betting this weekend
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freddydoesdallas
- Cruiserweight
- Posts: 9436
- Joined: 02 Sep 2010, 13:48
Re: betting this weekend
It is a better way to gamble, but i've stuck with maybe 2 or 3 teams and midstakes so that if any major upsets do happen i won't have to work my nuts off to recoup.
I would make Vitali around the 1/50 too. I mean Khan is normally around 1/10 for anyone he fights (he's 1/4 against an opponent who's just beat him) so to lump them in the same bracket is wrong
I would make Vitali around the 1/50 too. I mean Khan is normally around 1/10 for anyone he fights (he's 1/4 against an opponent who's just beat him) so to lump them in the same bracket is wrong
Re: betting this weekend
I've also got a few sportsmen/horses/teams I will pile into now having never lost on them before (Frankel, Big Bucks, Floyd Mayweather, Barcelona and Vitali being a few of them). I'm also now trying to seek out value and have had some decent wins lately on the snooker in particular.freddydoesdallas wrote:It is a better way to gamble, but i've stuck with maybe 2 or 3 teams and midstakes so that if any major upsets do happen i won't have to work my nuts off to recoup.
I would make Vitali around the 1/50 too. I mean Khan is normally around 1/10 for anyone he fights (he's 1/4 against an opponent who's just beat him) so to lump them in the same bracket is wrong
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markfightoptions
- Light Heavyweight
- Posts: 255
- Joined: 04 Dec 2011, 09:51
Re: betting this weekend
Your 100% correct with this but in a risk/reward equation i still account for the fact that 1 correct punch from a 17 stone professional boxer onto the chin of another man will put him on his arse, klitz probably can evade him for 36 minutes or less but theres always that small chance that stops me risking anything on the short odds.SteveDow wrote:Depends on how you calculate value. Betting long odds on is not always a mugs option. I make Vitali about a 1/50 shot for this so 1/12 is good value.markfightoptions wrote:3grand to win 250, absolutely nuts in my opinion, but then again... william hill and victor chandler drive much nicer cars than me
stick that 3 grand on brian magee @ 7/2
Let's look at the plain facts, the only way Vitali can lose this fight is if he gets injured. Chisora is not a big puncher and Vitali has arguably the best chin in the history of heavyweight boxing having never been down in his career. Chisora will never get a points decision in Germany even if he wins every round which he won't as he is vastly inferior technically to Vitali.
Re: betting this weekend
Fair enough mate, each to their own with gambling. If I lose the 3k it will hurt but it won't bankrupt me, it won't really affect me in terms of my day to day life over the next few days. You have to always gamble with the mindset of never betting what you can't afford to lose and that way you will always be ok. I'm not saying I'd have 3k on everything, far from it, but I just cannot envisage any realistic scenario in which Vitali won't win this fight. If he loses I'll be back here to admit I was wrong.markfightoptions wrote:Your 100% correct with this but in a risk/reward equation i still account for the fact that 1 correct punch from a 17 stone professional boxer onto the chin of another man will put him on his arse, klitz probably can evade him for 36 minutes or less but theres always that small chance that stops me risking anything on the short odds.SteveDow wrote:Depends on how you calculate value. Betting long odds on is not always a mugs option. I make Vitali about a 1/50 shot for this so 1/12 is good value.markfightoptions wrote:3grand to win 250, absolutely nuts in my opinion, but then again... william hill and victor chandler drive much nicer cars than me
stick that 3 grand on brian magee @ 7/2
Let's look at the plain facts, the only way Vitali can lose this fight is if he gets injured. Chisora is not a big puncher and Vitali has arguably the best chin in the history of heavyweight boxing having never been down in his career. Chisora will never get a points decision in Germany even if he wins every round which he won't as he is vastly inferior technically to Vitali.
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markfightoptions
- Light Heavyweight
- Posts: 255
- Joined: 04 Dec 2011, 09:51
Re: betting this weekend
Fair play, im typically a very bad gambler so i now only use it as a form of entertainment, used to bet big but it looses its entertainment value and becomes more of a squeeky arse one once you punt above a certain level.SteveDow wrote:Fair enough mate, each to their own with gambling. If I lose the 3k it will hurt but it won't bankrupt me, it won't really affect me in terms of my day to day life over the next few days. You have to always gamble with the mindset of never betting what you can't afford to lose and that way you will always be ok. I'm not saying I'd have 3k on everything, far from it, but I just cannot envisage any realistic scenario in which Vitali won't win this fight. If he loses I'll be back here to admit I was wrong.markfightoptions wrote:Your 100% correct with this but in a risk/reward equation i still account for the fact that 1 correct punch from a 17 stone professional boxer onto the chin of another man will put him on his arse, klitz probably can evade him for 36 minutes or less but theres always that small chance that stops me risking anything on the short odds.SteveDow wrote: Depends on how you calculate value. Betting long odds on is not always a mugs option. I make Vitali about a 1/50 shot for this so 1/12 is good value.
