Betting thread
Re: Betting thread
Any thoughts on Docherty v Cullen?
Cullen is limited and lacks a big punch, but showed tremendous heart and workrate against Cash in the face of superior firepower and handspeed.
Docherty has a good KO record but has faced noone (2 fighters with winning records) and looks like the slow, strong, heavy-handed type - doesn't seem to have Cash's explosiveness.
Cullen for the upset or maybe a decision loss?
Cullen is limited and lacks a big punch, but showed tremendous heart and workrate against Cash in the face of superior firepower and handspeed.
Docherty has a good KO record but has faced noone (2 fighters with winning records) and looks like the slow, strong, heavy-handed type - doesn't seem to have Cash's explosiveness.
Cullen for the upset or maybe a decision loss?
Re: Betting thread
dookus wrote: ↑10 Nov 2020, 12:46 Any thoughts on Docherty v Cullen?
Cullen is limited and lacks a big punch, but showed tremendous heart and workrate against Cash in the face of superior firepower and handspeed.
Docherty has a good KO record but has faced noone (2 fighters with winning records) and looks like the slow, strong, heavy-handed type - doesn't seem to have Cash's explosiveness.
Cullen for the upset or maybe a decision loss?
Cullen did very well vs Cash, and imo edged it vs Zak Chelli. Never seen Docherty, on paper though I'll take Cullen.
Re: Betting thread
Ricky wrote: ↑10 Nov 2020, 20:40dookus wrote: ↑10 Nov 2020, 12:46 Any thoughts on Docherty v Cullen?
Cullen is limited and lacks a big punch, but showed tremendous heart and workrate against Cash in the face of superior firepower and handspeed.
Docherty has a good KO record but has faced noone (2 fighters with winning records) and looks like the slow, strong, heavy-handed type - doesn't seem to have Cash's explosiveness.
Cullen for the upset or maybe a decision loss?
Cullen did very well vs Cash, and imo edged it vs Zak Chelli. Never seen Docherty, on paper though I'll take Cullen.
Cullen is paying $4.50 for the win at Bet365
Re: Betting thread
Docherty is the obvious favourite and should probably win by KO.dookus wrote: ↑10 Nov 2020, 12:46 Any thoughts on Docherty v Cullen?
Cullen is limited and lacks a big punch, but showed tremendous heart and workrate against Cash in the face of superior firepower and handspeed.
Docherty has a good KO record but has faced noone (2 fighters with winning records) and looks like the slow, strong, heavy-handed type - doesn't seem to have Cash's explosiveness.
Cullen for the upset or maybe a decision loss?
I've bet Cullen and Cullen points at 11/2 and 14s - way too big. Especially as Docherty gave me an overconfident "I'll just walk thru' him" vibe, while Cullen was all humble, serious and respectful.
I can't see how Docherty has that much potential that he should be nearly 90/10 favourite when Chelli was (roughly) 50/50 ?!
-
maverick23
- Cruiserweight
- Posts: 10375
- Joined: 26 Feb 2011, 18:20
Re: Betting thread
I think Docherty wins by stoppage inside of 5 rounds. Cullen has been stopped a couple of times and is easy to hit. I think Docherty will take him out after a competitive few rounds.
Re: Betting thread
Brook is paying out at 14-1 for a KO, stranger things have happened!
-
ShadrachSimmo
- Cruiserweight
- Posts: 4730
- Joined: 20 Oct 2010, 05:42
Re: Betting thread
It’s good value backing Cullen. We’ve no idea how good Docherty is. He might come out and blast Cullen away sharpish or get dragged into the later rounds where it’ll suit Cullen. It’s an interesting fight the only one worth watching.skanksta wrote: ↑14 Nov 2020, 12:35Docherty is the obvious favourite and should probably win by KO.dookus wrote: ↑10 Nov 2020, 12:46 Any thoughts on Docherty v Cullen?
Cullen is limited and lacks a big punch, but showed tremendous heart and workrate against Cash in the face of superior firepower and handspeed.
Docherty has a good KO record but has faced noone (2 fighters with winning records) and looks like the slow, strong, heavy-handed type - doesn't seem to have Cash's explosiveness.
Cullen for the upset or maybe a decision loss?
I've bet Cullen and Cullen points at 11/2 and 14s - way too big. Especially as Docherty gave me an overconfident "I'll just walk thru' him" vibe, while Cullen was all humble, serious and respectful.
