jamesmcdonnell wrote:Carbo wrote:exittored wrote:
That bit in bold cracked me as it just highlighted your own ignorance of political stategy rather then other peoples. If he'd announced this in October 2012 during the last weeks of the American Election not even the biggest Obama supporter would have bought it and it would have been Political suicide. As the saying goes “You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you cannot fool all of the people all of the time.” You only ever get one 10th anniversary and for the 9/11 attacks this was going to be the occasion when the American and worlds media are going to give the day the same level of media coverage as the original attacks so timing was everything and i have to say they got it just right to announce Bin Ladens capture/death...just a few months before the anniversary is perfect and sellable without coming across as too cynical or convenient. Obama will be all over the 10th Anniversay of 9/11 as the man who brought Bin Laden to justice and that'll carry through to 2012 and his re-election year so no matter what else he does in office for the next 18 months he has at least 'one thing' to hang his hat on. This will also give him a level of trust from a significant amount of Americans if he did want to 'Go to War' with another country so don't be surprised if something like this happens in the next 6 months.
Apologies for not making myself clear, but I don’t think that I ever said that this victory wouldn’t provide Obama with, generally, a great boost in popularity, and some kind of boost come election time. My central point was this: If, indeed, Osama Bin Laden is not dead, and this whole thing is a fake, the effect of this fact being exposed would be utterly devastating (likely impeachment for Obama, crushing electoral defeat for the Democrats, prison for many of those involved, extreme national embarrassment for America, etc). Given those extraordinary risks – which I doubt any president would be crazy enough to take – then if you were willing to do this for political gain, you would also want, and be brazen enough, to maximize that political gain.
If you understood American politics, you would understand two things: first, that while this will be a popular move among all Americans, it will be most popular among folks who will probably vote Republican anyway. Core Democrat voters are more likely to believe that Osama Bin Laden was trumped up by a war mongering president to justify his curtailment of US civil liberties in the Patriot Act and his wars of adventure in the Hindu Kush and Mesopotamia. (Please note the relative terms “most”, “more” before you construct a reply). Second, there is so, so long to go before the US election. Before people step into the voting booth, there’s going to be a hysterical partisan fight about the raising the US debt ceiling, which will dominate all coverage of the president, then there’s going to be the Republican Primaries, which, given the President won’t face a primary challenge himself, will likely get most of the coverage. If they’re anything like the last primaries, they’ll dominate the news for months. Then you have the election itself, which, if recent Republican party behavior is anything to go by, will be filled with almost mass hysteria. The fight over Paul Ryan’s budget, reducing the deficit and debt, Medicare and Medicaid, and economic performance is likely to reach a pitch that we in the UK are wholly unfamiliar with. Between now and then, there'll be a range of, as McMillan said when asked about the hardest thing in politics "Events, dear boy, events" -- scandals, arguments, international crisis, natural disasters, financial calamities, etc.
The point I’m trying to make is that there is now in politics a 24 hour news cycle which turns over stories at an incredible rate. Sure, you could finesse the timing of the announcement (if you could announce it at any time because it was a lie) of Bin Laden’s death, so I'm willing to concede that two weeks before the election isn't the best time; however, the general point stands: you would certainly want a better, more advantageous time than now, if you were going to take those extraordinary risks.
exittored wrote:
You do know that he didn't actually kill any one in the 9/11 attack?
Sorry, but this is a ludicrous distinction you've made. It's like saying that Eisenhower had nothing to do with the orchestration of Operation Market Garden, because it was Montgomery's baby. Well, hell, yes, but Eisenhower was the figurehead of that organization, Montgomery worked for/with him, and was funded with soldiers and materiel that was under Eisenhower's ultimate command.
Maybe Bin Laden wasn't the direct commander of, or brains behind, that operation, but he sure was involved, and given that it's his organization, I think that counts.
Again - where is the evidence he was involved?
James, I’m not being funny, but have you ever bothered to read into this? I mean, as far as I can see, the evidence is pretty clear and plentiful -- but you need to actually go and read it, rather than relying broadsheet opinion columns and leaders and news programs (which don't have the time to list all the evidence, so just state matters as fact). I’m not saying that you’re one of these rambling loons who bases all their views on hokey, slack-jawed YouTube videos -- although there are a few posting here, clearly -- but the evidence is clear.
The hijackers made absolutely no attempt to hide their identities or what they were doing. After the fact, it was easy for the authorities to build a picture of who committed the hijackings and what their plans were. The key man in the hijackings themselves, Mohammed Atta had clear links, though his mosque in Germany and other activities, to Islamist terrorist networks. In addition to this evidence, both American and European intelligence agencies discovered both wire transfers to, and conversations with, Atta involving individuals linked, or known to be working for, Bin Laden’s network.
There are also electronic intercepts between Bin Laden himself and associates from before the attacks, discussing possible attacks on the US which would take place around the time they actually did. There was also ELINT chatter in the days and weeks before the attack which suggested this was going to happen, and the source of that ELINT was Al Qaeda. You must remember that the FBI was apparently trailing two of the men who were suspected of funding it, and the CIA went out to Bush’s ranch to warn Bush that Bin Laden was trying something. Bush completely dismissed him, and while this is a damning indictment of various parts within the US intelligence community, their ability to work with other agencies within the community, and George W Bush’s competency, it’s also further proof that there was a proper connection.
Then, of course, is the fact that Bin Laden has not only admitted that his organization was behind it, but has also carried out -- as everyone admits -- a range of terrorist attacks against America and American assets in the Middle East and East Africa, as well as being closely associated with al Zawahiri, who’d already bombed the World Trade Centre in the early nineties.
Then there’s Khallid Sheikh Mohammad, who most feel took the leading role in the planning of the operation, and was himself scheduled to be a hijacker before not being able to make it to the states, who, without doubt worked with/for Bin Laden.
If Bin Laden wasn’t directly involved, then his organization, or, to put it another way, the organization for which he aided in the funding and operational control, certainly was. But then, of course, there’s the fact he has said, on many, many occasions, that they did do it, that Al-Qaeda, if not Bin Laden, claimed responsibility immediately, and there’s a video tape in which he is seen to be planning the operation.
I can’t remember all. There’s literally an orgy of evidence connecting him, James, you just have to want to go and find it. Wikipedia would probably be a great place to start, as it has links to source material, etc.