Value bets

ALI · Post by **ALI** » 17 Dec 2016, 02:55

Spurred on by a very nice little double recently, McCgregor Ko Alvarez R2 @ 6/1 and Ward win points at, i think it was, even money, i'm keeping a keen eye out for my next little double or treble that could net me a nice little wedge.

I dont like betting against someone a really want to win, but there are some very nice odds on Jack against DeGale. I think this is a very, very close fight that will go to points, and we all know DeGale can give away rounds. Jack will be consistent throughout and has a very good shot here. Paddy Power go 10/3 on Jack by Decision.

Frampton by decision @ 6/4 - Paddy Power is interesting.

David Haye KO Bellew rounds 1 to 6 @ 5/6 with Paddy Power, like buying money IMO. Rounds 1 - 4 SkyBet go 13/8, and rounds 1 - 3 you can get 11/4 with Bet365. 11/1 is available for R1 KO, and 9/1 for R2 KO if anyone fancies being precise.

Garcia to beat Thurman @ 15/8 is interesting i think.

If Kovalev Ward go at it again i reckon there will be good value in backing Kovalev, i fancy him to take the rematch.

What do others think about these bets and any other good value bets out there you can highlight?

ALI · Post by **ALI** » 17 Dec 2016, 03:02

Jack by decision, Frampton by decision, Haye KO Rounds 1 to 6 at 19/1 with Paddy Power. A treble worth considering perhaps?

ALI · Post by **ALI** » 17 Dec 2016, 03:04

Probably the wisest bet would be to lump all your money on Haye to KO Bellew inside 6 rounds at 4/5. Can there be any other outcome?

The Insider · Post by **The Insider** » 17 Dec 2016, 03:51

Join in over here

http://boxrec.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=9&t=101370

mullenman · Post by **mullenman** » 17 Dec 2016, 04:00

If haye of 5/6 after the way in and looks good with no injury rumours I'll have a grand on it..

This is an entertaining fight but also a miss match

Never mind the sky build up as haye will blast bellews easy

ClivePatrickLyons · Post by **ClivePatrickLyons** » 20 Dec 2016, 00:07

De Gale by UN Dec
Haye by 3rd round TKO
Santa Cruz by 11th round TKO
Thurman by split Dec
Ward by UN Dec

Andrew · Post by **Andrew** » 20 Dec 2016, 03:09

Jezebel corrales is 11/8 against Uchiyama a guy he KOd in two rounds a few months ago.

Uchiyama is in his mid-late 30s and had a padded record recently.

sweetscience · Post by **sweetscience** » 20 Dec 2016, 04:55

im going £150 Haye to KO bellew in 1st

£50 back up bet for round 2 to cover my outlay & little bit back.... cannot see any other outcome

TopGun · Post by **TopGun** » 20 Dec 2016, 05:39

sweetscience wrote:im going £150 Haye to KO bellew in 1st

£50 back up bet for round 2 to cover my outlay & little bit back.... cannot see any other outcome

Bellew will last more than a round...don't waste your money

The Insider · Post by **The Insider** » 20 Dec 2016, 06:27

Naandrew wrote:Jezebel corrales is 11/8 against Uchiyama a guy he KOd in two rounds a few months ago.

Uchiyama is in his mid-late 30s and had a padded record recently.

Jezebel!!!!!! You love your auto-correct don't you.

sweetscience · Post by **sweetscience** » 20 Dec 2016, 08:31

TopGun wrote:
sweetscience wrote:im going £150 Haye to KO bellew in 1st

£50 back up bet for round 2 to cover my outlay & little bit back.... cannot see any other outcome

Bellew will last more than a round...don't waste your money

only if he doesn't engage

£2000 return... its worth the risk

TopGun · Post by **TopGun** » 20 Dec 2016, 08:37

sweetscience wrote:
TopGun wrote:
sweetscience wrote:im going £150 Haye to KO bellew in 1st

£50 back up bet for round 2 to cover my outlay & little bit back.... cannot see any other outcome

Bellew will last more than a round...don't waste your money
only if he doesn't engage

£2000 return... its worth the risk

Good luck mate. Cannot see him getting blasted out in a round. But hope I'm wrong for your sake

sweetscience · Post by **sweetscience** » 20 Dec 2016, 08:39

I don't bet often, when I do I go big (ISH)

will pay for vegas at end of month if it comes in

Andrew · Post by **Andrew** » 20 Dec 2016, 11:52

The Insider wrote:
Naandrew wrote:Jezebel corrales is 11/8 against Uchiyama a guy he KOd in two rounds a few months ago.

Uchiyama is in his mid-late 30s and had a padded record recently.
Jezebel!!!!!! You love your auto-correct don't you.

