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Re: Betting thread

Posted: 25 Sep 2018, 16:41
by JimGunn
WBSS SMW bout on Friday. Georges Groves won me money as an underdog vs Chris Eubank Jr. . This is a decent small favorite price against a boxer in Smith who has not fought the same level of competition by far. Smith has height and an undefeated record, but if Groves is healthy I believe that he'll outclass the larger Smith.

Georges Groves (-125) vs Callum Smith $500.00 for $400.00

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 25 Sep 2018, 18:40
by JimGunn
I also added this prop I like as it covers any win by Groves as well as Groves' shoulder giving out and Smith winning by injury TKO plus draw:

Not Callum Smith by 12 round decision (-275) $275.00 for $100.00

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 25 Sep 2018, 20:41
by Ricky
Groves seems great value, i was expecting Smith to be a longer underdog than he is. I think it's possibly just the case Groves has always been underestimated.

On the undercard I like the look of Eubank rounds 1-6. Never heard of his opponent before but his record is deplorable... he lost to a 2 fight novice earlier this year. This seems an almighty mismatch. Around evens for Eubank in 6.

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 27 Sep 2018, 10:08
by cutsman
Odds are drifting out now. Groves showing as clear favourite

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 28 Sep 2018, 02:30
by Ricky
Got a few bets on for tonight.

1 of them is No knockdowns in fight & GG by dec - 4/1

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 28 Sep 2018, 10:16
by cutsman
Shhhh wrote: 28 Sep 2018, 06:11
RKY wrote: 28 Sep 2018, 02:30 Got a few bets on for tonight.

1 of them is No knockdowns in fight & GG by dec - 4/1
what bookie
16/1 for GG to quit on his stool.

Worth a little punt in case his shoulder pops again

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 28 Sep 2018, 10:30
by keithmoonhangover
I've got £100 on Callum Smith by Decision or TD at 11/4. Easy money IMO. :TU:

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 28 Sep 2018, 10:46
by Ricky
Shhhh wrote: 28 Sep 2018, 06:11
RKY wrote: 28 Sep 2018, 02:30 Got a few bets on for tonight.

1 of them is No knockdowns in fight & GG by dec - 4/1
what bookie
Skybet. It's one of the request a bets.

I'm big on Eubank inside 6, if that comes in I'll probably hedge between the above bet and a little on Groves by stoppage.

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 28 Sep 2018, 11:09
by jamamb
keithmoonhangover wrote: 28 Sep 2018, 10:30 I've got £100 on Callum Smith by Decision or TD at 11/4. Easy money IMO. :TU:
if hes hitting groves enough for it to be easy, do you not think a stoppages much of a possibility, esp. if the shoulder problem does flare up?

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 28 Sep 2018, 12:23
by keithmoonhangover
jamamb wrote: 28 Sep 2018, 11:09
keithmoonhangover wrote: 28 Sep 2018, 10:30 I've got £100 on Callum Smith by Decision or TD at 11/4. Easy money IMO. :TU:
if hes hitting groves enough for it to be easy, do you not think a stoppages much of a possibility, esp. if the shoulder problem does flare up?
It's definitely possible. I just think Groves hits hard enough to keep Smith on his toes.

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 28 Sep 2018, 13:20
by Exoddus
keithmoonhangover wrote: 28 Sep 2018, 10:30 I've got £100 on Callum Smith by Decision or TD at 11/4. Easy money IMO. :TU:
That was the bet I liked. That injury though was a real bad one. Groves is also back in the ring in a relatively short time considering the injury. So I opted for Smith straight win @ 5/4. I wouldn't be surprised if Groves shoulder went again. Can see Smith pushing down on it and twisting it in the clinchs.

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 28 Sep 2018, 14:47
by JimGunn
George Groves (-125) vs Callum Smith $250.00 for $200.00
George Groves (-125) vs Callum Smith $250.00 for $200.00
Georges Groves wins inside distance (+405) $25.00 for $101.25
Not Callum Smith by 12 round decision (-275) $275.00 for $100.00

Chris Eubank Jr./JJ McDonagh Under 7½ (-155) $77.50 for $50.00

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 30 Sep 2018, 14:25
by Matt the Master
JimGunn wrote: 28 Sep 2018, 14:47 George Groves (-125) vs Callum Smith $250.00 for $200.00
George Groves (-125) vs Callum Smith $250.00 for $200.00
Georges Groves wins inside distance (+405) $25.00 for $101.25
Not Callum Smith by 12 round decision (-275) $275.00 for $100.00

Chris Eubank Jr./JJ McDonagh Under 7½ (-155) $77.50 for $50.00
"Chris Eubank Jr./JJ McDonagh Under 7.5 (-155) $77.50 for $50.00"

I'm putting it out there that some members of JJ McDonagh's immediate circle of family and associates were extremely happy with those odds ;-)

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 30 Sep 2018, 18:09
by Cholo_cws
Kevin Johnson is 28/1 to beat Daniel Dubois with BlackType...20/1 at Paddy Power and Betfair.

