Betting thread

[ShadrachSimmo]

I've gone for:

£20 on the 3 fold
Wlad rounds 9-12
Quigg stoppage
Campbell stoppage

@49/1

He was a hard little bastard Simeon. Quigg has turned into Mickey Ward which didn't help

[boxingknockout]

The big call of the day....Eaktawan to beat Nietes, at around 10/1

I took that earlier in the week.

Also if anyone has a Betsafe account, even though they're a night mare and site doesn't work on some devices, you can find a whole range of crazy bets (EG will one fighter break his arm at 50-1! Will ref get knocked down etc).

But I noticed two interesting lines - 1. Who will land the first punch - each at 1.95 2. Who will THROW first punch, same odds...

The second one is an odd one to judge as both fighters can paw a little with their jab - when does a paw become a proper punch?

Anyway I've put a bit on Klitschko to do both. Betsafe have a deposit bonus up to 30 quid - but one tip - use your bonus FIRST before you place a cash bet otherwise bizarrely you lose the bonus. Had to speak to a customer agent for ages to get it reinstated! Madness

I'm a sucker for exotic props. I'd probably be all over some of those if I could.

I think I lost big, but need to do the maths.

However I won on both these bets at least and an over 8.5.... but I definitely dropped money this week

[TheGingerBomber]

On a hiatus when it comes to betting. Taylor and Campbell stoppages were shite for me. I'm pretty useless.

[JimGunn]

Perez started strong for three rounds but lost steam after that against Campbell and the Romanian Simion was much tougher vs Quigg than anticipated, so the undercard went poorly for me. But that main event was one of the best heavyweight title fights in years and Joshua came through with the late stoppage that few expected. Those TKO- not KO or DQ props were great value on this bout. Ended up with a decent net win of 1.74 units for the weekend.

Miguel Beltran Jr. (+400) vs Casey Ramos $25.00 for $100.00=-$25.00

Anthony Joshua (-198) vs Wladimir Klitschko ~$450.00 for ~$229.80= ~$229.80
Anthony Joshua wins in round 5-8 (+317) $35.00 for $110.95=-$35.00
Anthony Joshua wins by TKO- not KO or DQ (+255) ~$52.00 for ~$132.60= ~$132.60
Anthony Joshua wins by TKO- not KO or DQ (+230) ~$65.00 for ~$149.50= ~$149.50
Anthony Joshua wins by disqualification (+5500) $10.00 for $550.00=-$10.00
Anthony Joshua wins by KO/TKO/DQ or unanimous decision (-168) $168.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Anthony Joshua/Wladimir Klitschko Under 8½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00=-$100.00
Wladimir Klitschko wins in round 7-12 (+756) $50.00 for $378.00=-$50.00
Wladimir Klitschko To Be Knocked Down ( -162) ~$83.20 for ~$51.36= ~$51.36
Wladimir Klitschko will be knocked down in the first or second round and win the fight by KO (+5000) ~$13.00 for ~$650.00=-~$13.00
Wladimir Klitschko will be knocked down more than three times and Anthony Joshua will win the fight on points (+10000) ~$13.00 for ~$1300.00=-~$13.00

Scott Quigg wins inside distance (+216) vs Viorel Simion $30.00 for $64.80=-$30.00
Scott Quigg wins inside distance (+175) vs Viorel Simion ~$76.70 for ~$134.22=-~$76.70
Viorel Simion to be knocked down (+150) ~$33.80 for ~$50.70=-~$33.80

Darleys Perez (+500) vs Luke Campbell $75.00 for $375.00=-$75.00
Darleys Perez Points Victory Or Technical Decision (+2000) ~$27.30 for ~$546.00=-~$27.30
-----
Total Profit= $174.76

[Supremo]

I'd Wlad at 9/4. Could have more than doubled my money at one point if I'd cashed out but was greedy.

[Deno1986]

I like the look of +3.5 goals in Everton - Chelsea game @ 2/1. Two of the higher scoring teams in the league this season and the average goals per game between the 2 teams since 2012 is 3.6.

[Deno1986]

I like the look of +3.5 goals in Everton - Chelsea game @ 2/1. Two of the higher scoring teams in the league this season and the average goals per game between the 2 teams since 2012 is 3.6.

