The ol' betting for the week thread

[Alguiffer]

For Benn vs Algieri I am going with the over (8.5 rounds) at -115.

I like the over, good luck man!

Seriously considering that Over as well. Line is suspiciously low, imo....expected to see -200ish. Gonna watch Benn-Granados before making a final decision

gl gentlemen

I went back to add more to this Over 8.5 at -115 this afternoon only to find that the Over line has now been removed and they now are only accepting money line action. Glad I got in early on it. Same thing happened two weeks ago with Fulton-Figueroa. There was an attractive Over on the Wednesday before the bout and I didn't take it then and instead waited until I got to Vegas to bet just before the fight - boom the over was gone and it would have covered.

[Alguiffer]

Here is an update on the Over 8.5 line. Watching replay of Wilder-Furry III with grandson and he was able to bring the lines up on his phone. The Over 8.5 rounds is now back and listed as -139. I don't drive at night anymore but will get up early to go add more on this line as -139 is still a good line to me for this bout. It was so much easier back in the day when all you had to do was call your bookie and TCB.

[boxlocks]

Here is an update on the Over 8.5 line. Watching replay of Wilder-Furry III with grandson and he was able to bring the lines up on his phone. The Over 8.5 rounds is now back and listed as -139. I don't drive at night anymore but will get up early to go add more on this line as -139 is still a good line to me for this bout. It was so much easier back in the day when all you had to do was call your bookie and TCB.

I played the Ov small at -135. More worried about a ref premature stoppage than anything. Good luck Sir

The rest of my bets are posted at madjacksports...feel free to contribute

[Alguiffer]

I was hoping for a Teddy KGB moment (Pay that man his money) on the Benn - Algieri Over 8.5 in at -115 and again at -139 but it will not be happening. Benn KO'ed Algieri in the 4th - pay the under.

[armageto]

My unders or bust was....mostly bust! I couldn't pass on the Taylor odds. Lee starting a little slow, and Heraldez making no effort to make the weight and fight still happening didn't help. Such is life....

[armageto]

This weekend's podcast. Good luck out there as well guys!:

[armageto]

This week's pod is up! Join Trotman as he discusses the next couple of weeks of action with a fellow Boxrec member/record inputting admin, or whatever Grey's role exactly is.

[armageto]

I think Coffee has some good value at the +150 range. I don't like the weight or way Rice looks at the weigh in.

[Alguiffer]

Thanks for the podcasts - please keep them coming! Agree about Rice's weight he did not look good. I went with the over 6.5 rounds at -134 on the Ortiz - Martin fight.

[jockpunk]

i bet coffie as well at +135.

Don't like that ortiz over bet. I think martin is awful and well get ko'd fairly early unless ortiz is totally shot. That said, it won't surprise me if he is so I am not touching that fight.

[armageto]

I don't know what Coffie was doing. Rice looked exhausted and he did next to nothing, letting Rice get his second wind.

The Martin/Ortiz fight was all over the place. I made a small bet on Martin by stoppage just for fun on the odds. Looked headed that way for a second.

[armageto]

Thanks for the podcasts - please keep them coming! Agree about Rice's weight he did not look good. I went with the over 6.5 rounds at -134 on the Ortiz - Martin fight.

Glad you enjoy them. Sorry you missed your over, there will be plenty of time for a comeback in 2022......

[Alguiffer]

Will be going with Smith by stoppage. Won't get to Turning Stone casino to see the bout live until tomorrow so wont place action until day of the bout. Line will probability not be good for Smith by stoppage so will have to bully the weak line with a big outlay or try a wheel bet to pigeon hole the KO round.

[margaret thatcher]

from what i could find, luis nery opened near -500 vs carlos castro, now down to about -175

as much as nery's more proven, that was at lower weights and questionable circumstances. imo he's nowhere near the force at 122, and in castro he's facing a taller, much longer guy who has boxed at 126 regularly. nery also coming off a punishing loss, castro still has the momentum of an unbeaten hyped guy

would've loved to get on those early odds

[skanksta]

Palace vs Leeds,
Eze shouldn't be 16s first, 13/2 any or 80s two or more for that matter.

[armageto]

Looking at some betting ideas for this weekend's fights, give a listen!

[Fightnight Scores]

Could be some money to be made with the fights this weekend, especially if you fancy slight underdog Ogawa and bigger priced underdog Roman. Whats everyone saying?

