Betting thread

[sgtcecil]

Nashiro 13/5 to beat Kaovichit. I know this is in Thailand and Japanese fighters have an awful record in Thailand (Koki Eto was the first Japanese born fighter to win a world title over there) but Kaovichit is DONE and whilst Nashiro hasn't been great in recent world title fights he looked REALLY good against Tepparith.

Paddy Power.

Down to 7/5 so some else saw the value here, wonder what made PP put Kaovichit as such a clear favourite

That horrific run for Japanese fighters in Thailand continues.

[sgtcecil]

Burns rounds 7-12 for me this week. Think burns is going to grind him down

[jamiedavies02]

Posted this RE Burns v Beltran elsewhere;

Forget the hype about this tomato can sparring with Pacquiao. I’m not a Burns fan but I consider him one of the best 2/7 shots you will ever see - I make him more like 1/10.

Tomato can has a 4(1)-3(1) record at lightweight, last 2 opponents are 43-16(7). His only stoppage at the weight came against a guy whose record was 10-8(2)! He’s done 10 rounds a number of times but never twelve and only ranked by the WBO. Burns enjoys a height and reach advantage, boxed nearly 100 more rounds and fought better opposition.

Key’s to the fight;

4 minutes 27 seconds

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tPGFD4D1vWY

7 minutes 5 seconds

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiA6vIw-ugc

Burns KO for me all day long at 14/5!!!

[Gazmac81]

one of my mates does the stewarding/ officialling at big fights and was saying Beltran looked well over weight at the presser.

he does look big in the pictures ive seen to be honets but maybe does it no problem

if hesd struggling then burns may get him out like you say

Burns rounds 7-12 for me this week. Think burns is going to grind him down

[The Insider]

I agree with the last couple of posts. Burns hitting harder than ever (i tipped him to stop Mitchell last time) and I expect him to beat tepid opposition in Beltran pretty convincingly in front of his home crowd. Now 11/4 with Skybet.

[dve3333]

Is it me or is 4/1 for Seth Mitchell to beat Chris Arreola a decent bet!? I know Mitchell is hardly the second coming but hits hard and relatively fresh whereas Arreola has a lot of hard fights on the clock looked a shot fighter in his last fight against Stiverne

[Finn]

anyone see an outcome other than PBF on points against canelo? the odds on it are crap 18/5, the stoppage is 4/1.

[Bard of Boxrec]

Is it me or is 4/1 for Seth Mitchell to beat Chris Arreola a decent bet!? I know Mitchell is hardly the second coming but hits hard and relatively fresh whereas Arreola has a lot of hard fights on the clock looked a shot fighter in his last fight against Stiverne

Sounds like great value to me, although the reason for it is Chris is tough and Seth's glass chin isn't hard to find.

[Hagler2002]

Mitchell is a complete pudding, I wouldn't back him at 10/1

[Bard of Boxrec]

Mitchell is a complete pudding, I wouldn't back him at 10/1

He has some skills and Arreola looked like such dogshit against Stiverne. I would say Mitchell should be something like 5/2 rather than 4/1 so I think it's good value. The problem is Mitchell could land on Chris all night but Chris wouldn't need to do much at all to down Seth.

[sgtcecil]

Hate international week - here goes my weekend coupon;

Kazakhstan, Bosnia, Czech Rep, Norway. Not going to make me a millionnaire but gives me an interest in tonights footy. Maybe add Burns KO to that list on a separate line.

[Old bones Ian]

Mitchell is a complete pudding, I wouldn't back him at 10/1

He has some skills and Arreola looked like such dogshit against Stiverne. I would say Mitchell should be something like 5/2 rather than 4/1 so I think it's good value. The problem is Mitchell could land on Chris all night but Chris wouldn't need to do much at all to down Seth.

Thats the main reason i wouldn't put a bet on Seth, i may wait till after the weigh in and see what condition Arreola is in, but so far i'd put my money on a Arreola win inside 3 rounds.

[Bard of Boxrec]

Mitchell is a complete pudding, I wouldn't back him at 10/1

He has some skills and Arreola looked like such dogshit against Stiverne. I would say Mitchell should be something like 5/2 rather than 4/1 so I think it's good value. The problem is Mitchell could land on Chris all night but Chris wouldn't need to do much at all to down Seth.

