Betting thread

ShadrachSimmo
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Re: Betting thread

Post by ShadrachSimmo »

jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 12:19
ShadrachSimmo wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 12:00
maverick23 wrote: 19 Jan 2024, 13:15

I was thinking Chelli but apparently he hasn’t had a full time trainer for this which is a bit of a red flag. I think he’s naturally bigger than Cullen and has a decent workrate so could win on points but the trainer things works against him.

I also think Mayer but think she may get shafted by the judges.
Cullens had some hard fights since they last fought. Been stopped a few times. Chelli could be that bit fresher.
Plus the motivation of having not won a British title yet against having been there and done it.
I quite like 11/4 Chelli stoppage. It’s worth a nibble.
jameswilson
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jameswilson »

ShadrachSimmo wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 12:57
jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 12:19
ShadrachSimmo wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 12:00

Cullens had some hard fights since they last fought. Been stopped a few times. Chelli could be that bit fresher.
Plus the motivation of having not won a British title yet against having been there and done it.
I quite like 11/4 Chelli stoppage. It’s worth a nibble.
Good luck mate. Think I'm gonna wait in play.
ShadrachSimmo
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Re: Betting thread

Post by ShadrachSimmo »

jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 14:21
ShadrachSimmo wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 12:57
jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 12:19

Plus the motivation of having not won a British title yet against having been there and done it.
I quite like 11/4 Chelli stoppage. It’s worth a nibble.
Good luck mate. Think I'm gonna wait in play.
:TU:
SeanBrennan
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Re: Betting thread

Post by SeanBrennan »

jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 14:21
ShadrachSimmo wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 12:57
jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 12:19

Plus the motivation of having not won a British title yet against having been there and done it.
I quite like 11/4 Chelli stoppage. It’s worth a nibble.
Good luck mate. Think I'm gonna wait in play.
what does that mean? you bet during the fight? sorry for lack of knowledge!
ShadrachSimmo
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Re: Betting thread

Post by ShadrachSimmo »

SeanBrennan wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 14:35
jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 14:21
ShadrachSimmo wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 12:57

I quite like 11/4 Chelli stoppage. It’s worth a nibble.
Good luck mate. Think I'm gonna wait in play.
what does that mean? you bet during the fight? sorry for lack of knowledge!
Yep. In play betting is when the event has started.
jameswilson
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jameswilson »

SeanBrennan wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 14:35
jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 14:21
ShadrachSimmo wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 12:57

I quite like 11/4 Chelli stoppage. It’s worth a nibble.
Good luck mate. Think I'm gonna wait in play.
what does that mean? you bet during the fight? sorry for lack of knowledge!
Yeah betting on the KO or points in play can be a good one to bet on I’ve found.
SeanBrennan
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Re: Betting thread

Post by SeanBrennan »

ShadrachSimmo wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 16:44
SeanBrennan wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 14:35
jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 14:21

Good luck mate. Think I'm gonna wait in play.
what does that mean? you bet during the fight? sorry for lack of knowledge!
Yep. In play betting is when the event has started.
thank you for explaining, much appreciated.
jameswilson
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jameswilson »

I’ve won a lot on the Brentford game (bet on 3 anytime scorers and 2 of them came in and also had money on over 2.5 goals)) so I’m literally going highest variance.

17/1 on the draw for Mayer v Jonas. I’m still miles up for the day even if this loses.
jameswilson
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jameswilson »

jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 18:34 I’ve won a lot on the Brentford game (bet on 3 anytime scorers and 2 of them came in and also had money on over 2.5 goals)) so I’m literally going highest variance.

17/1 on the draw for Mayer v Jonas. I’m still miles up for the day even if this loses.
What a sh1t bet. Miles out.
ShadrachSimmo
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Re: Betting thread

Post by ShadrachSimmo »

jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 19:04
jameswilson wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 18:34 I’ve won a lot on the Brentford game (bet on 3 anytime scorers and 2 of them came in and also had money on over 2.5 goals)) so I’m literally going highest variance.

17/1 on the draw for Mayer v Jonas. I’m still miles up for the day even if this loses.
What a sh1t bet. Miles out.
7/4 Jonas going in to the last. She was never in the fight imo. The bookies must have been wary the stitch up wasn’t gonna happen… :doh:
JamesPhilips
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Re: Betting thread

Post by JamesPhilips »

JamesPhilips wrote: 20 Jan 2024, 10:59
jameswilson wrote: 19 Jan 2024, 20:30
Frostieballs wrote: 19 Jan 2024, 19:22 Mayer at 11/10 looks like fair value tomorrow night.
Bullshi1t decision potentially incoming.

Jonas will have the small crowd going potty everytime she throws even if she misses by 6 inches.

In saying that if Jonas wins a legitimate decision Mayer will give it the 'I was taking them on arms and gloves' line that's so often used.
:OhYes: That’s a good prediction :TU:
There you go
jwfg
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jwfg »

AJ is a ridiculously generous 2/7. I make him at least 1/20
SeanBrennan
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Re: Betting thread

Post by SeanBrennan »

I don't understand betting really, if someone is 2/7 I know it means it's a rubbish odd, but how does it work?
TheLeprechaun
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Re: Betting thread

Post by TheLeprechaun »

SeanBrennan wrote: 05 Mar 2024, 16:30 I don't understand betting really, if someone is 2/7 I know it means it's a rubbish odd, but how does it work?
Put 700 on to win 200.

