AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post Reply
locoxelbox
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 1124
Joined: 04 Oct 2004, 12:26

Re: AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post by locoxelbox »

verballistic wrote: mexico only qualified 3, far less than normal (usually get 5-6) but FRANCE had 9!!
puerto rico only qualified 5, less than usual, but ALGERIA had 6!!
canada had only 1, far less than usual, but TUNISIA had 6!!
argentina has only 1, far less than usual, but MOROCCO had 7!!

It's impossible to compare between the continents because there is a difference in power. Australia qualified 9 boxers. That doesn't mean they are a top nation. It only means they are by far the best in Oceania, the weakest continent.
Mexico, Canada and Argentina have had economical/political reasons for their poor showing. Puerto Rico qualified the same number as in 2000 and 2004.
emile
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 1121
Joined: 06 Jun 2003, 08:53

Re: AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post by emile »

You are cherry-picking nations for your comparisons. Bulgaria and Azerbaijan each qualified fewer than Ecuador, for example, which is counter to your hypothesis.

As for the overall number of slots for each continental federation, it seems fairly well balanced to me. I didn't get the feeling that there was any continent that had to leave out a high number of qualified fighters.
locoxelbox
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 1124
Joined: 04 Oct 2004, 12:26

Re: AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post by locoxelbox »

I have looked at all the major championships since 2000. Eg, Olympic Games 2000 and 2004, World Championships 2001, 2003, 2005 and 2007. I have taken into account the top 8 boxers in each weight division to see if the balance between the Olympic quotas per continent is fair according to their success at these championships.

The 284 Olympic berths won at qualifiers are separated like this:
(I did not take into account the last two "lottery" spots)

Europe: Total 91 boxers
48-57 kg 8 boxers (28,6% from the total of 28 boxers)
60-81 kg 9 boxers (32,1%)
91-+91 kg 7 boxers (43,7% from the total of 16 boxers)

Asia (I have included China in the Asia quota as they have the same number they had in 2004, 62 boxers)
48-57 kg 7 boxers (25%)
60-81 kg 6 boxers (21,4%)
91-+91 kg 2 boxers (12,5%)

America: Total 60 boxers
48-57 kg 6 boxers (21,4%)
60-81 kg 6 boxers (21,4%)
91-+91 kg 3 boxers (18,7%)

Africa: Total 60 boxers
48-57 kg 6 boxers (21,4%)
60-81 kg 6 boxers (21,4%)
91-+91 kg 3 boxers (18,7%)

Oceania: Total 11 boxers
48-57 kg 1 boxer (3,6%)
60-81 kg 1 boxer (3,6%)
91-+91 kg 1 boxer (6,2%)

Let's compare these numbers to the succes at the most recent championships (Worlds and OG since 2000).

Europe
48-57 kg 90 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 46,9% against only a 28,6% quota at the Olympics
60-81 kg 141 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 55,1% against only a 32,1% quota at the Olympics
91-+91 kg 59 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 60,2% against only a 43,7% quota at the Olympics

This shows Europe is clearly underrepresented at the Olympics considering their clear dominance in amateur boxing. Anyway their quota is already by far the highest and I don't see any need to increase it, otherwise the Olympics would be the European Games.


Asia
48-57 kg 60 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 31,3% against only a 25% quota at the Olympics
60-81 kg 53 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 20,7% against 21,4% quota at the Olympics
91-+91 kg 15 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 15,3% against only 12,5% quota at the Olympics

This shows Asia is underrepresentes at the lowest weights but specially at the highest weights! The quota is based on the misbeliefe that asians are small people but that was before the split of the Soviet Union which was more than 15 years ago! Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan has won a lot of medals at these weights and now China has too! And they only get two spots which means a potential medalist will miss the Olympics at heavy and super heavy.

America: Total 60 boxers
48-57 kg 34 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 17,7% against 21,4% quota at the Olympics
60-81 kg 47 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 18,4% against 21,4% quota at the Olympics
91-+91 kg 19 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 19,4% against 18,7% quota at the Olympics

This shows America is slightly overrepresented at the Olympics but really no need for a change.


Africa: Total 60 boxers
48-57 kg 7 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 3,6% against 21,4% quota at the Olympics
60-81 kg 15 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 5,9% against 21,4% quota at the Olympics
91-+91 kg 3 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 3,0% against 18,7% quota at the Olympics

This shows Africa is vastly overrepresented at the Olympics. But you have to take into account the tremendous economical differences between Africa and the other continents. Most African countries can't send their best boxers to many international competitions, specially outside Africa. Anyway I think one of their spots at each weight could go to Asia. Eg Africa would have 49 places (instead of 60) and Asia would have 73 (instead of 62). If this is considered unfair at least they should change at the two highest weights, giving Asia three places and Africa two. Then it would be. Asia 64, Africa 58.


Oceania: Total 11 boxers
48-57 kg 1 boxer in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 0,5% against 3,6% quota at the Olympics
60-81 kg 0 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 0,0% against 3,6% quota at the Olympics
91-+91 kg 2 boxers in the top 8 in the last 6 championships eg 2,0% against 6,2% quota at the Olympics

Oceania is also overrepresented but what can you do? You can't just kick them out, can you? They could of course be included in the asian qualifier but that wouldn't be fair.