Thats the main reason i wouldn't put a bet on Seth, i may wait till after the weigh in and see what condition Arreola is in, but so far i'd put my money on a Arreola win inside 3 rounds.

Chris is so bad though stranger things have happened than Seth staying out of trouble against him.

It's actually quite an interesting fight, if you're a masochist.

[martinmrts]

my usual dreams about London transport and seafood were interrupted by a vivid vision of Alvarez winning by sixth round ko. 40/1 at Ladbrokes.

[Deno1986]

Going to join the bandwagon and back the Burns stoppage victory to add a bit of excitement to what should be a fairly one sided fight.

Also laying a small bit on Tom Dallas to beat Ian Lewison at 5/2. If Dallas can survive the first few rounds, it's a pick em fight. Lewison is still relatively untested and has never gone past 4.

[Hagler2002]

There's some grim reading in here this weekend especially the guy who said Burns was the best 2/7 shot he'd ever seen and Beltran was a complete "tomato can"

Seth Mitchell lasted longer than I thought he would

I'm itching for a punt this weekend so going to have a few bananas on Daniel Ricciardo for a top 6 finish in the Italian Grand Prix @ 100/30.

[jamiedavies02]

Hands up, called that one completely wrong... Although I'd like to think it would have gone the way I predicted had it not been for Burns jaw injury. On the positive side if there is a rematch I'll get Burns KO at a juicier price!

[Bard of Boxrec]

Mitchell is a complete pudding, I wouldn't back him at 10/1

He has some skills and Arreola looked like such dogshit against Stiverne. I would say Mitchell should be something like 5/2 rather than 4/1 so I think it's good value. The problem is Mitchell could land on Chris all night but Chris wouldn't need to do much at all to down Seth.

Thats the main reason i wouldn't put a bet on Seth, i may wait till after the weigh in and see what condition Arreola is in, but so far i'd put my money on a Arreola win inside 3 rounds.

Did you get on this Ian? I'm annoyed I didn't see this one coming, anyone know what the odds were for KO1 Arreola?

[sgtcecil]

10/3 on bet365 just before the fight

[Hagler2002]

Matthysse by stoppage @ 8/11 is an all in massive fill your boots lock and unload 110% full bank job imo.

To say I'm quietly confident is an understatement

I remember looking at this a while back and I think it was around evens but totally forgot about it, anyway 8/11 will do me just fine as I'd have it closer to a 1/2 shot.

[Bard of Boxrec]

Matthysse by stoppage @ 8/11 is an all in massive fill your boots lock and unload 110% full bank job imo.

To say I'm quietly confident is an understatement

I remember looking at this a while back and I think it was around evens but totally forgot about it, anyway 8/11 will do me just fine as I'd have it closer to a 1/2 shot.

Yeah I've got on this too, as a bet to go towards clearing my Bet365 bonus.

Bit worried though as Garcia seems to be pretty sturdy...I could definitely see him going down a couple of times but losing a decision.

Arrrrghhh

[Finn]

i think Galahad to win, Matthysse by KO and Mayweather by points.

Feel free to follow my boxing betting facebook page https://www.facebook.com/BoxingBetting

[sgtcecil]

I can't see past mayweather to win by decision (8/11 UD at lads).

Also will take Galahad to win.

Was also going to take Matthysse to stop Garcia but then the fact that Zab went the 12 with him clouds my judgement so will just take him outright if I even bother with this fight.

My picks have been shit lately and I talked myself out of backing arreola to win on round 1!!!!!

[Deno1986]

I'm gonna go against the grain and go for Garcia to beat Matthyse. The Argentine isn't invincible and the blueprint has been set on how to beat him by Alexander and Judah (albeit contentious results according to some) and if Garcia can implement a similiar gameplan, he has a chance. €50 at 9/4.

Also stuck €50 on a Hull, QPR, Spurs treble @ 4/1

Best of luck lads. Great day of sport!

[MR T]

Matthyse, Galahad and Mayweather treble at about 7/4