Fair points, but some heavyweight bullies -- your description of Joshua, not mine -- didn't do too badly: Liston, Foreman, Tyson.johnswan1 wrote:I would also put forward that any fighter with the offensive force that AJ is will be less likely to struggle against journeymen etc. because of his power. As soon as he starts landing, his opponent is hurt and less likely to offer much offensive threat of their own and goes into a survival mode where they do not even attempt to test the prospect. Really do you think any Olympic gold medal winner would struggle to beat the version of each AJ opponent as he has faced?
I don’t think you can make comparisons based on first ten fights etc. because guys without the offence tools that AJ has at his disposal will of course do more rounds with the journeymen they face, and will of course take more shots as a result of doing those rounds, but that is all part of the learning experience – an experience that AJ, like Price before him is not getting.
As for odds and house fighters. I agree if the match up is made by a shrewd matchmaker then you have to consider the matchmaker factor you described, but as of now the promotional company has not put forward any of Stiverne/Pulev/Jennings as a targeted opponent, and hence the factor is not actually a factor at all when compiling theoretical odds which are supposedly based on if two fighters were forced to meet, not if AJs matchmaker were to choose him as an opponent.
Bottom line, AJ has not been hit, he hasn’t been in with an opponent who can hit, he hasn’t been put under pressure, he hasn’t yet been in with a guy whose gameplan is anything other than damage limitation. The questions with AJ for now are what will happen when the bully gets bullied, and what has he learned during his pro apprenticeship to date to get him through that time when it inevitably comes?
I don't like to knock David Price, but, have to say it, he was stopped by Stiverne in the amateurs and, no other way to put it, destroyed by Cammarelle, whereas Joshua has stood up to pressure and heavy hits from top-level amateurs, including the aforementioned Roberto Cammarelle. Everything I understand about Joshua is that he puts in the work that a heavyweight championship aspirant needs to put in. A UK bookmaker is offering a price of 10-1 on that Joshua wins a version of the world heavyweight title before Jan. 1, 2020 and 11/10 on that Joshua does it before Jan. 1, 2017. Bookmakers always let head rule heart. They're basically saying that in their view, AJ is roughly even money to have won a world heavyweight title before the next 18 months is up. That's a pretty big vote of confidence in AJ and maybe explains why my completely unofficial odds on AJ vs Pulev etc. were as high as they were.