Hopefully my statistics will be understandable but I guess I will have to make some explanation...
emile
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 1121
Joined: 06 Jun 2003, 08:53

Re: AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post by emile »

Great analysis loco. It should be said that Europe got a bit done this time by the allocations. Since the World Championships were open to everyone, they could have easily allocated all the Continental Qualifier spots before Chicago. Europe would have then been rewarded for doing so well at the WCs - instead it was just a wash.

However, I have no problem with the current method - international tournaments are supposed to be international, not simply the top 28 fighters in each weight.
Gray-Fox
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 1138
Joined: 22 Apr 2008, 19:33

Re: AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post by Gray-Fox »

locoxelbox is amazing coming up with that...
therealPunchDrunk
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 132
Joined: 02 Dec 2007, 23:36

Re: AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post by therealPunchDrunk »

Lol, did it ever occur to you that there are a bigger total number of nations in Europe (more than 50) as opposed to the Americas? (app. 30) The more nations in a region, the more slots there would have to be available. Come on, it shouldn't take a genius to figure that one out...
therealPunchDrunk
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 132
Joined: 02 Dec 2007, 23:36

Re: AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post by therealPunchDrunk »

Might I also add that at the 2007 World Championships, European fighters won six golds, six silver and twelve bronze medals compared to two gold, one silver and one bronze for the Americas.

In other words, competition for slots in Europe is much harder and at a higher level than the Americas. If anything, Europe is getting a raw deal with the current allocation of slots for each region.
therealPunchDrunk
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 132
Joined: 02 Dec 2007, 23:36

Re: AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post by therealPunchDrunk »

verballistic wrote:
therealPunchDrunk wrote:Lol, did it ever occur to you that there are a bigger total number of nations in Europe (more than 50) as opposed to the Americas? (app. 30) The more nations in a region, the more slots there would have to be available. Come on, it shouldn't take a genius to figure that one out...
beg to differ!! :roll: if THAT was true then AFRICA---which has as many countries as europe (54), should have as many boxers repped at OG!!

why should representation be based on the number of COUNTRIES rather than POPULATION (potential athletes)?!?the americas combined have more population than all of europe!!

north, south, central america & caribbean=817 million

europe=729 million
Well, you're making it obvious that you're the biased one here since your argument is so poorly thought out.

1. Representation is(it's a fact, after all) based, partly on the number of countries, because boxers represent their country and therefore qualify on a country vs. country basis. Only one boxer from each country.

2. The second thing that should have a bearing on the number of berths per region, is the relative strength. As I wrote in my other post, Europe showed itself far stronger than the Americas and Africa put together (but I guess you'll just put that down to bias as well).

Facts are that the best Russians/Brits/Italians/Ukrainians/etc. are generally better than the best Latin American fighters, the World Championships clearly showed this. Why should a Russian who is better than the Latin American fighters in his division stay at home so they can go?

Your argument about population is just grasping for straws. You don't even believe that would be fair yourself (if you took the time to think it over, that is). It would mean that China alone would have more fighters than all of the Americas combined. So would India. Two countries having 30% of the total fighters at the Olympics? Next time, think before making thoughtless arguments. :roll:
locoxelbox
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 1124
Joined: 04 Oct 2004, 12:26

Re: AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post by locoxelbox »

The entrants at World Championships are free and the Europeans STILL win more medals than Asian and American boxers, even at lower weights. I will do a mini statistics on this to see if there is any difference between the World Championships and the Olympics to see if the quota is wrongly distributed, which I'm sure it's not.
Besides the asians do have one more spot at 48-57 kg and Europe one less.
The comparison to pro boxing is unfair because there isn't such a big market for european fighters below featherweight but the asian and latin american public has no problem watching lighter weight boxers.
therealPunchDrunk
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 132
Joined: 02 Dec 2007, 23:36

Re: AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post by therealPunchDrunk »

[quote="verballistic]
most european nations (russia being the exception...like cuba their system is a well-run assembly line) have boxers who are generally superior to latin american boxers at weights above 141 pounds, but once you get to 132 and below, latin american fighters do increasingly better as the weights get lighter!! so what would be wrong with giving the euros more qualifying spots in the higher weights and giving the latin americans & asians more qualifying spots in the lower weight classes? i think they may be already doing that, but clearly those numbers of qualifying spots are out of whack right now as evidenced by the fact that for 2008 games, europeans have more entrants than either americas, asia or africa at 106, 112, 119 and 125 pounds!! even though the euros may be doing better NOW in those weight classes as amateurs, the current system has a built-in bias that EXCLUDES latin americans (and to a lesser extent asians & africans) from the ENTRY LEVEL tourneys such as world junior & world cadet (under-17) championships---as detailed in the above post which you conveniently ignored!!

i'll quote the most relevant portion right here:[/quote]
NUMBER OF NON-CUBAN LATIN AMERICAN BOXERS WHO COMPETED AT WORLD CADET & WORLD JUNIOR CHAMPIONSHIPS IN THIS CENTURY:

