BoxRec

JimGunn wrote:boxingknockout, come on, you posted about your lock in David Haye losing after you added him to your parlays and busting them all and then in the next post you're advising people to stuff Floyd in all their parlays in a bout that may never even happen! I think the Floyd vs McGregor lines are silly- Conor should be more like +1500 and as a big MMA fan I'd probably throw a flyer on him if he was. But I wouldn't touch the heavily juiced Floyd side of this weird matchup either, in a parlay or otherwise!

For you guys on Khurtsidze, he's a skilled fighter and the odds are good at slight + money, but are you not worried about a diminutive 5'4" middleweight against a 6' 0" middleweight?

JimGunn wrote:boxingknockout, in fairness, there was a lot of chatter and rumors online about Haye being injured before the bout and Bellew was trolling him at the press conferences repeatedly asking him why he had been traveling to Germany and if he was fit and healthy and not to make any excuses. As a fan we can never know the truth of it or how bad an injury he might have had going into the bout if at all from mild to moderate to severe, but I definitely took the possibility into consideration when betting Bellew at +550.

crusader wrote:Khurt beat up 6'0" prospect Antoine Douglas, and fought very closely with 5'11 Ndam, who is world class or close to it. He is very used to dealing with big height differences and Langford looked like shitt against Sheedy.

Khurt has been inactive though, and he's getting up there (not height wise!).

JimGunn wrote:Samuel Clarkson (+1161) vs Dmitriy Bivol $15.00 for $174.15
Carlos Soto (+1250) vs Malik Hawkins ~$12.00 for ~$150.00

Julius Indongo (+175) vs Ricky Burns $100.00 for $175.00
Julius Indongo Points Victory Or Technical Decision (+520) ~$26.40 for ~$137.28
Julius Indongo Points Victory Or Technical Decision (+540) ~$30.00 for ~$162.00
Julius Indongo/Ricky Burns: Both Fighters Be Knocked Down (+900) ~$12.00 for ~$108.00

Charlie Edwards wins in round 10-12 (+1000) vs Iain Butcher ~$12.00 for ~$120.00
Charlie Edwards Points Victory Or Technical Decision (-110) vs Iain Butcher ~$66.00 for ~$60.00

Paul Parker (+2000) vs Sullivan Barrera $25.00 for $500.00

GlobalBox wrote:

The Insider wrote:

GlobalBox wrote:11/10 Khurtsidze against Langford, with Paddy Power, I'm on but not sure how long it will be there

On it.

Had to be done, it's the wrong price, it's not impossible for Langford to be better than I think in this fight but the Georgian looks all wrong for him to me and I fully expected Khurtsidze to be a decent fav to be honest.

boxingknockout wrote:

JimGunn wrote:Samuel Clarkson (+1161) vs Dmitriy Bivol $15.00 for $174.15
Carlos Soto (+1250) vs Malik Hawkins ~$12.00 for ~$150.00

Julius Indongo (+175) vs Ricky Burns $100.00 for $175.00
Julius Indongo Points Victory Or Technical Decision (+520) ~$26.40 for ~$137.28
Julius Indongo Points Victory Or Technical Decision (+540) ~$30.00 for ~$162.00
Julius Indongo/Ricky Burns: Both Fighters Be Knocked Down (+900) ~$12.00 for ~$108.00

Charlie Edwards wins in round 10-12 (+1000) vs Iain Butcher ~$12.00 for ~$120.00
Charlie Edwards Points Victory Or Technical Decision (-110) vs Iain Butcher ~$66.00 for ~$60.00

Paul Parker (+2000) vs Sullivan Barrera $25.00 for $500.00

Sweet.... let's do this thing!

boxingknockout wrote:As my betting theme this week seems to be long odds, I also put a fiver on Laurence Okolie round 3 at 10-1

I initially thought Okolie Ko 1 but there's no value - 2-1 on is best price.

Looking at his opponent (a long name full of consonants I can't be bothered to reproduce or say ) he is pretty durable and experienced.

http://boxrec.com/boxer/147746

David Allen banged him in a round last fight, but he had a near 50 pound weight advantage! Craig Kennedy took him out in 3, but he has been the distance against Ola Ofalabi, Rakhim Chakiev twice, unbeaten SA heavyweight prospect Ilunga (who had 50 pounds advantage), Glowacki, Herbie Hide, Troy Ross, Frankel and more prospects.

Hmmmm maybe I should hedge a points win as well....

ShadrachSimmo wrote:

boxingknockout wrote:As my betting theme this week seems to be long odds, I also put a fiver on Laurence Okolie round 3 at 10-1

I initially thought Okolie Ko 1 but there's no value - 2-1 on is best price.