Dang, was really hopeful about this one. Plenty of chances but no goals and barring a wild second half, the bet is dead in the water.

[Zerwas]

I’m kind of torn. It was finally a big fight that lived up to the expectations! But I also feel sorry for Klitschko, he was as well prepared as he could be at the age of 41 and coming off that long layloff….
And it was almost enough!
Too bad that Wilder, Fury and Joshua werent at the scene when Wlad was in his prime…
Joshua has vicious power, but he also has some serious weaknesses!
You cannot trust Campbell, he only won by ko, because Perez was ill prepared and injured!
Linares will deal with him…
And Quigg will struggle against Selby…
BTW, the TKO prop was very good! But sometimes I dont really get it! Is it a KO, when the fight is stopped, when the fighter is on the ground and the ref doesnt count!?

[JimGunn]

I’m kind of torn. It was finally a big fight that lived up to the expectations! But I also feel sorry for Klitschko, he was as well prepared as he could be at the age of 41 and coming off that long layloff….
And it was almost enough!
Too bad that Wilder, Fury and Joshua werent at the scene when Wlad was in his prime…
Joshua has vicious power, but he also has some serious weaknesses! ...
BTW, the TKO prop was very good! But sometimes I dont really get it! Is it a KO, when the fight is stopped, when the fighter is on the ground and the ref doesnt count!?

It will be interesting to see if Wlad wants a re-match as per the contract or retires and who Joshua ends up fighting next if not him. As far as the TKO prop, yeah, I really liked the price and I understood that I was taking a chance on how it was going to get announced and recorded on BoxRec too. Of course there is usually no distinction between KO or TKO with most fights, as the rules of the prop if listed or the master rules of sportsbook mean one is normally the same as the other. On a huge fight like this though, they broke them out separately as well as the usual either/or. I suspected that it was going to get called a TKO if it got stopped on the feet by the referee and that it would get called a KO only if Klitschko got knocked out cold or hit the ground and couldn't beat the count to get up. However if he beat the count and got up and was wobbly probably a TKO in my mind. Luckily even though Michael Buffer didn't announce it as either, which really worried me at the moment, BoxRec recorded it as a TKO and I got paid from two different sportsbooks on them.

[His Royness]

Has anybody seen Viorel Simion? I find the 2/1 on a Quigg KO surprisingly high considering Quigg often KOed guys quicker then other good boxers. Or did the Romanian look unstoppable against Selby?

I'm tempted as well, maybe late...

The nearer the Klitschko fight comes, the more unsure I become..
Initially I favoured Joshua, and I have build up some accumulators with him as the last leg.
But there are a lot of intangibles...

Usually in fights like this, I go for longshots...maybe late rounds or draw...

I'm also wondering whether Campbell might score a ko... Sometimes he Looks great and then not so...

GL!

Didn't do it in the end since I was on the fence for too long and the odds went down quickly. Made some nice money on Quigg points, though since I thought in round 5 of the fight 9/4 was a bit too high for this one.

[Zerwas]

@HR
Good for you! The fight pretty much went as expected, but Simion was just very tough...

@JG
I suppose you are right! I was also waiting for Buffer to anounce a TKO, but I think by then boxrec has already graded the fight as a tko! ;)

[dams]

Klitschko was very very good. But not the best. I was sure about points Joshua.
Hedged risks with ko at 9,11 rounds, so no profit at all at this bet.
Quigg didn't koed, but Campbell did(2/1). Also no Profit there. Happy to have so amazing emotions after that boxing scenes, good luck to us

[Bennyblanco]

i won 196 on a football treble on saturday from a fiver. Withdrew 150, and spunked the rest on numerous accas and singles on the AJ card

[boxingknockout]

Some early prices: Mariusz Wach 4.5 against Whyte. Worth a squirt I think it is an even fight.

Haskins 2.87 over Burnett I know it's in Ireland but is Haskins really an underdog?

[PredatorHayds]

Some early prices: Mariusz Wach 4.5 against Whyte. Worth a squirt I think it is an even fight.

Haskins 2.87 over Burnett I know it's in Ireland but is Haskins really an underdog?

