Betting thread

JimGunn
Welterweight
Posts: 437
Joined: 09 Apr 2016, 10:07

Re: Betting thread

Post by JimGunn »

higgs88 wrote:Getting paid the day before the Mayweather fight, put it all on Mayweather, free money

Mcgregor has literally 0% chance!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
You and Max Kellerman are going to be eating those words if Conor pulls it off!
smiling assassin
Light Heavyweight
Posts: 3202
Joined: 05 Jan 2012, 13:12

Re: Betting thread

Post by smiling assassin »

boxingknockout wrote:
higgs88 wrote:Getting paid the day before the Mayweather fight, put it all on Mayweather, free money

Mcgregor has literally 0% chance!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I have put £500 on may.... but I'm scared there's some sort of agreement or WWE script.
Same mate. Bookies aint daft and 2/7 seems like printing money which it would be if it was a fair playing field
The Insider
Light Heavyweight
Posts: 2581
Joined: 26 Mar 2012, 11:21

Re: Betting thread

Post by The Insider »

smiling assassin wrote:
boxingknockout wrote:
higgs88 wrote:Getting paid the day before the Mayweather fight, put it all on Mayweather, free money

Mcgregor has literally 0% chance!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I have put £500 on may.... but I'm scared there's some sort of agreement or WWE script.
Same mate. Bookies aint daft and 2/7 seems like printing money which it would be if it was a fair playing field
3/10 available with Bet365. I still expect 1/3 before the fight. Try and lump on with a bookie that voids No Contest and Technical Draw such as PP or SkyBet
freddydoesdallas
Cruiserweight
Posts: 9436
Joined: 02 Sep 2010, 13:48

Re: Betting thread

Post by freddydoesdallas »

smiling assassin wrote:
boxingknockout wrote:
higgs88 wrote:Getting paid the day before the Mayweather fight, put it all on Mayweather, free money

Mcgregor has literally 0% chance!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I have put £500 on may.... but I'm scared there's some sort of agreement or WWE script.
Same mate. Bookies aint daft and 2/7 seems like printing money which it would be if it was a fair playing field
54% of the money has gone on mcgregor for the fight.

Tumbling prices can happen when a popular fighter is involved for no there reason than the bookies run scared
Bard of Boxrec
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 13112
Joined: 22 Feb 2002, 20:00

Re: Betting thread

Post by Bard of Boxrec »

Thinking of emptying the clips on floyd inside 4 at 6/1.

Seriously, it's going to take like 30 seconds for him to work this guy out. Floyd not being a puncher isn't a factor.
afcmarshall
Welterweight
Posts: 390
Joined: 16 Jul 2015, 14:03

Re: Betting thread

Post by afcmarshall »

The Insider wrote:
smiling assassin wrote:
boxingknockout wrote:
I have put £500 on may.... but I'm scared there's some sort of agreement or WWE script.
Same mate. Bookies aint daft and 2/7 seems like printing money which it would be if it was a fair playing field
3/10 available with Bet365. I still expect 1/3 before the fight. Try and lump on with a bookie that voids No Contest and Technical Draw such as PP or SkyBet
Don't all bookies void no contests? And Bet365 refund on any draw
The Insider
Light Heavyweight
Posts: 2581
Joined: 26 Mar 2012, 11:21

Re: Betting thread

Post by The Insider »

afcmarshall wrote: Don't all bookies void no contests? And Bet365 refund on any draw
No not if a market is offered on No Contest. Bet365 DO NOT refund any draw.
TheLeprechaun
Middleweight
Posts: 5148
Joined: 27 Jun 2013, 20:42

Re: Betting thread

Post by TheLeprechaun »

Paddypower are paying out on Mayweather winning already
Asterix
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by Asterix »

Riddick Blowe wrote:Thinking of emptying the clips on floyd inside 4 at 6/1.

Seriously, it's going to take like 30 seconds for him to work this guy out. Floyd not being a puncher isn't a factor.
McGregor has an excellent chin. I think he can take a lot of punishment.
bruthead
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 280
Joined: 03 Jan 2010, 07:30

Re: Betting thread

Post by bruthead »

The Insider wrote:
afcmarshall wrote: Don't all bookies void no contests? And Bet365 refund on any draw
No not if a market is offered on No Contest. Bet365 DO NOT refund any draw.
Bet365's main market is two-way Mayweather or McGregor, they refund the draw on that.

