Betting thread

[boxingknockout]

Fight to end rounds 1-6 Evens with Hills. Went live online at 7pm. Special offer to all account holders.

The max I could put on was only £20. You can get evens 1-6 for a Haye win (so not as good value) at paddy - max is £50.

[The Insider]

I don't know anything about Jake Bonallie, other than BoxRec says he's a debuting fighter fighting a 2-0 newbie. But I'm in for a small stab at big odds, why not?

Jake Bonallie (+1250) vs Craig Glover ~$30.53 for ~$381.56

Decent Amateur from Sunderland. Bit late to be turning pro at 28 but with odds of 12/1 it's got to be worth a small play as it's also over 4 rounds.

[The Insider]

OHara Davies by stoppage is evens at Paddy Power. Very generous odds by my book. I'll be having a serious piece of that.

[JimGunn]

Selby ITD and round 7-9 prop cashed and then Davies ITD cashed nicely, but then Paulie got folded with a huge body shot not long after I threw a little on Eggington by decision live, so lost on both sides there. Sam Eggington Points Victory Or Technical Decision (+152) vs Paul Malignaggi ~$53.76 for ~$81.72.

[cutsman]

I don't know anything about Jake Bonallie, other than BoxRec says he's a debuting fighter fighting a 2-0 newbie. But I'm in for a small stab at big odds, why not?

Jake Bonallie (+1250) vs Craig Glover ~$30.53 for ~$381.56

Decent Amateur from Sunderland. Bit late to be turning pro at 28 but with odds of 12/1 it's got to be worth a small play as it's also over 4 rounds.

This was a cracking tip. Not often you get a 12/1 come in

[boxlocks]

anyone steaming into the Haye 1-3 bet (as I have), go with Hills for rd 1 10/1, rd 2 8/1 and rd 3 7/1. Better value to bet on all three rather than take the best 1-3 odds as a round group which is 2/1

CHOOCHOO

It's only better odds if he wins in round 1....same odds if he wins in round 2...but worse odds if he wins in round 3

[Bard of Boxrec]

anyone steaming into the Haye 1-3 bet (as I have), go with Hills for rd 1 10/1, rd 2 8/1 and rd 3 7/1. Better value to bet on all three rather than take the best 1-3 odds as a round group which is 2/1

CHOOCHOO

It's only better odds if he wins in round 1....same odds if he wins in round 2...but worse odds if he wins in round 3

if my maths is right, if you put down 100 each for rounds 1, 2 and 3, even if the lowest odds of 7/1 came in you would be returned 800 for a 300 stake. Which is a lot better than 2/1 for round grouping

edit, you can't get those hills odds now.

[Covfefe]

anyone steaming into the Haye 1-3 bet (as I have), go with Hills for rd 1 10/1, rd 2 8/1 and rd 3 7/1. Better value to bet on all three rather than take the best 1-3 odds as a round group which is 2/1

CHOOCHOO

It's only better odds if he wins in round 1....same odds if he wins in round 2...but worse odds if he wins in round 3

if my maths is right, if you put down 100 each for rounds 1, 2 and 3, even if the lowest odds of 7/1 came in you would be returned 800 for a 300 stake. Which is a lot better than 2/1 for round grouping

edit, you can't get those hills odds now.

2/1 would put 900 in your hand no?

[Bard of Boxrec]

It's only better odds if he wins in round 1....same odds if he wins in round 2...but worse odds if he wins in round 3

if my maths is right, if you put down 100 each for rounds 1, 2 and 3, even if the lowest odds of 7/1 came in you would be returned 800 for a 300 stake. Which is a lot better than 2/1 for round grouping

edit, you can't get those hills odds now.

2/1 would put 900 in your hand no?

argh you're right. sorry. im tired. disregard everyone :(

[Covfefe]

if my maths is right, if you put down 100 each for rounds 1, 2 and 3, even if the lowest odds of 7/1 came in you would be returned 800 for a 300 stake. Which is a lot better than 2/1 for round grouping

edit, you can't get those hills odds now.

2/1 would put 900 in your hand no?

argh you're right. sorry. im tired. disregard everyone :(

Betfair had a special sign up offer of 5/1 on Haye just to win in the adverts.

[Cas]

I figured long ago to never bet on Haye fights. I had a feeling the fight would drag out longer than expected.

The bookies have made a killing tonight.

[Asterix]

I figured long ago to never bet on Haye fights. I had a feeling the fight would drag out longer than expected.

The bookies have made a killing tonight.

I steered clear of this as well. Boxing is a volatile sport.

[JimGunn]

That was the best sweat I have ever had in my gambling career. 2017, year of the underdog!

[JimGunn]

I already have a lot of bets on the big Thurman/Garcia fight tonight, but since they finally released the point spread I was waiting for I'll throw down a little more:

Danny Garcia +5½ points (-115) vs Keith Thurman $57.50 for $50.00

[Finn]

I figured long ago to never bet on Haye fights. I had a feeling the fight would drag out longer than expected.

The bookies have made a killing tonight.

I steered clear of this as well. Boxing is a volatile sport.

They bloody didn't 48% of people betted on Bellew who was an underdog by quite some margin.

[JimGunn]

What a day of boxing! Huge underdog wins with Tony Bellew and debuting fighter Jake Bonallie. Danny Garcia lost the split decision, but it played out almost exactly like I thought and my over, point spread and Thurman split decision hedges covered. My mostly underdog betting strategy continues with 7.83 units total profit between the UK card and the CBS card.

