The ol' betting for the week thread

[oogiebe]

jah would give guido a bad battering

Agree. Guido got back with his am trainer. Sounds of desperation.

[margaret thatcher]

look at that beautiful mug though, tell me that dude shouldnt be in movies or something. the italian gladitor type. hook a bruhther up with an agent ....he should make a run at that before he gets too busted up

[armageto]

I didn't have time to post it here, but did on my Twitter. Grabbed Glanton at +500, that seemed way too wide. As always wish I bet more on him, but a few bucks to add excitement to a fight gave a nice return.

[armageto]

I like Tanajara at -105 on Friday night to open up the TV portion of the card over Zepeda. I think his odds will go more to the - side as the fight gets closer, so seems like good value. Worth a small play to open up the fight card. Robert Garcia should have him ready.

Zepeda seems pretty basic. Even his "power" seems overrated once you look at film and his opponents. If Tanajara was going to fight Machado until he had to pull out due to illness, him and his team know he's above Zepeda's level.

[margaret thatcher]

well , or they thought machado was damaged goods, which seems the case with 3 ko losses in his last 4 fights

havent seen zepeda myself, gonna take a look. seen tanajara and he looks decent enough, skilled tall boxer without much pop

[armageto]

well , or they thought machado was damaged goods, which seems the case with 3 ko losses in his last 4 fights

havent seen zepeda myself, gonna take a look. seen tanajara and he looks decent enough, skilled tall boxer without much pop

That might be a way to look at it. Going into that fight before Tanajara pulled out though, Machado only had the back to back defeats to Cancio. Trouble making 130 and Cancio isn't a bad opponent at all. Unless I'm missing something on Zepeda, I just don't see him having the power his record tells us on film, or being even at a B level in terms of skills. I guess we'll find out tonight.

[boxlocks]

Tanajara by decision +160

Fortuna by decision +400

Fortuna-Diaz Draw +1600


Parlay

Fortuna-Diaz Over 10.5 -280/Ramirez -1200......-215 odds


gl gentlemen

[armageto]

Just based off odds, I took Ramirez rounds 10-12 at +900. Barrera has been durable most of his career, but is 39 and out of the ring for over 2 years. Last time in the ring, he looked ready to go against Hart. For the odds, worth a stab IMO.

[armageto]

Tanajara by decision +160

Fortuna by decision +400

Fortuna-Diaz Draw +1600


Parlay

Fortuna-Diaz Over 10.5 -280/Ramirez -1200......-215 odds


gl gentlemen

The parlay looks solid. I don't think Diaz/Fortuna could hurt each other enough to end it and I can't see Ramirez losing.

The draw is nice odds, and Fortuna at the +400.

I originally was going to grab Tanajara via decision, but thought to play it safe and go outright. Even with his measly 5 KO's, I have an odd feeling he could score something later in the fight. As long as he wins I'm happy, so rooting for the decision. We both can beat the book!

[boxlocks]

Tanajara by decision +160

Fortuna by decision +400

Fortuna-Diaz Draw +1600


Parlay

Fortuna-Diaz Over 10.5 -280/Ramirez -1200......-215 odds


gl gentlemen

The parlay looks solid. I don't think Diaz/Fortuna could hurt each other enough to end it and I can't see Ramirez losing.

The draw is nice odds, and Fortuna at the +400.

I originally was going to grab Tanajara via decision, but thought to play it safe and go outright. Even with his measly 5 KO's, I have an odd feeling he could score something later in the fight. As long as he wins I'm happy, so rooting for the decision. We both can beat the book!

Ya I wasn't confident enough in Tanajara to play him at evens, but the +160 provided enough value to justify a play

Good luck Sir

[armageto]

What do I know about boxing?!? Zepeda whips him. Tana looked stuck in the mud.

[margaret thatcher]

zep was really impressive, tanajara just couldnt get away from him and froze up when attacked

[armageto]

zep was really impressive, tanajara just couldnt get away from him and froze up when attacked

He definitely looked better than the YouTube fights I saw him in. Tanajara's footwork seemed to be terrible tonight as well. Even when leaving the pocket, it looked like he was falling over.

[armageto]

Grabbed Ramirez by KO at +150. He really should feel the urgency to end this by stoppage. With my luck this year, mark down Barrera by UD!! Went small to even out, though it's a nice night if Ramirez ends it 10-12.