Looking at his opponent (a long name full of consonants I can't be bothered to reproduce or say ) he is pretty durable and experienced.

http://boxrec.com/boxer/147746

David Allen banged him in a round last fight, but he had a near 50 pound weight advantage! Craig Kennedy took him out in 3, but he has been the distance against Ola Ofalabi, Rakhim Chakiev twice, unbeaten SA heavyweight prospect Ilunga (who had 50 pounds advantage), Glowacki, Herbie Hide, Troy Ross, Frankel and more prospects.

Hmmmm maybe I should hedge a points win as well....

1/3 to win in 1 with PP, shocking.

JimGunn wrote:boxingknockout, come on, you posted about your lock in David Haye losing after you added him to your parlays and busting them all and then in the next post you're advising people to stuff Floyd in all their parlays in a bout that may never even happen! I think the Floyd vs McGregor lines are silly- Conor should be more like +1500 and as a big MMA fan I'd probably throw a flyer on him if he was. But I wouldn't touch the heavily juiced Floyd side of this weird matchup either, in a parlay or otherwise!

For you guys on Khurtsidze, he's a skilled fighter and the odds are good at slight + money, but are you not worried about a diminutive 5'4" middleweight against a 6' 0" middleweight?

boxingknockout wrote:

ShadrachSimmo wrote:

boxingknockout wrote:As my betting theme this week seems to be long odds, I also put a fiver on Laurence Okolie round 3 at 10-1

I initially thought Okolie Ko 1 but there's no value - 2-1 on is best price.

Looking at his opponent (a long name full of consonants I can't be bothered to reproduce or say ) he is pretty durable and experienced.

http://boxrec.com/boxer/147746

David Allen banged him in a round last fight, but he had a near 50 pound weight advantage! Craig Kennedy took him out in 3, but he has been the distance against Ola Ofalabi, Rakhim Chakiev twice, unbeaten SA heavyweight prospect Ilunga (who had 50 pounds advantage), Glowacki, Herbie Hide, Troy Ross, Frankel and more prospects.

Hmmmm maybe I should hedge a points win as well....

1/3 to win in 1 with PP, shocking.

Yeah avoid that price! (Even though it may happen...)

The man's a durable, experienced journeyman who has gone the distance, including 6 and 8 rounds against world class fighters....

He may be a bit old and shot, we'll see but unless he actually tries to win, he should be able to fiddle past the 1st round....

Still haven't decided on the hedge....

boxingknockout wrote:

The Insider wrote:

boxingknockout wrote:
I looked at that, and haven't seen Barrett but I just don't see anything in his record to suggest he can spring an upset. He has some ugly early results too.

Have you seen him fight?

Yeah saw him live a few times. His last 3 contests have been his best stopping Adam Kettleborough, virtually shutting out the dangerous banger Marcus Ffrench and winning convincingly over ten against Kev Hooper. Admittedly Cardle did a number on Hooper stopping him Barrett has the tools to make it a hard night for him. Steffy Bull is quietly confident too. Cardle is rightfully the favorite and he should win but 6/1 is wide.

Thanks - I'm keeping away though (again famous last words!)

GlobalBox wrote:7/1 Burns stoppage with Skybet on a price boost, I know he is not a big puncher but the engine is still there and we know little about Indongo tbh, on a line through the value bets, I have availed myself of some.

boxingknockout wrote:

boxingknockout wrote:

The Insider wrote:
Yeah saw him live a few times. His last 3 contests have been his best stopping Adam Kettleborough, virtually shutting out the dangerous banger Marcus Ffrench and winning convincingly over ten against Kev Hooper. Admittedly Cardle did a number on Hooper stopping him Barrett has the tools to make it a hard night for him. Steffy Bull is quietly confident too. Cardle is rightfully the favorite and he should win but 6/1 is wide.

Thanks - I'm keeping away though (again famous last words!)

Great tip! Dammit.... it looks like this week I can't tip my hat... although if you went against my choices you'd be in the money!
I hope someone restores my pride!

The Insider wrote:

boxingknockout wrote:

boxingknockout wrote:
Thanks - I'm keeping away though (again famous last words!)

Great tip! Dammit.... it looks like this week I can't tip my hat... although if you went against my choices you'd be in the money!
I hope someone restores my pride!

Thanks. Another weekend of profit.

boxingknockout wrote:Ok taking a leaf outta JimGunn's book and laying it down in detail. Remember - the key to me is value, not what you think will happen (famous last words :-))

So some underdog betting for weekend. I have looked at records, ages, experience and these are the bets I feel have some value:

Carlos Soto over Malik Hawkins - 13.0. Soto is a tough Mexican.Hawkins somewhat untested. Think odds should be 6.0 or 5.0 not this high.

