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Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 12:57
by oogiebe
The Top three HW's are fighting over the next couple of months. Who do you think has the best chance of being upset? I've thought about it hard and Ruiz, as the best of the three opponents has the best chance to pull off the upset, but we're talking less than 10% of a chance.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 13:00
by gilgamesh
I guess I'd go with Schwarz just because I know nothing about him at all save for his record. That being said, I doubt he's even particularly competitive.
I expect Breazeale will be a KO victim within 3 rounds. Possibly 1.
Only way Ruiz will win a round is if AJ takes the round off. If he takes more than 1 or 2 off I don't get what he's doing.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 13:03
by jamamb
schwarz is total trash, so even though fury seems more erratic and perhaps unreliable then wilder and aj id say not schwarz
i think ruiz is made for aj to batter
ill go breazeale because i think wilder can fight emotionally and perhaps be drawn into a sloppy slugfest, which is doms best chance. wilder should still have too much of everything and batter him, but i think breazeale has the best odds of having his moments
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 13:07
by Onetimeonly
Has to be breazeale. Though combined I'd give less than 5%.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 13:08
by greg
..just guessing:
Schwarz being the weakest link in the chain, AJ the best of the three... I'll go Breazeale ..let's say 5-10%

Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 13:13
by Boxerbeetle
Well Wilder is by far the worst of the three main heavyweights, so I’ll go for him.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 13:17
by jamamb
wilder is maybe slightly worse then fury, i thought fury won that close. ajs the best defo though
aj
fury and wilder
whyte, ort, pov,etc
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 13:39
by dagilechia
Breazeale not because he's any good but Wilder seems the most beatable out of the big 3. but still, i give him only 5-10% chances. I give 1% to Ruiz and Schwarz but i'm probably too generous.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 14:08
by DrDuke
Of course, Breazeale. Wilder is the most vulnerable and Breazeale is big, determined, while he can hit hard too.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 16:16
by Ilya Muromets
I think they're all extremely unlikely, but I voted for Brezeale because I hope he can pull the upset.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 16:28
by SenorPipino
Schwarz.
Because Fury is emotionally erratic and you never know when he just might walk away from everything during the course of a fight.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 17:15
by oogiebe
SenorPipino wrote: ↑13 May 2019, 16:28
Schwarz.
Because Fury is emotionally erratic and you never know when he just might walk away from everything during the course of a fight.
There's an interesting perspective I didn't think of!

Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 19:16
by Contendeh
Breazeale.
Might land a good shot, however unlikely.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 21:26
by Ruthless-RKO
Contendeh wrote: ↑13 May 2019, 19:16
Breazeale.
Might land a good shot, however unlikely.
Wilder has been buzzed many times, even by Fury when he was really tired, but Wilder somehow stays on his feet doesn’t he.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 13 May 2019, 21:50
by Contendeh
Ruthless-RKO wrote: ↑13 May 2019, 21:26
Wilder has been buzzed many times, even by Fury when he was really tired, but Wilder somehow stays on his feet doesn’t he.
He does. Still, Tom would require a huge mental lapse on the part of Fury, which I don’t see happening and Ruiz is so completely outgunned by AJ that the Californian stands the best chance.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 14 May 2019, 08:00
by Thomastearns
DrDuke wrote: ↑13 May 2019, 14:08
Of course, Breazeale. Wilder is the most vulnerable and Breazeale is big, determined, while he can hit hard too.
Agreed.
There's a certain kind of unpredictability about Deontay Wilder because of his style. If he can't impose himself on Breazeale early then it could be a long difficult night for Wilder.
Ruiz has an awful lot to do, probably too much and Schwartz being several leagues out of his class can only be hoping for a lucky swing.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 14 May 2019, 08:08
by Finkel
Well I think there is no way Ruiz can get a decision over Joshua in his breakout fight in America. They will favourably judge toward AJ
Schwartz, I don't know enough about him. But what little I saw on YouTube, I don't give him a chance
Breazeale is very hittable, and Wilder hits very hard, so I think it will be a blow out. But as people say above, Breazeale does have power, so as unlikely as it is, I'd go for Breazeale.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 14 May 2019, 10:25
by SenorPipino
I see Breazeale as a fairly ordinary puncher. Not a big hitter at all. Certainly doesn't possess the punch to bother top guys.
Hard to see him having enough of anything to fend off Wilder.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 14 May 2019, 11:06
by Tony1244
I voted Fury-Schwarz even though I totally get why Wilder-Breazeale is winning.
Fury's personality is inconsistent to put it mildly. AJ-Ruiz shouldn't get any votes.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 14 May 2019, 12:41
by jamamb
it is but tom schwarz blows
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 14 May 2019, 12:55
by ValMar
Noone of the mentioned.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 26 May 2019, 21:47
by Ruthless-RKO
One down. 2 to go.
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 26 May 2019, 21:47
by oogiebe
oogiebe wrote: ↑13 May 2019, 12:57
The Top three HW's are fighting over the next couple of months. Who do you think has the best chance of being upset? I've thought about it hard and Ruiz, as the best of the three opponents has the best chance to pull off the upset, but we're talking less than 10% of a chance.
I'm sticking to this. (duh)
Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 01 Jun 2019, 23:27
by IKSRTFO
We know the answer to this now.

Re: Who has the best chance of an upset?
Posted: 01 Jun 2019, 23:28
by IKSRTFO
oogiebe wrote: ↑26 May 2019, 21:47
I'm sticking to this. (duh)
Much props for calling this.