[armageto]

Ramirez puts me into the green a little. Can't complain on any + night.

[Alguiffer]

I like the looks of two bouts for Saturday August 14. 1) Gary Antonio Russell moneyline win at -210 over Emmanuel Rodriguez. The way Russell handled the rough and rugged treatment by Payano for a stoppage win last time out was impressive and makes me think he will prevail over Rodriguez. 2) Do not know these fighters as well as Russell & Rodriguez, but I like Joshua Buatsi for stoppage win at -360 over Ricards Boltnicks. I welcome any thoughts. I have about 8 hours before I have to get my quatloos down on these bouts. Thank you.

[Onetimeonly]

I took rigo by ko at +750. Don't think he will win but cas will certainly give him openings.

[armageto]

I like the looks of two bouts for Saturday August 14. 1) Gary Antonio Russell moneyline win at -210 over Emmanuel Rodriguez. The way Russell handled the rough and rugged treatment by Payano for a stoppage win last time out was impressive and makes me think he will prevail over Rodriguez. 2) Do not know these fighters as well as Russell & Rodriguez, but I like Joshua Buatsi for stoppage win at -360 over Ricards Boltnicks. I welcome any thoughts. I have about 8 hours before I have to get my quatloos down on these bouts. Thank you.

I think Buatsi "should" stop him. If he is the real deal, I think he'll put on a great coming out performance tomorrow.

[armageto]

I took rigo by ko at +750. Don't think he will win but cas will certainly give him openings.

I was thinking about taking a stab at Rigo KO as well.

[armageto]

So far I went small with Buatsi/Bolotniks under 6.5 (+105). At + money, and if Buatsi has the talent I think he does, he definitely wins here. It should be by stoppage, as Alguiffer pointed out you can find around -360. I've seen a few people thinking this could be a possible upset. Not sure if that is the odds, Buatsi not looking great two fights ago, etc. I think Buatsi is a higher class and I'll roll the dice for a chance at + money here.

Moloney to beat Franco (-180)- I thought Moloney could improve on their first fight, which he did. The second fight should have been a TKO stoppage for Moloney, instead inept officials called a punch a head butt. So here we are in fight #3. I think Moloney finally gets his revenge tonight on ESPN. I like this on a medium scale on my confidence meter.

Might add another play or two. There is A LOT of action this weekend!

[armageto]

I thought Buatsi had him in the 6th. Bolo is a lot tougher than I imagined, he took a lot in that fight.

Going to add on Rigo Vs. Casi fight won't go the scheduled distance at -155

Grabbed Rigo by KO at +700

I think somebody will get stopped in the fight. Rigo KO odds were too good to pass up.

[armageto]

Style wise, Casi should leave some openings for Rigo for the longshot bet. Rigo's age should make it hard to keep up with Casi over 12 rounds. If it doesn't go 12, I'm good to go. If Rigo manages to stop him, even better. Plus still have Moloney play going as well. A loss on the Buatsi under can be rectified!!

[margaret thatcher]

what rigo has going for him is that casimero often waits for counters, and only throws 1 shot at a time often. that's the type of style rigo may be able to lull into his type of chess match. also, casi's best shot is the left hook, but it's a bit more awkward to land on a southpaw, because their lead arm can more easily block or deflect it on the way there

on casi's side, he's got some serious power, and rigo has been increasingly looking his age despite continuing to win. behind on the cards vs ceja, only a split vs fellow oldie solis. rigo is more hittable than ever, and casi certainly has the power to hurt him and put him down. casi also has good timing himself, which is a great tool vs someone with fast hands like rigo

[Onetimeonly]

Under 6.5 Ortiz at +120
Parlayed Russell/Maloney.

[Alguiffer]

what rigo has going for him is that casimero often waits for counters, and only throws 1 shot at a time often. that's the type of style rigo may be able to lull into his type of chess match. also, casi's best shot is the left hook, but it's a bit more awkward to land on a southpaw, because their lead arm can more easily block or deflect it on the way there

on casi's side, he's got some serious power, and rigo has been increasingly looking his age despite continuing to win. behind on the cards vs ceja, only a split vs fellow oldie solis. rigo is more hittable than ever, and casi certainly has the power to hurt him and put him down. casi also has good timing himself, which is a great tool vs someone with fast hands like rigo

Solid analysis, very helpful - thank you. I have to decide soon on this one in the next five minutes or so. I am up from one win so far today so it will be the house's money.