Clarkson over Bivol - 9.0. Expect Bivol to win but clarkson will provide tough opposition. I think this fight should be priced at 5.0

Zakaria Attou over Beausiere - 5.0. Attou very tough and experienced, Beausiere toughest fight. Neither punchers. I think Attou should be 2.75 underdog not this long.

Paul Parker over Sullivan Barrera - 15.0. Long shot but whilst both had opposite results against Shabbrinsky, Parker floored him twice and is dangerous.... again, 15.0 is too long - I reckon true odds should be 7.5 or 8.0.

Butcher over Edwards - caught this at 11.0, great value **no longer available**. Price is now 4.0. Thanks to the board for this tip, stay away at these odds.

Ps I put fiver on each result, except tenner on Attou....

Pps I'm more scared of Letting people down than losing the money, wish me luck! One win brings a profit even if small (I think)

boxingknockout wrote:

boxingknockout wrote:Ok taking a leaf outta JimGunn's book and laying it down in detail. Remember - the key to me is value, not what you think will happen (famous last words :-))

So some underdog betting for weekend. I have looked at records, ages, experience and these are the bets I feel have some value:

Carlos Soto over Malik Hawkins - 13.0. Soto is a tough Mexican.Hawkins somewhat untested. Think odds should be 6.0 or 5.0 not this high.

Clarkson over Bivol - 9.0. Expect Bivol to win but clarkson will provide tough opposition. I think this fight should be priced at 5.0

Zakaria Attou over Beausiere - 5.0. Attou very tough and experienced, Beausiere toughest fight. Neither punchers. I think Attou should be 2.75 underdog not this long.

Paul Parker over Sullivan Barrera - 15.0. Long shot but whilst both had opposite results against Shabbrinsky, Parker floored him twice and is dangerous.... again, 15.0 is too long - I reckon true odds should be 7.5 or 8.0.

Butcher over Edwards - caught this at 11.0, great value **no longer available**. Price is now 4.0. Thanks to the board for this tip, stay away at these odds.

Ps I put fiver on each result, except tenner on Attou....

Pps I'm more scared of Letting people down than losing the money, wish me luck! One win brings a profit even if small (I think)

Attou win - now I'm in profit!

The Insider wrote:

JimGunn wrote:Sounds like boxingknockout got bitten by the underdog bug, he he. It's addictive, I tell you! Based strictly on BoxRec capping, I see undefeated Hawkins has less experience than the never beaten Soto and only faced one opponent with a winning record, so stabbing at the value play there. It's kind of odd to me at least that in the ShowBox main event Friday night two relatively little known boxers in Clarkson vs Bivol are competing for a WBA world LHW belt, even an interim one. Bigger weight class fighters have more punching power so more chance for puncher's chance upsets imho. And speaking of power, I recall watching Parker dropped LHW contender Shabranskyy twice in round one in a TKO loss and dropped his last opponent en route to a decision win, so I like the value on the dog Saturday evening on HBO Latino here in the U.S.. I personally put small bets on these dogs so far:

Clarkson over Bivol at +1161
Soto over Hawkins at +1250
Parker over Sullivan at +2000.

I'm sure I'll have a couple more plays for the weekend, so I'll post my bets in detail like usual by tomorrow afternoon.

I know you like the dogs so im surprised you haven't spotted Robbie Barrett @ 6/1 vs Cardle. He's in with a real shout. Odds of 6/1 in what I think is a 60/40 in favour of Cardle are way off in my book. Definitely worth a nibble.

littlepug wrote:

boxingknockout wrote:Ok taking a leaf outta JimGunn's book and laying it down in detail. Remember - the key to me is value, not what you think will happen (famous last words :-))

So some underdog betting for weekend. I have looked at records, ages, experience and these are the bets I feel have some value:

Carlos Soto over Malik Hawkins - 13.0. Soto is a tough Mexican.Hawkins somewhat untested. Think odds should be 6.0 or 5.0 not this high.

Clarkson over Bivol - 9.0. Expect Bivol to win but clarkson will provide tough opposition. I think this fight should be priced at 5.0

Zakaria Attou over Beausiere - 5.0. Attou very tough and experienced, Beausiere toughest fight. Neither punchers. I think Attou should be 2.75 underdog not this long.

Paul Parker over Sullivan Barrera - 15.0. Long shot but whilst both had opposite results against Shabbrinsky, Parker floored him twice and is dangerous.... again, 15.0 is too long - I reckon true odds should be 7.5 or 8.0.

Butcher over Edwards - caught this at 11.0, great value **no longer available**. Price is now 4.0. Thanks to the board for this tip, stay away at these odds.

Ps I put fiver on each result, except tenner on Attou....

Pps I'm more scared of Letting people down than losing the money, wish me luck! One win brings a profit even if small (I think)

Good luck keep us posted