I'd take the favourite. It's been a long, long while since De La Hoya beat a top class fighter. But if Oscar's odds go out a touch it might be worth a little gamble.
People might not rate Baldomir as an elite fighter.... but at the turn of the year Zab Judah was in most peoples P4P top 6.
One loss doesn't make you not elite, otherwise DLH wouldn't be considered elite. Still a huge case for Zab Judah to be ranked in the top three Welters.