Johnson's a lazy, frustrating boxer but if he hasn't read the script and sees a chance he could just spring an upset - given how untested Dubois is and how many questions still hang over him. At those odds it's got to be worth a punt.

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 30 Sep 2018, 18:14
by SenorPipino
Cholo_cws wrote: 30 Sep 2018, 18:09 Kevin Johnson is 28/1 to beat Daniel Dubois with BlackType...20/1 at Paddy Power and Betfair.

Johnson's a lazy, frustrating boxer but if he hasn't read the script and sees a chance he could just spring an upset - given how untested Dubois is and how many questions still hang over him. At those odds it's got to be worth a punt.
Johnson has no chance.

He's been imported to lose. And that's exactly what he'll do. Probably by KO, despite his solid chin.

Some American books list Dubois as a 1-100 choice.

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 30 Sep 2018, 18:24
by Cholo_cws
SenorPipino wrote: 30 Sep 2018, 18:14
Cholo_cws wrote: 30 Sep 2018, 18:09 Kevin Johnson is 28/1 to beat Daniel Dubois with BlackType...20/1 at Paddy Power and Betfair.

Johnson's a lazy, frustrating boxer but if he hasn't read the script and sees a chance he could just spring an upset - given how untested Dubois is and how many questions still hang over him. At those odds it's got to be worth a punt.
Johnson has no chance.

He's been imported to lose. And that's exactly what he'll do. Probably by KO, despite his solid chin.

Some American books list Dubois as a 1-100 choice.

Normally I wouldn't go near Johnson but I'm not sold on Dubois yet. Johnson's a significant step up for him.

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 30 Sep 2018, 18:51
by JimGunn
Missed the line of the year with this under opening at -105. Joyce is the heavyweight specimen who his opponent took one look at and walked out of the ring a few weeks ago that made the viral rounds. I'll still take it at this dear price against an opponent who has been knocked out rounds 5 & 6 in his most recent two bouts. Tonight on FS1:

Joe Joyce/Iago Kiladze Under 4½ (-265) $132.50 for $50.00
Joe Joyce/Iago Kiladze Under 4½ (-275) $137.50 for $50.00

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 30 Sep 2018, 19:03
by jamamb
the specimen was efe ajagba

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 30 Sep 2018, 19:27
by JimGunn
I confused Joyce with Ajagba somehow, damnit. Under still should come in.

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 30 Sep 2018, 20:03
by JimGunn
Brandon Figueroa (-417) vs Oscar Escandon ~$991.50 for ~$237.77

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 30 Sep 2018, 22:33
by skanksta
jamamb wrote: 30 Sep 2018, 19:03 the specimen was efe ajagba
great one punch KO from Ajagba ! :box:

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 01 Oct 2018, 03:23
by Exoddus
Cholo_cws wrote: 30 Sep 2018, 18:24
SenorPipino wrote: 30 Sep 2018, 18:14
Cholo_cws wrote: 30 Sep 2018, 18:09 Kevin Johnson is 28/1 to beat Daniel Dubois with BlackType...20/1 at Paddy Power and Betfair.

Johnson's a lazy, frustrating boxer but if he hasn't read the script and sees a chance he could just spring an upset - given how untested Dubois is and how many questions still hang over him. At those odds it's got to be worth a punt.
Johnson has no chance.

He's been imported to lose. And that's exactly what he'll do. Probably by KO, despite his solid chin.

Some American books list Dubois as a 1-100 choice.

Normally I wouldn't go near Johnson but I'm not sold on Dubois yet. Johnson's a significant step up for him.
Dubois was getting the better of Povetkin in their sparring recently.

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 01 Oct 2018, 09:04
by J.Rotherhithe
Didn't get a chance to look at any of Saturday's stuff. Skybet boosted Callum Smith by KO/TKO to 4/1, had £7.12 in my account and got £35.60 back. On a great roll at the moment.

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 01 Oct 2018, 11:12
by jamamb
Exoddus wrote: 01 Oct 2018, 03:23
Cholo_cws wrote: 30 Sep 2018, 18:24
SenorPipino wrote: 30 Sep 2018, 18:14

Johnson has no chance.

He's been imported to lose. And that's exactly what he'll do. Probably by KO, despite his solid chin.

Some American books list Dubois as a 1-100 choice.

Normally I wouldn't go near Johnson but I'm not sold on Dubois yet. Johnson's a significant step up for him.
Dubois was getting the better of Povetkin in their sparring recently.
did you see it?

Re: Betting thread

Posted: 03 Oct 2018, 11:33
by Jmashyaka
Odds are up for this weeks fights.

Loads of fights on but the bets that stand out to me is Roman decision 8/11, Davies decision 13/5 and Relkh decision at a whooping 9/2.

£10 gets you £340.