I've done a small treble just to keep things interesting:
Ogawa to win
Fulton/Ramon to go the distance
Haney to win a decision

Pays out around 5/1.

[armageto]

I like Haney by decision.

Morrell should be able to stop Henderson when he wants to turn it on. The under looks feasible.

I'm kicking myself in the ass for not taking Cordina in the big +money for the KO prop. I was one of the few (that I saw at least) who thought he would get the stoppage, but like an idiot, never pulled the trigger.

[armageto]

I've been all over the road in this Berlanga vs Angulo fight, from a betting perspective.
Once announced, I thought Angulo would have wider odds, then be a no brainer based on the chance to win vs the odds at hand. He opened up with closer odds than I would have thought.

Then the weigh in, Angulo at 38, misses weight by 1.6 pounds. Manages to lose that weight, but who knows the toll that did to him, or the Benavidez fight two fights prior.

This seems like the perfect setup to create buzz for Berlanga again tonight. The false "He stopped Angulo faster than Benavidez" talk I could see happening, not taking into account what he went thru in that fight, and it's two years later. I can still also see Belanga having some rough patches, even getting caught himself.

I could make a case for either guy winning by stoppage. So the fight won't go the distance at -115 is going to be my play. Angulo, well this is it for his career if he loses basically. A loss here for Belanga, or another subpar fight, and the hype train will go fully off the rails. Both guys "should" be looking to impress, in theory. Just give me some action and a stoppage!! Style wise, it makes sense to me.

[margaret thatcher]

The false "He stopped Angulo faster than Benavidez" talk I could see happening, not taking into account what he went thru in that fight, and it's two years later.

funny enough i remember you hyping luis ortiz stopping raz cojanu. since cojanu went the distance went parker. never mind that cojanu is total pants and had already been brutally stopped even faster by don dennis.. i always remember this, because it highlights to me how funny things get when people buy into the whole 'x stopped ___ faster' stuff. i mean hyping a win over freaking cojanu?

i think the whole 'stopped x faster than' or 'stopped x when y couldn't" is generally overblown, unless someone does it repeatedly against fighters who still are handy and aren't total useless punchbags. currently conor benn''s doing it a lot, blowing guys out faster than spence, garcia, ortiz, etc did......but he's always fighting these guys once theyve already taken beatings

my guess, is that edgar wins a wide decision, but wouldnt be surprised at a stoppage either. i defo dont think it would suggest he's better than benivedez or zurdo though, i agree for sure on that

[armageto]

The false "He stopped Angulo faster than Benavidez" talk I could see happening, not taking into account what he went thru in that fight, and it's two years later.

funny enough i remember you hyping luis ortiz stopping raz cojanu. since cojanu went the distance went parker. never mind that cojanu is total pants and had already been brutally stopped even faster by don dennis.. i always remember this, because it highlights to me how funny things get when people buy into the whole 'x stopped ___ faster' stuff. i mean hyping a win over freaking cojanu?

i think the whole 'stopped x faster than' or 'stopped x when y couldn't" is generally overblown, unless someone does it repeatedly against fighters who still are handy and aren't total useless punchbags. currently conor benn''s doing it a lot, blowing guys out faster than spence, garcia, ortiz, etc did......but he's always fighting these guys once theyve already taken beatings

my guess, is that edgar wins a wide decision, but wouldnt be surprised at a stoppage either. i defo dont think it would suggest he's better than benivedez or zurdo though, i agree for sure on that

I know that he wasn't that good and t wasn't an all star victory. I need the context on how it was used for the discussion. Hyped is probably the wrong word.

I'm also not one to say A beat B and B beat C, so A can beat C. Or one to think just because a fighter wins earlier it definitely means something, etc. Anyhow that sounds like 4 years ago and a weird thing to even remember man....

[armageto]

If it is in regards to any comparison to Parker, well the Fa fight with Browne probably furthers any point I was making against Parker.

He's not that good.

[Fightnight Scores]

I had a nice little win last night.


Shame I only put £2 on it, but a nice win nontheless

[armageto]

I had a nice little win last night.


Shame I only put £2 on it, but a nice win nontheless

Nice and congrats! BOL sadly doesn't offer the half fight predictions, 1-6, 7-12, 6-10, etc. I saw a few people on the Munguia 1-6 and it was a great play.

[armageto]

Another random pod drop for some betting insights. I'm not on this one, but a fellow Boxrec member is: