pick some upsets my guys

Delta Jay
Super Middleweight
Posts: 1915
Joined: 26 Jun 2013, 15:19

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by Delta Jay »

It’s a 12 rounder, DDD never been past 10. Does tend to look at bit ragged towards the end as all the proper units do.

Fight not to go distance at 1.67 seems like a good arse-coverer, 3.75 for BB by KO/TKO seems good too.

If you chose the round groups you’ll obviously get more. JBBM to win a stoppage in the second half of the fight is at 9s.

It’s ok to talk about this stuff in the thread isn’t it?
KiwiRider
Super Lightweight
Posts: 26617
Joined: 11 Feb 2017, 22:25

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by KiwiRider »

skanksta wrote: 19 Dec 2023, 07:54 I've been having a think about BB vs DDD...

Big Baby isn't very good, as such, he's flat-footed, easy to hit, but yet, he's very hard to beat. He's huge, just chugs forward, relying on a granite chin (more from his size than anything) and just eventually runs people over.
Now who does that sound like...?
Big Baby is not what he was on the juice. Doobie will be throwing a lot of leather at him, and as long as he doesn't break his hands on Miller's face, I can see him winning.
Delta Jay
Super Middleweight
Posts: 1915
Joined: 26 Jun 2013, 15:19

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by Delta Jay »

KiwiRider wrote: 19 Dec 2023, 13:03
skanksta wrote: 19 Dec 2023, 07:54 I've been having a think about BB vs DDD...

Big Baby isn't very good, as such, he's flat-footed, easy to hit, but yet, he's very hard to beat. He's huge, just chugs forward, relying on a granite chin (more from his size than anything) and just eventually runs people over.
Now who does that sound like...?
Big Baby is not what he was on the juice. Doobie will be throwing a lot of leather at him, and as long as he doesn't break his hands on Miller's face, I can see him winning.
Might be a whole other thread but… is everyone getting fully tested on Riyadh cards?
margaret thatcher
Super Featherweight
Posts: 39327
Joined: 22 Jul 2019, 15:43

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by margaret thatcher »

KiwiRider wrote: 19 Dec 2023, 13:03
skanksta wrote: 19 Dec 2023, 07:54 I've been having a think about BB vs DDD...

Big Baby isn't very good, as such, he's flat-footed, easy to hit, but yet, he's very hard to beat. He's huge, just chugs forward, relying on a granite chin (more from his size than anything) and just eventually runs people over.
Now who does that sound like...?
Big Baby is not what he was on the juice. Doobie will be throwing a lot of leather at him, and as long as he doesn't break his hands on Miller's face, I can see him winning.
why do you keep assuming he's off the juice now? he's gotten back on it after every prior failure. vs browne he looked standard miller
KiwiRider
Super Lightweight
Posts: 26617
Joined: 11 Feb 2017, 22:25

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by KiwiRider »

margaret thatcher wrote: 19 Dec 2023, 13:25
KiwiRider wrote: 19 Dec 2023, 13:03
skanksta wrote: 19 Dec 2023, 07:54 I've been having a think about BB vs DDD...

Big Baby isn't very good, as such, he's flat-footed, easy to hit, but yet, he's very hard to beat. He's huge, just chugs forward, relying on a granite chin (more from his size than anything) and just eventually runs people over.
Now who does that sound like...?
Big Baby is not what he was on the juice. Doobie will be throwing a lot of leather at him, and as long as he doesn't break his hands on Miller's face, I can see him winning.
why do you keep assuming he's off the juice now? he's gotten back on it after every prior failure. vs browne he looked standard miller
Hey, you could well be right Mags.
But we have to rely on the testing, and there is seemingly plenty of testing.
I just get a feeling that this is the fight Miller falls victim to the face-first defence.
Ala Kownacki, and recently Joyce.
He has a heck of a chin though, Lucas Browne was landing thunderous leather flush on him for a few rounds.
Bigdogsnose
Middleweight
Posts: 1471
Joined: 02 Dec 2013, 08:36

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by Bigdogsnose »

Not sure who does it but i think this is the year Gervinta gets sparked. Something suspect about his whole career , constant cherry picking and inactivity. Fcukers suppposed to be the face of boxing, Barrios probs his best win.

He passes the eyeball test, but i think its carefully managed.

IF, he went in with Shakur (decision), Teo (stoppage) or Haney (retirement) he'll get beat.
Ezzard
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 11181
Joined: 12 May 2005, 09:20

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by Ezzard »

Bigdogsnose wrote: 20 Dec 2023, 04:15 Not sure who does it but i think this is the year Gervinta gets sparked. Something suspect about his whole career , constant cherry picking and inactivity. Fcukers suppposed to be the face of boxing, Barrios probs his best win.

He passes the eyeball test, but i think its carefully managed.

IF, he went in with Shakur (decision), Teo (stoppage) or Haney (retirement) he'll get beat.
Have to agree. He wlll avoid them.
margaret thatcher
Super Featherweight
Posts: 39327
Joined: 22 Jul 2019, 15:43

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by margaret thatcher »

makmudov is a 10-1 fave over kabayel. you can get like 9-1 for a kabayel win. mak shouldnt be such a huge fave. best win is struggling with carlos takam. kabayel's career has been frustrating, but he's pretty solid
leejonesjnr
Middleweight
Posts: 2667
Joined: 31 Dec 2013, 18:32

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by leejonesjnr »

Biggest upset I can imagine is DD taking a reasonable shot and not quitting.

(I already hate myself for posting this but I am too childish to resist such an obvious wee joke)
oogiebe
Light Heavyweight
Posts: 32990
Joined: 01 Jul 2012, 19:35

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by oogiebe »

leejonesjnr wrote: 20 Dec 2023, 19:51 Biggest upset I can imagine is DD taking a reasonable shot and not quitting.

(I already hate myself for posting this but I am too childish to resist such an obvious wee joke)
:lol: :clap:
cpx2
Super Featherweight
Posts: 347
Joined: 14 Apr 2019, 07:17

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by cpx2 »

Bigdogsnose wrote: 20 Dec 2023, 04:15 Not sure who does it but i think this is the year Gervinta gets sparked. Something suspect about his whole career , constant cherry picking and inactivity. Fcukers suppposed to be the face of boxing, Barrios probs his best win.

He passes the eyeball test, but i think its carefully managed.

IF, he went in with Shakur (decision), Teo (stoppage) or Haney (retirement) he'll get beat.
His fights this year will probably be Isaac Cruz and Rayo, so it's not looking likely. I think de los Santos or Frank Martin could beat him though.
TheGoods
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 1270
Joined: 28 Sep 2003, 16:10

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by TheGoods »

I’ve had to have a little go on the following Treble:


Hrgovic R1 @ 11/4

Makhmudov R1 @ 12/1

Wilder R1 @ 16/1

A slack £41,437 if it wins.

Now is the time to bet like men.
Bigdogsnose
Middleweight
Posts: 1471
Joined: 02 Dec 2013, 08:36

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by Bigdogsnose »

cpx2 wrote: 22 Dec 2023, 08:28
Bigdogsnose wrote: 20 Dec 2023, 04:15 Not sure who does it but i think this is the year Gervinta gets sparked. Something suspect about his whole career , constant cherry picking and inactivity. Fcukers suppposed to be the face of boxing, Barrios probs his best win.

He passes the eyeball test, but i think its carefully managed.

IF, he went in with Shakur (decision), Teo (stoppage) or Haney (retirement) he'll get beat.
His fights this year will probably be Isaac Cruz and Rayo, so it's not looking likely. I think de los Santos or Frank Martin could beat him though.
I think he might fight that kid who just beat colbert. Sort of opponent his team goes for, coming off a good win that is ultimately flattering.
MightyWarrior
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
Posts: 13311
Joined: 23 Jan 2003, 14:01

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by MightyWarrior »

TheGoods wrote: 22 Dec 2023, 09:07 I’ve had to have a little go on the following Treble:


Hrgovic R1 @ 11/4

Makhmudov R1 @ 12/1

Wilder R1 @ 16/1

A slack £41,437 if it wins.

Now is the time to bet like men.
Nice bets, the Mak opponent looks a bit tough, but getting caught cold by a big heavy always possible, and other 2 are worthy long shots
TheLeprechaun
Super Middleweight
Posts: 5165
Joined: 27 Jun 2013, 20:42

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by TheLeprechaun »

Kabayel, Miller. As bad as Wilder is, Parker just doesn't have the mentality of a winner at this level.
joshj909
Lightweight
Posts: 6006
Joined: 01 Dec 2017, 06:16

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by joshj909 »

TheLeprechaun wrote: 22 Dec 2023, 11:17 Kabayel, Miller. As bad as Wilder is, Parker just doesn't have the mentality of a winner at this level.
I think they all have a chance but none of them have that killer instinct needed at the top level. If Parker beats Wilder it will be by Decision or because Wilder is absolutely done or was never anything to begin with.
margaret thatcher
Super Featherweight
Posts: 39327
Joined: 22 Jul 2019, 15:43

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by margaret thatcher »

margaret thatcher wrote: 20 Dec 2023, 19:42 makmudov is a 10-1 fave over kabayel. you can get like 9-1 for a kabayel win. mak shouldnt be such a huge fave. best win is struggling with carlos takam. kabayel's career has been frustrating, but he's pretty solid
i threw some on this and have a nice win for tonight. makes me feel better after talkng up miller-dubs as a 50-50 :lol: :confused:

agit has a friend for life in me now
Frostieballs
Super Bantamweight
Posts: 2023
Joined: 15 Aug 2020, 17:38

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by Frostieballs »

I thought Parker would stop Wilder.

Luckily I just backed the Parker win.

Wilder is just not elite.

Speaks volumes about Fury.
oogiebe
Light Heavyweight
Posts: 32990
Joined: 01 Jul 2012, 19:35

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by oogiebe »

oogiebe wrote: 17 Dec 2023, 15:26 Kabayel Decisions Big Mak. Not a lover of Agit, but he's the best; most durable; hardest hitter that Mak has faced. :OhYes:
I'm usually wrong, but I almost got this one! :yay:
gregregegg
Lightweight
Posts: 9185
Joined: 29 Sep 2017, 04:08

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by gregregegg »

Frostieballs wrote: 23 Dec 2023, 18:56 I thought Parker would stop Wilder.

Luckily I just backed the Parker win.

Wilder is just not elite.

Speaks volumes about Fury.
I also thought Parker would stop wilder… would have won a 5000 accumulator if he did. Reallly wish the ref jumped in on that flurry hahah.

Got a couple of smaller accumulators… but this is the one that got away… wilder showed surprising heart for someone not punching.
emallini
Middleweight
Posts: 1676
Joined: 08 Nov 2013, 12:31

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by emallini »

leejonesjnr wrote: 20 Dec 2023, 19:51 Biggest upset I can imagine is DD taking a reasonable shot and not quitting.

(I already hate myself for posting this but I am too childish to resist such an obvious wee joke)
Stop being wrong.
jwfg
Super Flyweight
Posts: 2607
Joined: 11 Mar 2023, 19:21

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by jwfg »

Can I pick Wilder to beat Parker? Or is it too late?
oogiebe
Light Heavyweight
Posts: 32990
Joined: 01 Jul 2012, 19:35

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by oogiebe »

jwfg wrote: 03 Jan 2024, 13:48 Can I pick Wilder to beat Parker? Or is it too late?
:lol:
SeanBrennan
Bantamweight
Posts: 9947
Joined: 12 Feb 2022, 12:45

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by SeanBrennan »

Bakole wins a purse bid using his GoFundMe earnings?
joshj909
Lightweight
Posts: 6006
Joined: 01 Dec 2017, 06:16

Re: pick some upsets my guys

Post by joshj909 »

In the upcoming fights below I would imagine one or more upsets. I definitely don't think all of these guys should be favourites but they're all in the fight (or just more than the odds are giving them credit for) in my opinion.

Usyk is a slight underdog against Fury but I predict him to win.

Sirwan is a live underdog against an old and inactive Kovalev but odds will likely be wide.

Parker is a live underdog against Zhang but odds might be too wide in a close fight on paper (2/1)

Briedis is a live underdog against Opetaia but odds are wide for a competitive fight (3/1)

Liam Williams is a 3/1 underdog against Hamzah Sheeraz but it could look like a promising star too soon against a veteran.

Jamine Ortiz is 5/1 underdog against Teofimo Lopez. If Lopez' head is still all over the place and he puts in a performance like the one against Martin then Ortiz could take it.

Ryder is 2/1 against Munguía. I wouldn't count him out.

Azeez is 3/1 underdog against Buatsi but Aziz has looked better than Buatsi if late.
Post Reply