If you bet Mayweather by KO in their five-way market with the draw, they won't refund the draw on that.
afcmarshall
Welterweight
Posts: 390
Joined: 16 Jul 2015, 14:03

Re: Betting thread

Post by afcmarshall »

The Insider wrote:
afcmarshall wrote: Don't all bookies void no contests? And Bet365 refund on any draw
No not if a market is offered on No Contest. Bet365 DO NOT refund any draw.
they do on straight wins. Got lucky on it in the Crolla Perez first fight thought I'd done my money logged on next day and my stake had been refunded.
dirk2686
Super Lightweight
Posts: 1982
Joined: 26 Sep 2016, 09:35

Re: Betting thread

Post by dirk2686 »

Asterix wrote:
Riddick Blowe wrote:Thinking of emptying the clips on floyd inside 4 at 6/1.

Seriously, it's going to take like 30 seconds for him to work this guy out. Floyd not being a puncher isn't a factor.
McGregor has an excellent chin. I think he can take a lot of punishment.
I don't think it's that, more that I can see McGregor being absolutely exhausted after four rounds or so. I know they're different sports but his average time spent actually fighting over his last half dozen or so fights is probably inside two or three rounds of boxing. MMA is far more a sprint type event than boxing and he's going to use up a lot of energy swinging and missing, not least the nervous energy he must be building up; it's one thing to say he has nothing to lose but getting repeatedly hit in the face and made to look stupid will have crossed his mind.

I can see Mayweather landing absolutely whenever he wants to after three rounds or so and McGregor having absolutely no success at all, before his corner pull him out or the doctor advises he's just taking too much punishment.
The Insider
Light Heavyweight
Posts: 2581
Joined: 26 Mar 2012, 11:21

Re: Betting thread

Post by The Insider »

afcmarshall wrote:
The Insider wrote:
afcmarshall wrote: Don't all bookies void no contests? And Bet365 refund on any draw
No not if a market is offered on No Contest. Bet365 DO NOT refund any draw.
they do on straight wins. Got lucky on it in the Crolla Perez first fight thought I'd done my money logged on next day and my stake had been refunded.
I asked an advisor via live chat and he said they pay out standard draw and Majority Draw but not technical draw.
paddy chavez
Lightweight
Posts: 2678
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Re: Betting thread

Post by paddy chavez »

boxingknockout wrote:
higgs88 wrote:Getting paid the day before the Mayweather fight, put it all on Mayweather, free money

Mcgregor has literally 0% chance!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I have put £500 on may.... but I'm scared there's some sort of agreement or WWE script.
I feel the same I don't bet normally but it seems like free money I thought of putting a grand on Floyd but I think I'd bottle it for some reason 500 doesn't seem to bad so I'll go with that
boxingknockout
Super Lightweight
Posts: 2856
Joined: 09 Sep 2016, 10:45

Re: Betting thread

Post by boxingknockout »

paddy chavez wrote:
boxingknockout wrote:
higgs88 wrote:Getting paid the day before the Mayweather fight, put it all on Mayweather, free money

Mcgregor has literally 0% chance!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I have put £500 on may.... but I'm scared there's some sort of agreement or WWE script.
I feel the same I don't bet normally but it seems like free money I thought of putting a grand on Floyd but I think I'd bottle it for some reason 500 doesn't seem to bad so I'll go with that
Yeah - I'm not so worried about Floyd losing, but rather carrying Conor for 12 rounds or some controversial ending that voids my bet!
armageto
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 5259
Joined: 04 Nov 2004, 20:15

Re: Betting thread

Post by armageto »

I took:

Davis/Fonseca under 5.5 (-200) to win a unit
Mayweather by KO/TKO/DQ (-143) to win a unit
Dulorme (+160) something for fun
keithmoonhangover
Cruiserweight
Posts: 16776
Joined: 16 Sep 2010, 10:42

Re: Betting thread

Post by keithmoonhangover »

Mayweather to win 2/7. I've bet £700 to win £200. I only wish I hadn't just paid for a holiday and loads of other stuff. The only way Mayweather loses is if he David Haye's his hamstring.
Mimmy
Heavyweight
Heavyweight

Re: Betting thread

Post by Mimmy »

paddy chavez wrote:
boxingknockout wrote:
higgs88 wrote:Getting paid the day before the Mayweather fight, put it all on Mayweather, free money

Mcgregor has literally 0% chance!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I have put £500 on may.... but I'm scared there's some sort of agreement or WWE script.
I feel the same I don't bet normally but it seems like free money I thought of putting a grand on Floyd but I think I'd bottle it for some reason 500 doesn't seem to bad so I'll go with that
Theres some big money going on Floyd on this site I hope you guys get the result but I wouldnt risk this sort of money for not much return. I know free money sounds great but I dont think the script is going to be word perfect.
keithmoonhangover
Cruiserweight
Posts: 16776
Joined: 16 Sep 2010, 10:42

