Riddick Blowe wrote:I would actually give Khan a chance to win this one...
Actually, nah. Kotelnik hits harder than Limond, has a tight defence and great chin. He's just going to stick around for the whole fight and wait for Khan to gas. I would give Khan a better chance of beating Kotelnik than Diaz just because Diaz would throw more. But Kotelnik is so sound he is going to land a few on Khan, and while not a huge hitter at light welter, has the extra weight to rival anyone who was capable of blowing Khan out down at lightweight.
Kotelnik KO 7.
agree pretty much 100% especially the last bit. maybe Khan will go 9 or 10 but i just can't see him going 12. agree with you too Riddick Blowe
for Khan to outwork Andreas he'll be putting himself in range often enough to allow Kotelnik's excellent punch-picking ability to come through.
Kotelnik has superior chin, boxing brain, experience, and defence than Khan's. Khan's edge is in handspeed and the size of his frame but if you add them to a ten year old's boxing IQ and a 12 year old's chin it doesn't match well with Kotelnik's upside, IMO.
I can see Kotelnik frsutrating him for the early going, letting him bounce punches off that double guard- which, by the way, see how much trouble Khan had getting anything through St Clair's guard or even to a lesser extent the Danish fella- and picking shots. at some point either Khan will gas or more likely get put on the backfoot by a counter. then Kotelnik gradually works him to the point where Khan's chin (or liver) gives way.
also bennie also whilst Kotelnik might not seem to have much of a punch or blazing handspeed, he's got 'just enough' of both. he certainly hits harder than Willie Limond, and is a darn sight better boxer than Prescott
Kotelnik is also a good, subtle bodypuncher, with the left especially, he nearly bent Adbullaev in two with one right at the end of a round i think the 9th or so. Khan better not linger on the inside here, where many of his offensive advantages are negated, and his defensive liabilites, not to mention lapses in concentration, are magnified. khan will need to be able to move for the whole 12 rounds because every time he misses or bounces 2 or 3 off the guard, he's going to get clipped by quick accurate shots
I, too, am very confident Kotelnik wins. kindof a shame as, as forums go, I'm something of a Khan fan, as much as such a thing exists.