Tony Bellew (+550) vs David Haye $100.00 for $550.00= $550.00
David Haye wins in round 1 (+1100) $15.00 for $165.00= -$15.00
David Haye wins in round 2 (+700) $20.00 for $140.00= -$20.00
David Haye wins in round 3 (+650) $15.00 for $97.50= -$15.00

Paul Malignaggi (+205) vs Sam Eggington $100.00 for $205.00= -$100.00
Paul Malignaggi/Sam Eggington Draw (+2000) $10.00 for $200.00= -$10.00
Live In-Play Sam Eggington Points Victory Or Technical Decision (+152) vs Paul Malignaggi ~$53.76 for ~$81.72= -~$53.76

Ohara Davies wins inside distance (-138) vs Derry Matthews $55.20 for $40.00= $40.00
Ohara Davies wins in round 4-6 (+400) ~$12.80 for ~$51.20= -~$12.80

Lee Selby wins inside distance (-135) vs Andoni Gago $54.00 for $40.00= $40.00
Lee Selby wins in round 4-6 (+300) ~$10.24 for ~$30.72= -~$10.24
Lee Selby wins in round 7-9 (+230) ~$12.80 for ~$29.44= ~$29.44

Jake Bonallie (+1250) vs Craig Glover ~$30.53 for ~$381.56= ~$381.56


Danny Garcia (+200) vs Keith Thurman $100.00 for $200.00= -$100.00
Danny Garcia +5½ points (-115) vs Keith Thurman $57.50 for $50.00= $50.00
Danny Garcia/Keith Thurman Over 10½ (-198) $79.20 for $40.00= $40.00
Danny Garcia/Keith Thurman ends in round 7-12 (+330) $35.00 for $115.50= -$35.00
Danny Garcia wins by split decision (+1000) $10.00 for $100.00= -$10.00
Keith Thurman wins by split decision (+850) $15.00 for $127.50= $127.50
Danny Garcia/Keith Thurman Draw (+2200) ~$10.24 for ~$225.28= -~$10.24

Danny Garcia/Keith Thurman will have a knockdown in the bout (-118) ~$51.20 for ~$43.39= -~$51.20
Danny Garcia/Keith Thurman both fighters will be knocked down (+900) ~$12.80 for ~$115.20= -~$12.80

Erickson Lubin/Jorge Cota does not start round 8 (-143) ~$44.80 for ~$31.33= ~$31.33

Chad Dawson (+385) vs Andrzej Fonfara $100.00 for $385.00= -$100.00
Chad Dawson/Andrzej Fonfara Over 8½ (-130) $65.00 for $50.00= $50.00

Sub-Total= $492.50
Sub-Total= ~$291.29

Total Profit= $783.79

[DSW]

Very well played Jimmy boy

[cutsman]

Probably like a lot of you I have retreated to lick my wounds after getting stung by backing Haye. Again, in my case as I also took a hit with 'toe-gate'

Once again Haye had me convinced he was going to smash his opponent in short time and I lumped on. Thankfully my Haye- round 1-6 bet at evens would have been much bigger if I hadn't been restricted by bet size.

Anyway enough of all this. As a gambler I appreciate that investments can go down as well as up, so any tips coming up??!!

[JimGunn]

Two hard hitters with a lot of KOs squaring off on this HBO middleweight main event Saturday evening. Lemieux is considered the better boxer and should surely be favored, but you can't say that Stevens doesn't have a clear path to victory, especially if he catches Lemieux early. They've been talking a lot of trash on social media, so I expect fireworks. Not sure if the line will keep going up, but I bit for a smallish bet at this price on 5D reduced juice:

Curtis Stevens (+340) vs David Lemieux $60.00 for $204.00

[JimGunn]

I added some on the under as well:

Curtis Stevens/David Lemieux won't start round 10 (-118) ~$74.56 for ~$63.18

[JimGunn]

Andrade should really win this as he has all the advantages on every physical and experience criterion I can think of, but tiny bet on the home country underdog just in case something weird happens or there is a robbery in this world title fight in notoriously biased Germany:

Jack Culcay (+1000) vs Demetrius Andrade $10.00 for $100.00

[JimGunn]

Small degen play on a Japanese underdog in Tokyo Friday evening, mostly based on wiki capping. Quite a height difference of 6" between Amagasa and the shorter Usui. But on one of the Asian boxing websites Amagasa said the weight cut was "a bit tricky", although not as bad as when he fought Rigondeaux at super-bantamweight. Usui seems to have the better momentum since coming back from a brief retirement a few years ago. Small bet on Usui at +400.

Kinshiro Usui (+400) vs Hisashi Amagasa $25.00 for $100.00

[JimGunn]

In the main event on the Belfast card tomorrow, undefeated local fighter Jamie Conlan has several early KO/TKOs while his opponent Yader Cardoza has been stopped multiple times. Plus I believe that Irish and UK referees are liable to stop fights quickly for fighter safety reasons with the not infrequent incidences of boxers and MMA fighters there ending up in a hospital, a coma or even having died in the last few years. I'll take a chance on the under at + money even in this super flyweight bout.

Jamie Conlan/Yader Cardoza Under 8½ (+120) $40.00 for $48.00

[armageto]

Well, it has to be better than last week for me. I guess that is the positive to look at!

[afcpaul]

Haha, I'll win 27p. I bet with bet365.com (odds are 1.44 AKA around 4/9)

Don't spend it all at once !!.