2007 WORLD CADET=3

2006 WORLD CADET=0...ZERO...NADA...NIL

2006 WORLD JUNIOR=3

2005 WORLD CADET=10

2004 WORLD JUNIOR=9

2003 WORLD CADET=1 MEDALIST (LACKING FULL RESULTS)

2002 WORLD JUNIOR=25 (HELD IN CUBA)

2002 WORLD JUNIOR=2 MEDALISTS (LACKING FULL RESULTS)

2001 WORLD CADET=0...ZERO...NADA...NIL

2000 WORLD JUNIOR=0...ZERO...NADA...NIL

world cadet (under-17) championships have been held 6 times, with ALL 6 of them HELD IN EUROPE!!
if european amateurs are doing better than latin americans in the weight classes below 141 pounds, it is at least partially due to the fact that latin americans are being EXCLUDED (perhaps not intentionally, but rather negligently) from the above entry level world tourneys, which gives them one more significant reason (the other being poverty) to turn professional at a young age with little realistic hope of ever winning the much-coveted olympic medal that would increase their marketability as pros!!
[/quote]

1. At the 2007 World Championships (which were an Olympic qualification tourney) Europe won 8 medals below 141, Americas 2. Out of those 8, 6 were non Russian. This means that non Russian Europeans were 300% as succesful as non Cuban Americans in direct competition against each other.

2. Referring to 1., the number of participating fighters at cadet world championships is really irrelevant to the fact that Latin American fighters fail to beat European fighters in qualification, when faced directly against each other. Which leads me to...

3. Participation in World Championship tournaments, be it Cadet, Junior or Senior is open. This means that individual countries decide for themselves who and how many they want to send. Therefore, it has nothing to do with bias, but each individual country's priorities. You have to participate to win.
in case you wish to challenge my assertion that latin americans provide far more world-class boxers than euros do at 132 pounds and below, one need only look at the pro ranks, where latin american & asian fighters leave their european peers in the dust, both in quantity & quality!! wlad sidorenko is the only european so far in 21st century to make significant world impact as a pro at weights of 135 pounds & below, and there are numerous latin american & asian pros who are at least as good as sidorenko, the lone euro star below 135-140 pounds in this century!!
They provide far more world class pro's. They also provide many more world class pro's than Cuba. Should we just disregard the myriad of circumstances that cause this gap, and conclude that the Cubans are inferior below 141 as well? Are the Bantam- and featherweight world champions from Russia not better than their Latin American competitors because Latin America has better pro's at those weights? I fail to see how professional boxing is relevant to who the best amateurs are.
your last point here is moot, because that issue was already dealt with above...no single country will have more than one boxer per weight class, so china, india, etc could not possibly have 30% of the boxers at OG or WC!!
You can't have it both ways. Since qualification is done on a one per country quota, it is quite natural that the slots are alotted according to the number of countries, which everybody but you thankfully agrees on.

Let's play with the idea anyway... Since Asia has over half of the world's population, they should get half the berths available. With 32 slots in most weight divisions, that is 16 berths for Asia. I guess you'd be comfortable with Myanmar, Brunei and Cambodia having participants at the Olympics at the cost of top 10-15 Euro fighters?

Either way you slice it, basing qualification on population is idiotic. The best fighters need to go, and to a large extent, that is what is happening.
just because my thoughts & arguments dont AGREE with YOUR thoughts & arguments, that doesnt make my arguments thoughtless, you condescending jackass!! :D
Whether you like it or not, Latin American amateur boxers aren't as good as the Euro's, which the World Championships clearly showed.

I'll admit to being a jackass, while upholding the claim that your arguments are thoughtless and biased. As you admit somewhere in the thread, your knowledge of amateur boxing clearly isn't what it should be. Especially when making claims that are based on this lack of knowledgeg and consequent misunderstanding of what's going on. :)
locoxelbox
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 1124
Joined: 04 Oct 2004, 12:26

Re: AIBA BIAS AGAINST WESTERN HEMISPHERE NATIONS?!?

Post by locoxelbox »

The thing is it's not like AIBA doesn't want the Cadet Championships to be held outside Europe. In fact, they WANT them to be held in smaller countries who wouldn't be able to organize the SENIOR Worlds. Just look at the World Juniors which will now be held in Mexico. Out of 14 editions of the World Juniors 9 have been held in America and only 3 in Europe. Even Africa have held one. But at the senior Worlds (which demands a much bigger investment and organizational structure, unreachable for poor nations) Europe have held 8 out of 15 championships, while America only 4 (3 of them in the US).
Out of the six editions of the World Cadets only Hungary have organized a Senior Worlds. Problem is a country has to WANT to organize this event to be selected. If the latin american countries haven't been able to send teams to these championships what tells you they would invest a lot of time and money to organize them? It's not their main priority just now but I'm sure in the near future countries like Puerto Rico, Mexico or Dominican Republic, or maybe Venezuela or Cuba will organize one.
Post Reply