help me settle this argument

[margaret thatcher]

2 guys predict a pair of fight results

guy 1: correctly predicts the winner of a decent sized upset, but incorrectly picks the winner of a 85-15 mismatch

guy 2: incorrectly picked the favoured fighter who got upset, but correctly picked the big favourite to win the mismatch



so they are both 1-1, but is guy 1's predictions more impressive because he got the upset? im having an argument with someone about this, personally i say no

[ironbeard]

No. Appears to be a guy who picks the uDog as a rule.

[margaret thatcher]

i have another mate like that, basically always picks an upset

so he can talk about all the massive upsets he picked and make it sound like he's some amazing boxing sage

but of course doesnt mention that his overall picking record is abysmal because the fave usually wins

[coneye]

Problem when you pick or try to pick winners ,,, If there evenly matched ,, your awlays one punch away from being made to look a tool