I can't see how Docherty has that much potential that he should be nearly 90/10 favourite when Chelli was (roughly) 50/50 ?!![]()
-
TheLeprechaun
- Middleweight
- Posts: 5137
- Joined: 27 Jun 2013, 20:42
Re: Betting thread
I agree that Docherty is an accident waiting to happen but Cullen isn't the guy
-
maverick23
- Cruiserweight
- Posts: 10375
- Joined: 26 Feb 2011, 18:20
Re: Betting thread
Good call lads. I thought it would be a relatively comfortable with for Docherty.ShadrachSimmo wrote: ↑14 Nov 2020, 14:28It’s good value backing Cullen. We’ve no idea how good Docherty is. He might come out and blast Cullen away sharpish or get dragged into the later rounds where it’ll suit Cullen. It’s an interesting fight the only one worth watching.skanksta wrote: ↑14 Nov 2020, 12:35Docherty is the obvious favourite and should probably win by KO.dookus wrote: ↑10 Nov 2020, 12:46 Any thoughts on Docherty v Cullen?
Cullen is limited and lacks a big punch, but showed tremendous heart and workrate against Cash in the face of superior firepower and handspeed.
Docherty has a good KO record but has faced noone (2 fighters with winning records) and looks like the slow, strong, heavy-handed type - doesn't seem to have Cash's explosiveness.
Cullen for the upset or maybe a decision loss?
I've bet Cullen and Cullen points at 11/2 and 14s - way too big. Especially as Docherty gave me an overconfident "I'll just walk thru' him" vibe, while Cullen was all humble, serious and respectful.
I can't see how Docherty has that much potential that he should be nearly 90/10 favourite when Chelli was (roughly) 50/50 ?!![]()
Re: Betting thread
Yeah excellent shout
-
Matt Teague
- Heavyweight

- Posts: 318
- Joined: 16 Aug 2004, 16:19
Re: Betting thread
Seeing Tom Little at 9/1 on sky bet.. Surely it's worth a few quid.
What's people's thoughts on that?
What's people's thoughts on that?
-
gregregegg
- Lightweight
- Posts: 9142
- Joined: 29 Sep 2017, 04:08
Re: Betting thread
Yea i have a small bet on little at about that, seems value if he turns up.. Was going to go a bit harder but i saw him looking fat about 10 or 12 weeks ago.. he is down to 240lb suposidly which isnt bad. concerns me that he was 280 abotu 8 weeks ago, means his camp has been more fat loss than sharpening to me. Might throw a bit more on it fight night if he looks up.Matt Teague wrote: ↑17 Nov 2020, 12:11 Seeing Tom Little at 9/1 on sky bet.. Surely it's worth a few quid.
What's people's thoughts on that?
Re: Betting thread
Also value in Formella v Benn
Should Benn really be a fav in this match up ?
Should Benn really be a fav in this match up ?
-
TheLeprechaun
- Middleweight
- Posts: 5137
- Joined: 27 Jun 2013, 20:42
-
Matt Teague
- Heavyweight

- Posts: 318
- Joined: 16 Aug 2004, 16:19
Re: Betting thread
I feel (in his eyes his is a chance for him to get a win with decent exposure.gregregegg wrote: ↑17 Nov 2020, 19:55Yea i have a small bet on little at about that, seems value if he turns up.. Was going to go a bit harder but i saw him looking fat about 10 or 12 weeks ago.. he is down to 240lb suposidly which isnt bad. concerns me that he was 280 abotu 8 weeks ago, means his camp has been more fat loss than sharpening to me. Might throw a bit more on it fight night if he looks up.Matt Teague wrote: ↑17 Nov 2020, 12:11 Seeing Tom Little at 9/1 on sky bet.. Surely it's worth a few quid.
What's people's thoughts on that?
Babic is no way near the level little has boxed.
Little & formella double worth a few quid
-
Boxing Prospect
- Super Middleweight
- Posts: 6592
- Joined: 25 Jun 2012, 14:35
Re: Betting thread
Panya Pradabsri is 6/1 vs Wanheng Menayothin... Big time value there
-
Boxing Prospect
- Super Middleweight
- Posts: 6592
- Joined: 25 Jun 2012, 14:35
Re: Betting thread
Same guy.Shhhh wrote: ↑24 Nov 2020, 16:53Hes fighting moonsri I thought.?Boxing Prospect wrote: ↑24 Nov 2020, 16:13 Panya Pradabsri is 6/1 vs Wanheng Menayothin... Big time value there
Wanheng Menayothin = Chayaphon Moonsri
-
Boxing Prospect
- Super Middleweight
- Posts: 6592
- Joined: 25 Jun 2012, 14:35
Re: Betting thread
Both....think of it as... "Tommy Burns = Noah Brusso"
So essentially Thai's are (like the rest of us) born, and have a birth name, the ones that become fighters take a fighting name (Wanheng) and a sponsor or gym name(s), i.e. CP Freshmart, Kokietgym etc.
