Alvarez/GGG Fight Simulation
Posted: 19 Dec 2016, 23:49
Good post - the height difference will be quite similar to the Stevens fight - while Stevens is 5'7" and Canelo is listed as 5'9", Canelo's real height is more like 5'7.5". Like Stevens, Canelo will have a handspeed advantage over GGG, as well having enough power to make him cautious, although I'm not sure Canelo hits quite as hard as Stevens. On the other hand, Canelo's defense - particularly his upper-body movement - is significantly better than Stevens', so I don't see GGG landing quite as easily. For me, the only danger I see Canelo possessing for GGG (aside from possible judges in his pocket) is his body punching - we know GGG has an iron jaw, but he has looked uncomfortable taking body punches from lesser punchers than Canelo, and Canelo is a good body puncher. All that said, GGG via a 8th round stoppage is my pick.lazboy wrote:If anything.....and IMO it will be similar but a more tactical version of the Curtis Stevens fight with Canelo landing more and better punches than Stevens and GGG being more cautious than he was in that fight.
The following GGG opponents had a clear handspeed advantage over him:bnovelist wrote:Yeah but speed KILLS! Canelo's punches are like lasers! His punches will always get there first everytime you can count on it. Canalo has been light
years faster than all of his opponents other than Floyd. Canelo's speed is too much for Gennady,
Yea I agree with all that.jezzamundo wrote:Good post - the height difference will be quite similar to the Stevens fight - while Stevens is 5'7" and Canelo is listed as 5'9", Canelo's real height is more like 5'7.5". Like Stevens, Canelo will have a handspeed advantage over GGG, as well having enough power to make him cautious, although I'm not sure Canelo hits quite as hard as Stevens. On the other hand, Canelo's defense - particularly his upper-body movement - is significantly better than Stevens', so I don't see GGG landing quite as easily. For me, the only danger I see Canelo possessing for GGG (aside from possible judges in his pocket) is his body punching - we know GGG has an iron jaw, but he has looked uncomfortable taking body punches from lesser punchers than Canelo, and Canelo is a good body puncher. All that said, GGG via a 8th round stoppage is my pick.lazboy wrote:If anything.....and IMO it will be similar but a more tactical version of the Curtis Stevens fight with Canelo landing more and better punches than Stevens and GGG being more cautious than he was in that fight.
None of those guys were faster than GGG... Not even close... Golovkin is smoother and doesn't do exaggerated feints... he doesn't move his head more than he needs to.. Watch the Lemieux 1st round and study his jab.. He scored a record 26 solid jabs for that round.. It was very smooth and struck very quickly with smooth feints.. Hassan N'Dam who was 31-1 and taller, couldn't hit Lemieux well with the jab and was trounced.. N'Dam jabbed the crap out of Curtis Stevens.. What some of you guys call speed is flashy superfluous movement.. What counts is how fast your punch gets from point A to point B without being seen and defended. GGG is very good at that.jezzamundo wrote:The following GGG opponents had a clear handspeed advantage over him:bnovelist wrote:Yeah but speed KILLS! Canelo's punches are like lasers! His punches will always get there first everytime you can count on it. Canalo has been light
years faster than all of his opponents other than Floyd. Canelo's speed is too much for Gennady,
Proksa, Stevens, Geale, Monroe and Brook all had clear handspeed advantages over GGG and it didn't help them much.
On that note, Daniel Jacobs will be another GGG opponent with faster hands, as well as having a height and reach advantage, genuine KO power and boxing ability. I give him a slightly better chance of upsetting GGG than Canelo, although his chin could be a liability.
For the record, GGG is my favourite active fighter. He's very, very good, but his handspeed for an elite fighter is average at best. We're going to have to agree to disagree, because to my eyes, the fighters I listed all had noticeably faster hands than GGG in their fights. Aside from that, I agree with your post.Kalan wrote:None of those guys were faster than GGG... Not even close... Golovkin is smoother and doesn't do exaggerated feints... he doesn't move his head more than he needs to.. Watch the Lemieux 1st round and study his jab.. He scored a record 26 solid jabs for that round.. It was very smooth and struck very quickly with smooth feints.. Hassan N'Dam who was 31-1 and taller, couldn't hit Lemieux well with the jab and was trounced.. N'Dam jabbed the crap out of Curtis Stevens.. What some of you guys call speed is flashy superfluous movement.. What counts is how fast your punch gets from point A to point B without being seen and defended. GGG is very good at that.jezzamundo wrote:The following GGG opponents had a clear handspeed advantage over him:bnovelist wrote:Yeah but speed KILLS! Canelo's punches are like lasers! His punches will always get there first everytime you can count on it. Canalo has been light
years faster than all of his opponents other than Floyd. Canelo's speed is too much for Gennady,
Proksa, Stevens, Geale, Monroe and Brook all had clear handspeed advantages over GGG and it didn't help them much.
On that note, Daniel Jacobs will be another GGG opponent with faster hands, as well as having a height and reach advantage, genuine KO power and boxing ability. I give him a slightly better chance of upsetting GGG than Canelo, although his chin could be a liability.
GGG's hand speed is good enough. It's the fundamental way he throws punches that out distance's himself from his opponents.jezzamundo wrote:For the record, GGG is my favourite active fighter. He's very, very good, but his handspeed for an elite fighter is average at best. We're going to have to agree to disagree, because to my eyes, the fighters I listed all had noticeably faster hands than GGG in their fights. Aside from that, I agree with your post.Kalan wrote:None of those guys were faster than GGG... Not even close... Golovkin is smoother and doesn't do exaggerated feints... he doesn't move his head more than he needs to.. Watch the Lemieux 1st round and study his jab.. He scored a record 26 solid jabs for that round.. It was very smooth and struck very quickly with smooth feints.. Hassan N'Dam who was 31-1 and taller, couldn't hit Lemieux well with the jab and was trounced.. N'Dam jabbed the crap out of Curtis Stevens.. What some of you guys call speed is flashy superfluous movement.. What counts is how fast your punch gets from point A to point B without being seen and defended. GGG is very good at that.jezzamundo wrote:
The following GGG opponents had a clear handspeed advantage over him:
Proksa, Stevens, Geale, Monroe and Brook all had clear handspeed advantages over GGG and it didn't help them much.
On that note, Daniel Jacobs will be another GGG opponent with faster hands, as well as having a height and reach advantage, genuine KO power and boxing ability. I give him a slightly better chance of upsetting GGG than Canelo, although his chin could be a liability.
I agree - his timing, solid fundamentals, excellent footwork, iron chin and huge punching power have more than made up for any handspeed deficit he has faced so far.MachoTime wrote:GGG's hand speed is good enough. It's the fundamental way he throws punches that out distance's himself from his opponents.jezzamundo wrote:For the record, GGG is my favourite active fighter. He's very, very good, but his handspeed for an elite fighter is average at best. We're going to have to agree to disagree, because to my eyes, the fighters I listed all had noticeably faster hands than GGG in their fights. Aside from that, I agree with your post.Kalan wrote:
None of those guys were faster than GGG... Not even close... Golovkin is smoother and doesn't do exaggerated feints... he doesn't move his head more than he needs to.. Watch the Lemieux 1st round and study his jab.. He scored a record 26 solid jabs for that round.. It was very smooth and struck very quickly with smooth feints.. Hassan N'Dam who was 31-1 and taller, couldn't hit Lemieux well with the jab and was trounced.. N'Dam jabbed the crap out of Curtis Stevens.. What some of you guys call speed is flashy superfluous movement.. What counts is how fast your punch gets from point A to point B without being seen and defended. GGG is very good at that.