especially considering that he stopped Uchiyama in the second round in their last bout only eight months ago. The price on this has shot up significantly at most books.

Jezreel Corrales (-133) vs Takashi Uchiyama ~$122.09 for ~$91.80
Yeah Corrales is favourite now from what I have seen.
Deno1986
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 5349
Joined: 25 Jul 2009, 06:58

Re: Betting thread

Post by Deno1986 »

Celtic 11/10 in play. Currently injury time first half
JimGunn
Welterweight
Posts: 437
Joined: 09 Apr 2016, 10:07

Re: Betting thread

Post by JimGunn »

Just checked results, Corrales won a split decision over Uchiyama this morning. Was wide on two cards and close on the one he lost.
Jmashyaka
Welterweight
Posts: 195
Joined: 22 Feb 2016, 18:14

Re: Betting thread

Post by Jmashyaka »

A little while away from happening but 10/3 for Adrian Granados against Broner looks pretty good, although I make Broner the favourite, Granados swarmer style is the perfect style to beat Broner whose two losses has been against swarmers in Maidana and Porter. Granted Granados isn't as good as either of them but he's brings the pressure which Broner who likes space doesn't fancy.
ElJefe
Middleweight
Posts: 2545
Joined: 22 Apr 2014, 13:13

Re: Betting thread

Post by ElJefe »

Crolla-Linares announced today...

Tom Craze @Box_Bet:
@JorgeLinares is the slim 4/6 (-150) favourite against @ant_crolla (5/4, +125) in their rematch on the March 25 @MatchroomBoxing card.
That's with @betway, who go 11/8 (+137) on a Linares decision, and 5/2 (+250) for a KO win. Crolla's 7/2 (+350) on points, 9/2 (+450) KO.
Jmashyaka
Welterweight
Posts: 195
Joined: 22 Feb 2016, 18:14

Re: Betting thread

Post by Jmashyaka »

ElJefe wrote:Crolla-Linares announced today...

Tom Craze @Box_Bet:
@JorgeLinares is the slim 4/6 (-150) favourite against @ant_crolla (5/4, +125) in their rematch on the March 25 @MatchroomBoxing card.
That's with @betway, who go 11/8 (+137) on a Linares decision, and 5/2 (+250) for a KO win. Crolla's 7/2 (+350) on points, 9/2 (+450) KO.
Linares easy money again
ozzy1875
Middleweight
Posts: 164
Joined: 11 May 2014, 14:49

Re: Betting thread

Post by ozzy1875 »

Jmashyaka wrote:
ElJefe wrote:Crolla-Linares announced today...

Tom Craze @Box_Bet:
@JorgeLinares is the slim 4/6 (-150) favourite against @ant_crolla (5/4, +125) in their rematch on the March 25 @MatchroomBoxing card.
That's with @betway, who go 11/8 (+137) on a Linares decision, and 5/2 (+250) for a KO win. Crolla's 7/2 (+350) on points, 9/2 (+450) KO.
Linares easy money again
Completely agree, this is buying money. I thought he beat Crolla quite convincingly last time out and I can't see how Crolla can improve.

4/6 an excellent price, will possibly take a look at Linares stoppage as well, remember he had Crolla rocked towards the end of the sixth I think.
JimGunn
Welterweight
Posts: 437
Joined: 09 Apr 2016, 10:07

Re: Betting thread

Post by JimGunn »

There are many good fights coming up in 2017. I'll post my first play for the new year. Mayweather's protege Gervonta "Tank" Davis fights fellow undefeated boxer Jose Pedraza next weekend in New York for the IBF super featherweight world title. It's rare that we see two undefeated boxers square off at this level. Davis gives up a two and a half inches in height and a little ring experience, but he's a southpaw, has youth and serious knockout power on his side. I'll take a shot on him as a small underdog.

Gervonta Davis (+130) vs Jose Pedraza $100.00 for $130.00
JimGunn
Welterweight
Posts: 437
Joined: 09 Apr 2016, 10:07

Re: Betting thread

Post by JimGunn »

Jmashyaka wrote:A little while away from happening but 10/3 for Adrian Granados against Broner looks pretty good, although I make Broner the favourite, Granados swarmer style is the perfect style to beat Broner whose two losses has been against swarmers in Maidana and Porter. Granted Granados isn't as good as either of them but he's brings the pressure which Broner who likes space doesn't fancy.
I'm with you all the way here. Adrian Granados is one of my favorite boxers, ever since he came off the canvas in round 1 to stop the previously undefeated Amir Imam as a +900 underdog in one of the biggest upsets of 2015. If anything is off about Broner from his training camp, to cardio or any distractions from his colorful personal life, Granados will be pressuring in his face to exploit it. I'm watching to see how the line moves. So far Granados got bet down already on the popular U.S. facing books.
Jmashyaka
Welterweight
Posts: 195
Joined: 22 Feb 2016, 18:14

Re: Betting thread

Post by Jmashyaka »

ozzy1875 wrote:
Jmashyaka wrote:
ElJefe wrote:Crolla-Linares announced today...

