Deno1986 wrote:crusader wrote:Ya, the post seemed mocking to me.
X2
JimGunn has thrown up a few good bets over the past month or two. He's been far more successful than I have been this year.
Firstly - I was clearly joshing, to get so upset at a forum post from a stranger also shows that BobbyGunn doesn't have the temperament for betting - you need a cool head, not be an angry hot head who throws their ticket on the floor.
Secondly - 1 or 2 good tips out of ten are no use to anyone. You need consistency and to make profit over the year. I lose more bets than I win in terms of raw number of bets, but I largely Make a profit over the year, because I bet on longer as value odds and accumulators (parlays for you Mr Gunn.) I am prepared to bet that if I put together all BobbyGunn's bets to date, the balance would be significantly negative. In other words poor choices.
Thirdly - the cardinal rule for betting is: bet on the value odds, not what you think will happen. Bookies generally have a 13-15% spread between 2 probabilities. This is the house advantage and why all bookies seem to stay in business. So if we bet intelligently, we bet on outcomes where we feel a bookie has mispriced an outcome. So eg while Kit lost his bet due to his man getting chinned, it was a great bet to take as 5-1 provided value in what ended up being a 6-4 price before the fight. His man got chinned and that's boxing. But it was a decent bet and if he cashed before the first out he would've made money.
Any questions?