I think it's a bad bet.
SeanBrennan
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Re: Betting thread

Post by SeanBrennan »

TheLeprechaun wrote: 05 Mar 2024, 18:31
SeanBrennan wrote: 05 Mar 2024, 16:30 I don't understand betting really, if someone is 2/7 I know it means it's a rubbish odd, but how does it work?
Put 700 on to win 200.

I think it's a bad bet.
cheers mate, makes sense.
forcefraser
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Re: Betting thread

Post by forcefraser »

I'm having £25 on Zhang by ko in rounds 1, 2 a d 3. I think it's 49, 39 and 29 in odds

£75 for a handsome return.

Might cover it with Parker on points at 4.25 in odds
TheLeprechaun
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Re: Betting thread

Post by TheLeprechaun »

forcefraser wrote: 05 Mar 2024, 19:45 I'm having £25 on Zhang by ko in rounds 1, 2 a d 3. I think it's 49, 39 and 29 in odds

£75 for a handsome return.

Might cover it with Parker on points at 4.25 in odds
Parker will be on the run bigtime. Zhang has hurt everyone he's fought early. You can't stand in front of him in the first 3-4 rounds.
ShadrachSimmo
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Re: Betting thread

Post by ShadrachSimmo »

Fancy Joshua and Zhang stoppage double. Skybet offering evs on Joshua stoppage with 15quid max stake which is a nice price.
jameswilson
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jameswilson »

Nice heavyweight scrap incoming.
ShadrachSimmo
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Re: Betting thread

Post by ShadrachSimmo »

jameswilson wrote: 08 Mar 2024, 14:20 Nice heavyweight scrap incoming.
Who you on tonight James, you do your in play betting?
jwfg
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jwfg »

TheLeprechaun wrote: 05 Mar 2024, 18:31
SeanBrennan wrote: 05 Mar 2024, 16:30 I don't understand betting really, if someone is 2/7 I know it means it's a rubbish odd, but how does it work?
Put 700 on to win 200.

I think it's a bad bet.
The only bad bet is a losing one.
TheLeprechaun
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Re: Betting thread

Post by TheLeprechaun »

jwfg wrote: 08 Mar 2024, 15:32
TheLeprechaun wrote: 05 Mar 2024, 18:31
SeanBrennan wrote: 05 Mar 2024, 16:30 I don't understand betting really, if someone is 2/7 I know it means it's a rubbish odd, but how does it work?
Put 700 on to win 200.

I think it's a bad bet.
The only bad bet is a losing one.
Disagree. Betting is about value. Zhang and Parker are having a rematch. I'm sure you like most would favour Parker to win a rematch. Would you bet on Parker if I gave you 1/100 odds? No because it would be a really bad and stupid bet to put 100 on to win a quid.
jwfg
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jwfg »

TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 11:29
jwfg wrote: 08 Mar 2024, 15:32
TheLeprechaun wrote: 05 Mar 2024, 18:31

Put 700 on to win 200.

I think it's a bad bet.
The only bad bet is a losing one.
Disagree. Betting is about value. Zhang and Parker are having a rematch. I'm sure you like most would favour Parker to win a rematch. Would you bet on Parker if I gave you 1/100 odds? No because it would be a really bad and stupid bet to put 100 on to win a quid.
No, betting is about winning and losing. There is zero value in a losing bet, ZERO. I bet on AJ when he was 1/4, then again at 2/7 and even more at 1/3. Guess who won all of his bets last night? Me.

You still "think it's a bad bet"?
TheLeprechaun
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Re: Betting thread

Post by TheLeprechaun »

jwfg wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 11:36
TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 11:29
jwfg wrote: 08 Mar 2024, 15:32

The only bad bet is a losing one.
Disagree. Betting is about value. Zhang and Parker are having a rematch. I'm sure you like most would favour Parker to win a rematch. Would you bet on Parker if I gave you 1/100 odds? No because it would be a really bad and stupid bet to put 100 on to win a quid.
No, betting is about winning and losing. There is zero value in a losing bet, ZERO. I bet on AJ when he was 1/4, then again at 2/7 and even more at 1/3. Guess who won all of his bets last night? Me.

You still "think it's a bad bet"?
That was a good bet. It turns out that Joshua was probably more accurately priced at about 1/20. Definitely would be near that if they had a rematch.

You don't understand gambling and will end up losing your dosh mate.
jwfg
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jwfg »

TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 14:58
jwfg wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 11:36
TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 11:29

Disagree. Betting is about value. Zhang and Parker are having a rematch. I'm sure you like most would favour Parker to win a rematch. Would you bet on Parker if I gave you 1/100 odds? No because it would be a really bad and stupid bet to put 100 on to win a quid.
No, betting is about winning and losing. There is zero value in a losing bet, ZERO. I bet on AJ when he was 1/4, then again at 2/7 and even more at 1/3. Guess who won all of his bets last night? Me.

You still "think it's a bad bet"?
That was a good bet. It turns out that Joshua was probably more accurately priced at about 1/20. Definitely would be near that if they had a rematch.

You don't understand gambling and will end up losing your dosh mate.
So it was a bad bet last night at 2/7, but today it's a good one? Maybe it's you who doesn't understand betting.

Since September, I've had a 1,712.2% return on my original stake from betting.
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