Re: Betting thread

Post by keithmoonhangover »

mimmy123 wrote:
paddy chavez wrote:
boxingknockout wrote:
I have put £500 on may.... but I'm scared there's some sort of agreement or WWE script.
I feel the same I don't bet normally but it seems like free money I thought of putting a grand on Floyd but I think I'd bottle it for some reason 500 doesn't seem to bad so I'll go with that
Theres some big money going on Floyd on this site I hope you guys get the result but I wouldnt risk this sort of money for not much return. I know free money sounds great but I dont think the script is going to be word perfect.
Hi mate. This fight is like the Dallas Cowboys playing rugby against the All Blacks. If they fought 100 times Floyd would win 'em all.
Mimmy
Heavyweight
Heavyweight

Re: Betting thread

Post by Mimmy »

keithmoonhangover wrote:
mimmy123 wrote:
paddy chavez wrote:
I feel the same I don't bet normally but it seems like free money I thought of putting a grand on Floyd but I think I'd bottle it for some reason 500 doesn't seem to bad so I'll go with that
Theres some big money going on Floyd on this site I hope you guys get the result but I wouldnt risk this sort of money for not much return. I know free money sounds great but I dont think the script is going to be word perfect.
Hi mate. This fight is like the Dallas Cowboys playing rugby against the All Blacks. If they fought 100 times Floyd would win 'em all.
I know, it should be a very easy nights work for Floyd, whats his purse I heard $300m??? If thats the case a rematch for another $300M would suit him fine. I just think this tin pot circus fight is going to throw something in the script.
keithmoonhangover
Cruiserweight
Posts: 16776
Joined: 16 Sep 2010, 10:42

Re: Betting thread

Post by keithmoonhangover »

mimmy123 wrote:
keithmoonhangover wrote:
mimmy123 wrote:
Theres some big money going on Floyd on this site I hope you guys get the result but I wouldnt risk this sort of money for not much return. I know free money sounds great but I dont think the script is going to be word perfect.
Hi mate. This fight is like the Dallas Cowboys playing rugby against the All Blacks. If they fought 100 times Floyd would win 'em all.
I know, it should be a very easy nights work for Floyd, whats his purse I heard $300m??? If thats the case a rematch for another $300M would suit him fine. I just think this tin pot circus fight is going to throw something in the script.
I thought about the rematch/trilogy angle, but I just cannot see Floyd 'allowing' his perfect record to be flushed down the loo against a guy who's never boxed before.
JWP
Super Middleweight
Posts: 141
Joined: 03 Feb 2012, 12:11

Re: Betting thread

Post by JWP »

The recreational money on Mcgregor give bookmakers a quandary, albeit a nice one. They are only laying Mcgregor, sometimes pro money comes in the other side but this is too WWF for pros to take it seriously, so its a one sided book, Paddy Power alone will have 8 figure liabilities on Mcgregor.

Is it good business? Yes.

Are they comfortable with 8 figure liabilities? No.

Should Mcgregor somehow win its a difficult one to explain to the upstair, potential sacking job.
keithmoonhangover
Cruiserweight
Posts: 16776
Joined: 16 Sep 2010, 10:42

Re: Betting thread

Post by keithmoonhangover »

JWP wrote:The recreational money on Mcgregor give bookmakers a quandary, albeit a nice one. They are only laying Mcgregor, sometimes pro money comes in the other side but this is too WWF for pros to take it seriously, so its a one sided book, Paddy Power alone will have 8 figure liabilities on Mcgregor.

Is it good business? Yes.

Are they comfortable with 8 figure liabilities? No.

Should Mcgregor somehow win its a difficult one to explain to the upstair, potential sacking job.
In Vegas, the Caesers' sports book will take its biggest ever loss if McGregor wins. It ain't happening.
boxingknockout
Super Lightweight
Posts: 2856
Joined: 09 Sep 2016, 10:45

Re: Betting thread

Post by boxingknockout »

keithmoonhangover wrote:
JWP wrote:The recreational money on Mcgregor give bookmakers a quandary, albeit a nice one. They are only laying Mcgregor, sometimes pro money comes in the other side but this is too WWF for pros to take it seriously, so its a one sided book, Paddy Power alone will have 8 figure liabilities on Mcgregor.

Is it good business? Yes.

Are they comfortable with 8 figure liabilities? No.

Should Mcgregor somehow win its a difficult one to explain to the upstair, potential sacking job.
In Vegas, the Caesers' sports book will take its biggest ever loss if McGregor wins. It ain't happening.
Right
nmhz
Super Lightweight
Posts: 257
Joined: 14 Jun 2016, 01:24

Re: Betting thread

Post by nmhz »

Is anyone placing bets on the undercard to May/McG ?

Nathan Cleverly vs Badou Jack
Gervonta Davis vs Francisco Fonseca
Yordenis Ugas vs Thomas Dulorme
Andrew Tabiti vs Steve Cunningham
Juan Heraldez vs Jose Miguel Borrego
Kevin Newman II vs Mark Anthony Hernandez


Any predictions/tips?
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