BoxRec

Donaire v Vargas

Donaire looks set for big things in my opinion and is on fire with 5 kos in his last 6 including sparking Darchinian and gets a late replacement in Manuel Vargas. Vargas has stepped in on 3 days notice and is going north at least a couple of divisions from minimum weight. Although Vargas has never been stopped apart from his first fight (4 losses) considering the circumatances and big step up in class I think theres a good chance of a Donaire stoppage. I just dont know the best way of doing it. The stoppage is 1/3 but better value in the unders maybe...7.5 - 5/4...8.5 - 10/11...9.5 - 8/11.....was maybe going to split it but will go for the extra rounds at shorter price.

Recommended bet 55pts under 9.5 - 8/11 skybet

Morel v Penalosa

Both late in there careers in which the lose falls out of contention. Could be a little tenatative to start but I dont know which way to call it, really is a pick em fight. Neither had ever been stopped until the beating Penasola eventually recived from Juanma - though he did go the full distance with the heavy handed slugger De Leon. Opposites in the way that Morel is slick and elusive but Penalosa is full of heart and right in at you. With Morel not being the biggest of punchers, Penalosas heart and chin, Morels tendancy to avoid being hit I see this fight pretty much going the distance. So with that in mind despite not having a clue of the winner I will go with over 9.5 at 2/5 - quite good as bet365 go 1/3 on over 10.5. Just hope no-one gets old overnight!

Recommended bet 75pts over 9.5 2/5 skybet

By the way the opinions stated The most intriguing fight for me is Concepcion v Santiago. Rewatched both there fights against Luevano before the Gamboa fight should be interesting but cant pick a winner or how its going to finish. Really wish I could watch this card :(