Tom Craze @Box_Bet:
@JorgeLinares is the slim 4/6 (-150) favourite against @ant_crolla (5/4, +125) in their rematch on the March 25 @MatchroomBoxing card.
That's with @betway, who go 11/8 (+137) on a Linares decision, and 5/2 (+250) for a KO win. Crolla's 7/2 (+350) on points, 9/2 (+450) KO.
Linares easy money again
Completely agree, this is buying money. I thought he beat Crolla quite convincingly last time out and I can't see how Crolla can improve.

4/6 an excellent price, will possibly take a look at Linares stoppage as well, remember he had Crolla rocked towards the end of the sixth I think.
I think he may stop him this time too, the referee really helped Crolla last time when he stopped Linares going to the body coz Crolla didn't seem to like those body shots, if this ref is more neutral Linares might wear him down.
Jmashyaka
Welterweight
Posts: 195
Joined: 22 Feb 2016, 18:14

Re: Betting thread

Post by Jmashyaka »

JimGunn wrote:There are many good fights coming up in 2017. I'll post my first play for the new year. Mayweather's protege Gervonta "Tank" Davis fights fellow undefeated boxer Jose Pedraza next weekend in New York for the IBF super featherweight world title. It's rare that we see two undefeated boxers square off at this level. Davis gives up a two and a half inches in height and a little ring experience, but he's a southpaw, has youth and serious knockout power on his side. I'll take a shot on him as a small underdog.

Gervonta Davis (+130) vs Jose Pedraza $100.00 for $130.00
Davis whilst possessing amazing athleticism in power and speed, has been fighting bums up until this point, your opponent before you fight a title shot shouldn't be someone with more losses than wins. He's talented but has been bought along poorly im gunna with the experienced undefeated champ in Pedraza. If Davis was bought along better he would be worth then gamble but good luck mate.
Jmashyaka
Welterweight
Posts: 195
Joined: 22 Feb 2016, 18:14

Re: Betting thread

Post by Jmashyaka »

JimGunn wrote:
Jmashyaka wrote:A little while away from happening but 10/3 for Adrian Granados against Broner looks pretty good, although I make Broner the favourite, Granados swarmer style is the perfect style to beat Broner whose two losses has been against swarmers in Maidana and Porter. Granted Granados isn't as good as either of them but he's brings the pressure which Broner who likes space doesn't fancy.
I'm with you all the way here. Adrian Granados is one of my favorite boxers, ever since he came off the canvas in round 1 to stop the previously undefeated Amir Imam as a +900 underdog in one of the biggest upsets of 2015. If anything is off about Broner from his training camp, to cardio or any distractions from his colorful personal life, Granados will be pressuring in his face to exploit it. I'm watching to see how the line moves. So far Granados got bet down already on the popular U.S. facing books.
I know your someone who likes going for the live underdog, what do you think of Zlatacanin vs Garcia. Garcia whilst being a very talented boxer has been out the ring for two years and only had 1 tune up against a guy who bought up in weight. Zlatacanin has impressive resume beating an unbeaten Redkach, beat Burns in Scotland and Petrov who is a decent fighter. Zlatacanin is all about pressure, a real swarmer if Garcia ain't up for it his gunna be in for a long night, my only worry is I could see Mickey using that huge reach advantage to keep tiny Dejan away. Gunna put Garcia in my accumulator and Go for Dejan in a single or double
JimGunn
Welterweight
Posts: 437
Joined: 09 Apr 2016, 10:07

Re: Betting thread

Post by JimGunn »

Jmashyaka wrote:
JimGunn wrote:There are many good fights coming up in 2017. I'll post my first play for the new year. Mayweather's protege Gervonta "Tank" Davis fights fellow undefeated boxer Jose Pedraza next weekend in New York for the IBF super featherweight world title. It's rare that we see two undefeated boxers square off at this level. Davis gives up a two and a half inches in height and a little ring experience, but he's a southpaw, has youth and serious knockout power on his side. I'll take a shot on him as a small underdog.

Gervonta Davis (+130) vs Jose Pedraza $100.00 for $130.00
Davis whilst possessing amazing athleticism in power and speed, has been fighting bums up until this point, your opponent before you fight a title shot shouldn't be someone with more losses than wins. He's talented but has been bought along poorly im gunna with the experienced undefeated champ in Pedraza. If Davis was bought along better he would be worth then gamble but good luck mate.
That's a good counterpoint about the experience gap. But in fact none of Davis' last nine opponents have had more losses than wins. I wish I would have caught Davis at the more than 2 to 1 opener because there was better value there. But it will be interesting to see if Davis performs as spectacularly as he has previously against much higher competition in Pedraza.
world ranked
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 2199
Joined: 21 Jan 2008, 14:21

Re: Betting thread

Post by world ranked »

Sometimes you have to have lay the favorite when you have an edge. Mikey Garcia didn't come back to boxing to lose to Dejan Z.
Even though I think Dejan is good fighter but Garcia is technical gifted.