Jezreel

boxingknockout · Post by **boxingknockout** » 20 Dec 2016, 12:25

sweetscience wrote:im going £150 Haye to KO bellew in 1st

£50 back up bet for round 2 to cover my outlay & little bit back.... cannot see any other outcome

Big bet..... a lot depends on how Bellew decides to fight. If he comes out blazing Haye will have to take him out ASAP. But I'm not sure he will. I think he'll be more careful in the first round or two and I can't see a hothead like Bellew keeping cool for too long. He'll start taking risks in round 3 as Haye plays it gently until then, and then Bellew will get flattened when he opens up.

sweetscience · Post by **sweetscience** » 20 Dec 2016, 12:37

boxingknockout wrote:
sweetscience wrote:im going £150 Haye to KO bellew in 1st

£50 back up bet for round 2 to cover my outlay & little bit back.... cannot see any other outcome
Big bet..... a lot depends on how Bellew decides to fight. If he comes out blazing Haye will have to take him out ASAP. But I'm not sure he will. I think he'll be more careful in the first round or two and I can't see a hothead like Bellew keeping cool for too long. He'll start taking risks in round 3 as Haye plays it gently until then, and then Bellew will get flattened when he opens up.

I think its down to Haye, imo he can KO him when he wants... bellew aint slick enough to run from him if Hayes intentions are to win very early

the only way he sees out a few rounds is if Haye lets him

ALI · Post by **ALI** » 20 Dec 2016, 16:17

sweetscience wrote:
TopGun wrote:
sweetscience wrote:im going £150 Haye to KO bellew in 1st

£50 back up bet for round 2 to cover my outlay & little bit back.... cannot see any other outcome

Bellew will last more than a round...don't waste your money
only if he doesn't engage

£2000 return... its worth the risk

KO1 best odds are 11/1.

£150 will net you a return of £1650 + your stake. Not £2000.

ALI · Post by **ALI** » 20 Dec 2016, 16:21

I cant believe Paddy Power offer 5/6 for Haye to win by KO inside 6 rounds. You hear the term 'bet the mortgage on it' getting banded about, it has never been more relevent than now, i really struggle to envisage any other scenario.

sweetscience · Post by **sweetscience** » 20 Dec 2016, 18:40

ALI wrote:
sweetscience wrote:
TopGun wrote:

Bellew will last more than a round...don't waste your money
only if he doesn't engage

£2000 return... its worth the risk
KO1 best odds are 11/1.

£150 will net you a return of £1650 + your stake. Not £2000.

Sorry the actual bet I do (I've done similar bets .. Haye Mac / Khan salita / aj Martin / price v someone but lost )

Haye KO 1 @ £150
Haye KO 1-2 @ £50 (just to cover losses but also win win if it's in 1st )

You come out with about £2k inc stake

* normally join a new site & for second bet get a free bet

TopGun · Post by **TopGun** » 21 Dec 2016, 08:07

Am I missing something here but I don't see this finishing that early.....?

MattCoke · Post by **MattCoke** » 21 Dec 2016, 13:12

TopGun wrote:Am I missing something here but I don't see this finishing that early.....?

If this goes past the halfway point I'll be amazed, if Haye can knock a 17/18 stone Chisora out in 5, he can knock a 15st Bellew out whenever he decides.

Tangerine · Post by **Tangerine** » 21 Dec 2016, 14:07

Haye cant be trusted not to carry Bellew however long he feels necessary.No round betting for me.In reality Bellew gets sparked with the first big shot Haye lands.

boxingknockout · Post by **boxingknockout** » 21 Dec 2016, 15:01

LancashireLoyal wrote:Haye cant be trusted not to carry Bellew however long he feels necessary.No round betting for me.In reality Bellew gets sparked with the first big shot Haye lands.

Haye is spiteful when he punches. I'm not sure he'll be able to hold on too long until he bands Bellend.

I am going Haye ko3

bruthead · Post by **bruthead** » 21 Dec 2016, 15:22

Bellew ran away from Stevenson for a few rounds, can see him doing the same here. Haye is not as fast as he used to be and even Audley got to Round 3.

ALI · Post by **ALI** » 21 Dec 2016, 17:15

LancashireLoyal wrote:Haye cant be trusted not to carry Bellew however long he feels necessary.No round betting for me.In reality Bellew gets sparked with the first big shot Haye lands.

He wont carry him for anything more than a round or two, if he carries him at all, you can be sure of that. No way does Haye want this going past 6 rounds.

I've not bet yet, but i'm planning to go big on the 5/6 being offered for Haye by KO inside 6 rounds.

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