I'd favour Haskins

[TheGingerBomber]

Wach will probably suffer from the matchroom home cooking!

[boxingknockout]

Wach will probably suffer from the matchroom home cooking!

And that makes a difference, in that it puts him 2-3 rounds behind before it even starts....(as happened to Wlad) but even with that advantage, I think Wach is better than 4.5 against Whyte....whose reputation is largely based on landing one punch on Joshua in the pros and beating a very inexperienced Josh in amateurs.

Wach is no world beater but has only lost to elite - PED Povetkin tko12 and Wlad Points. He is almost 6ft 8 and whilst has no big wins, beat a variety of gatekeepers as well as Teper on home soil.

I think it's a decent bet, his height will present problems and he has gone the 12 round distance comfortably. Wach on points even, though the line is not out yet.

[JimGunn]

Toe-to-Toe Tuesdays has been good to me. This bout pits a prospect that needs redemption after struggling vs a champion that was barely championship level and they both badly need a win. I'll take the dog like usual, and I got a lucky opening price that since plummeted to near evens.

Ivan Redkach (+294) vs Argenis Mendez ~$58.00 for ~$170.52

[armageto]

I made a stab at the under in the Gamboa fight Friday night. He hasn't looked sharp for a bit, but style wise and Castellanos chin, I think he has just a good of a shot as any getting him out in the under of 9.5 rounds.


Might take a shot on the Math/Taylor under of 8.5. Tough to say how Lucas comes back, but Taylor has been dropped in the past to way lighter punchers.

[BillyTKid]

Alvarez points at 6/4

[littlepug]

gone for parker rounds 4-6 and canelo v chavez over 9.5 rounds pays a tad under 5s

[JimGunn]

Back on the dogs again this weekend. I was pleased to see Chavez make weight without difficulty. I'm still waiting to see some props like unanimous, split & majority decisions and the point spread for the Canelo/Chavez fight.

Yuriorkis Gamboa/Robinson Castellanos does not start round 8 (+125) ~$60.00 for ~$75.00
Jesus M Rojas (+165) vs Abraham Lopez $75.00 for $123.75
Jesus M Rojas wins by 10 round decision (+400) $25.00 for $100.00
Morgan Fitch (+308) vs Yamaguchi Falcao ~$150.00 for ~$462.00

Jake Giuriceo (+1700) vs Jose Carlos Ramirez ~$15.00 for ~$255.00
Jake Giuriceo (+3500) vs Jose Carlos Ramirez $10.00 for $350.00

Joseph Parker/Razvan Cojanu does not start round 5 (-152) ~$90.00 for ~$59.21

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (+620) vs Saul Alvarez ~$180.00 for ~$1116.00
Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. will win in round 12 (+10000) ~$15.00 for ~$1500.00
Julio Cesar Chavez Jr./Saul Alvarez fight ends in round 7-12 (+296) $40.00 for $118.40

Manuel Avila (+450) vs Joseph Diaz $25.00 for $112.50
Emmanuel Taylor (+300) vs Lucas Matthysse $35.00 for $105.00
Marcos Reyes (+1900) vs David Lemieux ~$30.00 for ~$570.00

[boxlocks]

I was pleased to see Chavez make weight without difficulty

I think Chavez would disagree that it was "without difficulty". He looked horrible at the weigh in. And since missing weight would've cost him a million dollars, he might have completely drained himself to make it

[JimGunn]

I was pleased to see Chavez make weight without difficulty

I think Chavez would disagree that it was "without difficulty". He looked horrible at the weigh in. And since missing weight would've cost him a million dollars, he might have completely drained himself to make it

Well, I'm sure that it wasn't easy, but Chavez didn't quite look like the exhausted zombie some have expected. He was thin, but I wouldn't call his condition horrible compared to some I have seen. I've seen some boxers and MMA fighters shuffle onto the stage all cramped up from dehydration, sick and and obviously in pain and the fight itself in jeopardy from such a big weight cut. Hopefully he recovers well and is able to perform tomorrow as he anticipated.

[Wales]

Not seen weigh in, saw he was 169 a week ago so can't imagine it was too bad coming down the extra 5.

Chavez is never 8/1 in this one although sensible money is on Canelo pts