Like I said I know people don't like laying favorites. But an advantage is and Advantage

Mikey Garcia 1/2.5
JimGunn
Welterweight
Posts: 437
Joined: 09 Apr 2016, 10:07

Re: Betting thread

Post by JimGunn »

I don' have an opinion yet on Dejan Zlaticanin vs Mikey Garcia as I'm honestly not familiar enough with these guys as I would like to be to bet until I do a bit more research on that one. But Jmashyaka is right, I'm more of an underdog bettor with boxing and with MMA where I always have a lot of action. Not always though. There are some good fights coming up with close odds.

For dogs I'm currently looking at Badou Jack around +250 vs James DeGale next weekend. Jack's body work is impressive and DeGale, while a rightful favorite, sometimes gets lazy or tired in the mid to late rounds. I just think the implied probability of the odds are off on this one. Whether that means one should play it depends on your comfort level with risk. Then there's Leo Santa Cruz as a +140 dog in the rematch with Carl Frampton. Santa Cruz seemed to be figuring Frampton out a bit in the second half of their last bout. I really want to sit down and watch that one with full attention before I pull the trigger though as last time I watched it I was distracted with other fights and bets. But I agree with you guys who mentioned Linares as a favorite around -175 in the Crolla rematch in March.
Jmashyaka
Welterweight
Posts: 195
Joined: 22 Feb 2016, 18:14

Re: Betting thread

Post by Jmashyaka »

world ranked wrote:Sometimes you have to have lay the favorite when you have an edge. Mikey Garcia didn't come back to boxing to lose to Dejan Z.
Even though I think Dejan is good fighter but Garcia is technical gifted.

Like I said I know people don't like laying favorites. But an advantage is and Advantage

Mikey Garcia 1/2.5
If I had to bet my house I would put it on Garcia but let's be honest does anyone come back to boxing to lose? I'm sure he will be coming back to win but so is Dejan. When the odds allow for it I usually have a small play on the underdog.
freddydoesdallas
Cruiserweight
Posts: 9436
Joined: 02 Sep 2010, 13:48

Re: Betting thread

Post by freddydoesdallas »

Jmashyaka wrote:
world ranked wrote:Sometimes you have to have lay the favorite when you have an edge. Mikey Garcia didn't come back to boxing to lose to Dejan Z.
Even though I think Dejan is good fighter but Garcia is technical gifted.

Like I said I know people don't like laying favorites. But an advantage is and Advantage

Mikey Garcia 1/2.5
If I had to bet my house I would put it on Garcia but let's be honest does anyone come back to boxing to lose? I'm sure he will be coming back to win but so is Dejan. When the odds allow for it I usually have a small play on the underdog.
I'm just throwing this name in the hat...Ricky Hatton
world ranked
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 2199
Joined: 21 Jan 2008, 14:21

Re: Betting thread

Post by world ranked »

Jmashyaka wrote:
world ranked wrote:Sometimes you have to have lay the favorite when you have an edge. Mikey Garcia didn't come back to boxing to lose to Dejan Z.
Even though I think Dejan is good fighter but Garcia is technical gifted.

Like I said I know people don't like laying favorites. But an advantage is and Advantage

Mikey Garcia 1/2.5
If I had to bet my house I would put it on Garcia but let's be honest does anyone come back to boxing to lose? I'm sure he will be coming back to win but so is Dejan. When the odds allow for it I usually have a small play on the underdog.
I understand looking at the underdog first as we should but there are times when the favorite is the play I just think this is one of those times.
Jmashyaka
Welterweight
Posts: 195
Joined: 22 Feb 2016, 18:14

Re: Betting thread

Post by Jmashyaka »

Another 50/50 with this Frampton rematch, I had Santa Cruz in the first one as I thought Gus activity would be too much but Frampton really impressed me with his counter punching ability and his stamina at the higher weight.

this time I'm thinking Frampton but I have a sneaky feeling Santa Cruz might get awarded a generous decision so they can set up a trilogy. I'll probably go with Frampton but need to see the rewatch the first fight.

Thoughts?
Exoddus
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 1515
Joined: 08 Oct 2007, 10:30

Re: Betting thread

Post by Exoddus »

Exoddus wrote:I've also put a large sum on Scarlett Moffatt to win I'm a Celeb @ 5/2. I cleared up when Rylan won CBB. I knew channel 4 were going to do everything possible to make sure he wins. As they were going to offer him a job at channel 4. Same thing with Scarlett Moffatt. She's extremely popular and now out of a job. She'll win I'm a Celeb and then work for ITV afterwards.
Well, that bet paid for my Christmas. She's now signed with ITV and will be hosting Saturday Night Takeway with Ant and Dec. Bet of the year that one was.

https://uk.yahoo.com/news/ant-and-dec-n ... 27784.html
Stuffs
Super Lightweight
Posts: 611
Joined: 29 Jun 2016, 06:28

Re: Betting thread

Post by Stuffs »

I think Santa Cruz gets a home decision against Frampton. I scored the first one a draw. Can smell home cooking with Badou Jack too, though it depends which Degale turns up. If he takes his customary three to four rounds off I think he could get caught and make it straight forward.

My losing acca will be @ a snip over 20/1 on PP (might be better elsewhere)

Vargas, LSC, Badou, Arnfield, Pedraza all to win.
Post Reply