BoxRec

What’s everyone thoughts ? How long until shows will be held again around the world ?

Personally I would expect May/June at the earliest.

It sucks to think about but there's also the possibility we get a 2nd wave of this in the fall.

I mean, there's also a possibility the first wave isn't even over by then.

jujigatame wrote: ↑21 Mar 2020, 12:35 Personally I would expect May/June at the earliest.

It sucks to think about but there's also the possibility we get a 2nd wave of this in the fall.

Even if it happens year after year I can't imagine people will put their lives on hold forever over it. I don't think the disease the Covid 19 Flu will stop anytime soon, but the reaction to it will have to or we're going to experience an economic depression.

Plus possible riots or something as people start to get more stir crazy.

Hard to imagine how all of this plays out, the economic collapse will be the precursor to getting things back to normal, regardless of the death toll. Regardless of hospitals being overrun, which they already are, economics will determine the end of this pandemic. It’s so Orwellian, it’s not even funny at this point. Slowly but surely taking more and more freedoms until it’s a Brave New World and we’re all living in silos.

I‘d like to think June. It’s hard to say until we get over the worst of it though.

gilgamesh wrote: ↑21 Mar 2020, 13:05

jujigatame wrote: ↑21 Mar 2020, 12:35 Personally I would expect May/June at the earliest.

It sucks to think about but there's also the possibility we get a 2nd wave of this in the fall.

Even if it happens year after year I can't imagine people will put their lives on hold forever over it. I don't think the disease the Covid 19 Flu will stop anytime soon, but the reaction to it will have to or we're going to experience an economic depression.

Plus possible riots or something as people start to get more stir crazy.

Theoretically in a year we'll have a vaccine or at the very least an idea of optimal treatment. Much of the population will have contracted it and recovered and gotten immunity that way. The danger of a suddenly overwhelmed health care system will be reduced as well.

But if a 2nd wave happens in 6 months all of that will be only partially true, so there's still a lot of danger.

PUGLET wrote: ↑21 Mar 2020, 13:47 Hard to imagine how all of this plays out, the economic collapse will be the precursor to getting things back to normal, regardless of the death toll. Regardless of hospitals being overrun, which they already are, economics will determine the end of this pandemic. It’s so Orwellian, it’s not even funny at this point. Slowly but surely taking more and more freedoms until it’s a Brave New World and we’re all living in silos.

Don't mention those words again, please.

Touch wood and never say economic collapse again, please.

I can't cope with visions of a future where what's happening now will be seen as a picnic.

I've got a family and I don't want to live in a Mad Max world or even a Brave New One.

Fingers crossed for a late July/August return to something passing for normality.

Bet Gary Russell Jr doesn't get a defence in before it's over.

Minimum rest of the year.

Too long

No signs of cresting, so there is currently no end in sight. It is far more contageous than either Influenza or SARS. There's no treatment and we are far from a vaccine. Good bet we're all going to be infected in some manner. Worse news is you can be infected more than once, meaning you can recover and then get sick again. On the bright side...

How far from a vaccine

Probably 18 months, but the type of virus is mutating and similar to flu, you will only cover some of the strains each year.

margaret thatcher wrote: ↑21 Mar 2020, 19:01 How far from a vaccine

Months up to 18 I've heard. Has it even been sequenced yet?

Oogs, I don't know what the hell that even means lol

The best you could probably hope for in meantime is a treatment to reduce the symptoms and length of the illness, but again that’s probably a long way off.

Does this mean I have to stay inside forever

It doesn’t kill you in itself, but in severe cases it changes the dna and the lining of the lungs, breaking the barrier to allow in bacteria and create a pneumonia type illness.

I’d suspect until a vaccine is found and mass produced most countries will have to alternative between lockdown periods which will put the virus outbreak into a lull, followed by periods where the lockdown is lifted and the infected numbers shoot up again.

I guess hermits are loving this right now

margaret thatcher wrote: ↑21 Mar 2020, 19:19 I guess hermits are loving this right now

It's all a hot mess. There is a vaccine being tested on humans in the US I just saw. Still will be months away. Now they are saying that younger adults are getting severe symptoms. I'm in the camp of live life and come what may. I'm not into the panic thing. I'm too old for that.

It’s just very spreadable. Certainly today in the UK people are being advised if they have underlying health conditions such as COPD, that they should stay indoors for the next 12 weeks. There’s also unknowns, such as people being asymptotic (having no symptoms) but obviously still being quite infectious to other people.

polecateddy wrote: ↑21 Mar 2020, 18:56 Minimum rest of the year.

Absolute nonsense. Boxing and the UFC will
Be able to put cards together with no fans. It’s not as tenable in team sports. These will be the first 2 sports to return, albeit in limited capacity. UFC will return in a month. Boxing probably 8 weeks.

The kill rate in the states is at 1% right now. As hundreds of thousands more are tested it will drop to half of 1%. Which is the same as the flu which actually HAS a vaccine. Once the death rate gets slashed people will start to revolt on top of the economy absolutely needing to restart. The economy absolutely can not tolerate more than a month of this. They won’t have vaccine for a year. Nobody is waiting a year. People have families to support. Unemployment wages are trash. As of now seclusion is needed because the hospitals just don’t have the supplies they need to keep up. That is changing. A few weeks from now hospitals will have many more ventilators to treat the most serious cases and with further testing they will be more confident on which anti-viral drugs are able to best control this. Long story short - this is still going to kill some people. Just like malaria, measels, tuberculosis, flu, etc. Some herd immunity will also develop over time. It will get better.