Betting thread

[Boxing Prospect]

I know it's far too late to say this but Diana Prazak was 1.5 to beat Shannon O'Connell earlier today. A LOT of value there despite relatively low price. Prazak is a BEAST under Lucia Rijker.

[Hagler2002]

Just had a nice football accumulator up so going to chuck £300 at a Crawford stoppage.

Talked myself out of this.

[expe]

Just had a nice football accumulator up so going to chuck £300 at a Crawford stoppage.

Talked myself out of this.

Smart move, would take something special to stop Ricky Burns.

[Bard of Boxrec]

Onwards and upwards, what do we think about Cotto/Martinez? Has split a lot of people this one.

Oops, just realised this isn't scheduled till the summer. Boxing is so dead, where are all the fights? Only things that interest me from a betting perspective are Pac decision and...dare I say Malik Scott as a live underdog vs big chinless lumbering goon. And Froch stoppage again.

[JC]

I think Angulo at 6/1 is a big price. I've always felt Canelo was overrated and he won't have the kind of physical advantages over Angulo he has had over a lot of his opponents.

[reggaereggae]

I hard a great win on woodhouse, Salido, Crawford and Joshua Ko 1

[Bard of Boxrec]

I hard a great win on woodhouse, Salido, Crawford and Joshua Ko 1

Accumulator?

[lefthook82]

Great win

Would have been tremedous odds that 4 fold considering salido is at least 4/1 and woodhouse 3/1

[reggaereggae]

I hard a great win on woodhouse, Salido, Crawford and Joshua Ko 1

Accumulator?

yes mate! It was a tenner at 80-1 or such. I really needed it to be honest. Was well chuffed, even though I'm a lomachenko fan

[Omerta]

Anyone fancy angulo? He's 5.5 on betfair to win think he's worth a punt at that price

[domjon]

Anyone fancy angulo? He's 5.5 on betfair to win think he's worth a punt at that price

backed him at 6/1, shortening up everywhere now. Crazy price.

[Old bones Ian]

Isaac Quaye at 16/1

[domjon]

Isaac Quaye at 16/1

based on? just flicking through his record 21 of his 25 wins have come against fighters who've failed to register a single victory!

[Bard of Boxrec]

Anyone fancy angulo? He's 5.5 on betfair to win think he's worth a punt at that price

I'm torn on this one. I think it has the potential to be a war but I feel like Canelo surely comes through against the cumbersome Angulo. That said I think 5.5/1 is too long and should be worth a punt... Arrgh

Might throw it in an accumulator or two.

[Boxing Prospect]

Gone for an Angulo/Arakawa double

[domjon]

Gone for an Angulo/Arakawa double

yep me too.

[The Insider]

Gone for an Angulo/Arakawa double

Can't see Angulo making it. He's a Great pressure fighter and is actually getting better dispite his loses when stepping up but Saul can actually box a bit too as well as bang.

Arakawa is Great value in a close fight. He was 5/1 yesterday when I had a peek.

Juan Manuel Lopez is 2/1 to beat Ponce de Leon which I think he will. Both a bit worn now but I give Lopez the edge in another 50/50 bout.

[bennie]

Isaac Quaye at 16/1

Liverpool's Kevin Satchell defends his Commonwealth flyweight title on home turf at the Aintree Centre against Ghanaian threat Isaac Quaye this weekend.
Satchell won the title at the same Centre two years ago when he stopped big Scouse rival Paul Edwards in 10 dominating rounds in something of an upset in just his eighth paid outing, having never travelled past six rounds previously. "Satch" has since retained the belt in two full 12-rounders to confirm his obvious potential at 11-0 (2); he recently added the British title to his collection with a thumping six-round stoppage of Stoke's usually durable Chris Edwards.
Quaye is also a 12-round fighter as he showed when he took Birmingham's Don Broadhurst the full championship limit here back in October 2008, before conceding the points, since when the 33-year-old from Accra has gone unbeaten in 15 fights, 11 early.
Like most Ghanaian fighters, Quaye is strong, proud, fit and tough; the man has never been stopped in a good-looking record of 25-4-1 (16), so Satchell is going to have to work hard throughout this one. That is his game anyway as he sets a hot pace and maintains it, going particularly well to the body for a wiry flyweight (shades of Duke McKenzie), although we may see him choose to box the shorter challenger.
It is a fine match between two men who want to win; the most likely winner is of course Satchell but he has banged up in the past and those odds of 16/1 are crazy. Good pick, Ian.