If you want to respect Thai tradition you use his fighting name, if you want to ignore that use his birth name.
Re: Betting thread
I was interested in your tip and looked these guys up. Both have some terrible opponents.Boxing Prospect wrote: ↑24 Nov 2020, 16:13 Panya Pradabsri is 6/1 vs Wanheng Menayothin... Big time value there
On Pradabsri's 33rd and 34th pro fight, he is up against boxers on their debut. Ridiculous.
Where is the value?
-
Boxing Prospect
- Super Middleweight
- Posts: 6592
- Joined: 25 Jun 2012, 14:35
Re: Betting thread
When it comes to Thai's there's a lot of things to note. For example those debutants probably WEREN'T debutants, but even if they were they were stay busy fights, nothing more nothing less. Look at Srisaket's opposition before he faced Roman Gonzalez (3 supposed debutants in a row). The Thai's use those fights to stay busy, stay in shape, and make the most of the opportunities to work with sponsors (I.e. CP Freshmart).nmhz wrote: ↑24 Nov 2020, 20:55I was interested in your tip and looked these guys up. Both have some terrible opponents.Boxing Prospect wrote: ↑24 Nov 2020, 16:13 Panya Pradabsri is 6/1 vs Wanheng Menayothin... Big time value there
On Pradabsri's 33rd and 34th pro fight, he is up against boxers on their debut. Ridiculous.
Where is the value?
Panya's sole loss was a debatable one in China to one of China's most notable fighters (the promoters were lining up Xiong Vs Knockout CP Freshmart, and that would have gone up in flames had Xiong not got the W).
When we talk about "terrible" opponents you also need to consider you are looking at their records (at least most of the time) and not the fighters. I know neither guy fought him but Lito Dante is the BEST example of this at the moment. He has a crap tonne of losses, but he's a handful, especially over 10 and 12 rounds.
Likewise Wanehng's win over Jaysever Abcede looks like a win over a garbage opponent but since then Abcede has become a world ranked fighter, beat former world title challenger Stamp Kiatniwat (quicker than Ioka did), and beat current Japanese national champion Seigo Yuri Akui (he was also pretty unlucky against second generation fighter Kento Hatanaka).
As for the value side of things. Wanheng is already the oldest WBC Minimumweight champion (35) an ancient age for a fighter at the weight, has complained publicly about injuries (nose and right eye including double vision), announced his retirement a few weeks ago (before essentially being pushed to un-retire), seemingly wanted out of the sport, the same team promote both fighters (so a passing of the torch on the cards is very possible as it prolongs their control of the title - and all the officials are Thai), hasn't fought in 13 months. All suggesting this is much, much close than the 6/1 odds available yesterday (and are now down to 9/2)
Yes Wanheng should be the favourite, but a lot of alarm bells there IMO.
Re: Betting thread
Taken the 11/10 and Evs for the Dubois fight to be over in rounds 1-6, gone in quite heavy (for me) on this one, several three figure bets as I just see them going to war from the start and struggle to see someone not being hurt early on. Have to confess did most of these bets early on and seeing some of the comments with a lot feeling this could go a fair way a little worried now in case I am just misreading the fight.
Still I do fancy it so guess it needed to be backed.
Not much else I fancy this weekend so will have a bit of a play in running if anything jumps out.
Still I do fancy it so guess it needed to be backed.
Not much else I fancy this weekend so will have a bit of a play in running if anything jumps out.
-
Boxing Prospect
- Super Middleweight
- Posts: 6592
- Joined: 25 Jun 2012, 14:35
Re: Betting thread
Hope people filled their boots here!Boxing Prospect wrote: ↑24 Nov 2020, 16:13 Panya Pradabsri is 6/1 vs Wanheng Menayothin... Big time value there
Re: Betting thread
I did mate and thats a great shout. Thanks buddyBoxing Prospect wrote: ↑27 Nov 2020, 04:28Hope people filled their boots here!Boxing Prospect wrote: ↑24 Nov 2020, 16:13 Panya Pradabsri is 6/1 vs Wanheng Menayothin... Big time value there
Re: Betting thread
I got on it. Thanks Boxing ProspectGlobalBox wrote: ↑27 Nov 2020, 04:41I did mate and thats a great shout. Thanks buddyBoxing Prospect wrote: ↑27 Nov 2020, 04:28Hope people filled their boots here!Boxing Prospect wrote: ↑24 Nov 2020, 16:13 Panya Pradabsri is 6/1 vs Wanheng Menayothin... Big time value there![]()