Let's look at the plain facts, the only way Vitali can lose this fight is if he gets injured. Chisora is not a big puncher and Vitali has arguably the best chin in the history of heavyweight boxing having never been down in his career. Chisora will never get a points decision in Germany even if he wins every round which he won't as he is vastly inferior technically to Vitali.
Hope you come through this one unscathed.
Re: betting this weekend
Thanks mate. Are you getting involved in the fight? I was tempted to take the 1/3 on a Vitali stoppage but Del Boy has a decent chin and may just look to survive like he did against Fury once he realises he can't win.markfightoptions wrote:Fair play, im typically a very bad gambler so i now only use it as a form of entertainment, used to bet big but it looses its entertainment value and becomes more of a squeeky arse one once you punt above a certain level.SteveDow wrote:Fair enough mate, each to their own with gambling. If I lose the 3k it will hurt but it won't bankrupt me, it won't really affect me in terms of my day to day life over the next few days. You have to always gamble with the mindset of never betting what you can't afford to lose and that way you will always be ok. I'm not saying I'd have 3k on everything, far from it, but I just cannot envisage any realistic scenario in which Vitali won't win this fight. If he loses I'll be back here to admit I was wrong.markfightoptions wrote: Your 100% correct with this but in a risk/reward equation i still account for the fact that 1 correct punch from a 17 stone professional boxer onto the chin of another man will put him on his arse, klitz probably can evade him for 36 minutes or less but theres always that small chance that stops me risking anything on the short odds.
Hope you come through this one unscathed.
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markfightoptions
- Light Heavyweight
- Posts: 255
- Joined: 04 Dec 2011, 09:51
Re: betting this weekend
SteveDow wrote:Thanks mate. Are you getting involved in the fight? I was tempted to take the 1/3 on a Vitali stoppage but Del Boy has a decent chin and may just look to survive like he did against Fury once he realises he can't win.markfightoptions wrote:Fair play, im typically a very bad gambler so i now only use it as a form of entertainment, used to bet big but it looses its entertainment value and becomes more of a squeeky arse one once you punt above a certain level.SteveDow wrote: Fair enough mate, each to their own with gambling. If I lose the 3k it will hurt but it won't bankrupt me, it won't really affect me in terms of my day to day life over the next few days. You have to always gamble with the mindset of never betting what you can't afford to lose and that way you will always be ok. I'm not saying I'd have 3k on everything, far from it, but I just cannot envisage any realistic scenario in which Vitali won't win this fight. If he loses I'll be back here to admit I was wrong.
Hope you come through this one unscathed.
Im generally staying away from it, dont really like the heavyweights for betting, as i said too much chance of a stray punch.
I stuck chisora in for a k/o along with brian magee and jason booth
chisora 11/1
magee 10/3
booth 9/1
£10 pays 5 grand, gives me a small amount of interest in the fight which promises to be a typical klitz borefest.
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Dirk Kelly
- Heavyweight

- Posts: 4971
- Joined: 06 Jul 2004, 20:13
Re: betting this weekend
Think I've got Galihand, Eubank Jr and Vitali all to win by KO. Shite odds, £10, returns £62 or something.
Pay for a nice Sunday lunch if it happens.
Pay for a nice Sunday lunch if it happens.
Re: betting this weekend
Don't know much about Galihand but Eubank Jnr and Vitali should oblige there I'd have thought. 5/1 is ok value.Dirk Kelly wrote:Think I've got Galihand, Eubank Jr and Vitali all to win by KO. Shite odds, £10, returns £62 or something.
Pay for a nice Sunday lunch if it happens.
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markfightoptions
- Light Heavyweight
- Posts: 255
- Joined: 04 Dec 2011, 09:51
Re: betting this weekend
SteveDow wrote:Don't know much about Galihand but Eubank Jnr and Vitali should oblige there I'd have thought. 5/1 is ok value.Dirk Kelly wrote:Think I've got Galihand, Eubank Jr and Vitali all to win by KO. Shite odds, £10, returns £62 or something.
Pay for a nice Sunday lunch if it happens.
Still don't know how they can justify galahad to be odds on favourite at 1/5
Galahad has fought absolutely nobody, hes had 2 positive record opponents; hes beat a 40 year old paul griffin and a 3-2-0 dougie curran
booth has lost 3 of his last 4, but these were all against quality opponents, he was fighting for a bonafide world title less than 18 months ago, he didnt look impressive against quigg but im hoping he still has enough in the tank to take an inexperienced galahad to school.
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markfightoptions
- Light Heavyweight
- Posts: 255
- Joined: 04 Dec 2011, 09:51
Re: betting this weekend
I do hope people shop around for prices in this day and age.... klitz is 1/12 with ladbrokes and 1/22 with sportingbet.
big difference.
:geek2:
big difference.
:geek2:
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markfightoptions
- Light Heavyweight
- Posts: 255
- Joined: 04 Dec 2011, 09:51
Re: betting this weekend
Squeeky bum time with that 3 grand ;)
I walk away up about £240, not bad for a nights work.
Night folks
I walk away up about £240, not bad for a nights work.
Night folks