[domjon]

Isaac Quaye at 16/1

the man has never been stopped in a good-looking record of 25-4-1 (16),

it's not a good looking record though is it? You would do well to find a more padded record. His 15 fight unbeaten run includes one man with 13 wins to his name, the other 14 have 5 wins between them. Fair enough if somebodys watched Quaye and seen something...that was what I was interested in...but on the bare record 16/1 doesnt look crazy at all.

[Bard of Boxrec]

Isaac Quaye at 16/1

the man has never been stopped in a good-looking record of 25-4-1 (16),

it's not a good looking record though is it? You would do well to find a more padded record. His 15 fight unbeaten run includes one man with 13 wins to his name, the other 14 have 5 wins between them. Fair enough if somebodys watched Quaye and seen something...that was what I was interested in...but on the bare record 16/1 doesnt look crazy at all.

16/1 is crazy in almost any two-horse race in boxing. Look at the underdogs for all the scheduled fights on oddschecker. The next longest is 10/1. For perspective, Maidana is 8/1 vs Floyd. Does he have that more chance of winning than this guy Quaye? Does he fig!

I've gone for my usual high variance bankroll-draining accumulators and doubles:

Arakama, Quaye, Angulo 560/1 (lol)
Arakama, Angulo (32/1)
Quaye, Angulo (100/1 ish)
Quaye, Arakama (100/1 ish)

[domjon]

16/1 is crazy in almost any two-horse race in boxing. Look at the underdogs for all the scheduled fights on oddschecker. The next longest is 10/1. For perspective, Maidana is 8/1 vs Floyd. Does he have that more chance of winning than this guy Quaye? Does he fig!

I've gone for my usual high variance bankroll-draining accumulators and doubles:

Arakama, Quaye, Angulo 560/1 (lol)
Arakama, Angulo (32/1)
Quaye, Angulo (100/1 ish)
Quaye, Arakama (100/1 ish)

well for a start it's a three horse race as the draw is obviously a possible outcome.

Have you watched the guy at all or are you betting blind? If you haven't seen him how do you know Maidana has less chance? We all like a big price, that's why I was interested if anybody had seen an angle but to say almost any 16/1 in a boxing match is crazy is, well, crazy.

[Bard of Boxrec]

16/1 is crazy in almost any two-horse race in boxing. Look at the underdogs for all the scheduled fights on oddschecker. The next longest is 10/1. For perspective, Maidana is 8/1 vs Floyd. Does he have that more chance of winning than this guy Quaye? Does he fig!

I've gone for my usual high variance bankroll-draining accumulators and doubles:

Arakama, Quaye, Angulo 560/1 (lol)
Arakama, Angulo (32/1)
Quaye, Angulo (100/1 ish)
Quaye, Arakama (100/1 ish)

well for a start it's a three horse race as the draw is obviously a possible outcome.

Have you watched the guy at all or are you betting blind? If you haven't seen him how do you know Maidana has less chance? We all like a big price, that's why I was interested if anybody had seen an angle but to say almost any 16/1 in a boxing match is crazy is, well, crazy.

You must not be familiar with how fights are priced up. Outside of obvious squash jobs (which this isn't) 16/1 is crazy.

[palooka]

You must not be familiar with how fights are priced up. Outside of obvious squash jobs (which this isn't) 16/1 is crazy.[/quote]

I'm not familiar; I may put a tenner on Angulo - am I throwing money away?

[Bard of Boxrec]

I'm not familiar; I may put a tenner on Angulo - am I throwing money away?

I and others here think he's good value, probably should be 3/1. The bookies give him a 16.6 per cent chance of winning, so if he has more chance that that you're winning this type of bet at 5/1 in the long term. I do, so I've bet him in accumulators.

[domjon]

You must not be familiar with how fights are priced up. Outside of obvious squash jobs (which this isn't) 16/1 is crazy.

I'm quite familiar with how fights are priced up thanks.

Let's for a minute assume they're priced up using your infallible "obvious squash job" / "not obvious squash job" method...what is it about Isaaac Quaye that makes you think he's a "not obvious squash job"? Have you seen him and he looks handy? Do you just not rate Satchell?