Betting thread

SeanBrennan
Bantamweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by SeanBrennan »

jwfg wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 15:22
TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 14:58
jwfg wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 11:36

No, betting is about winning and losing. There is zero value in a losing bet, ZERO. I bet on AJ when he was 1/4, then again at 2/7 and even more at 1/3. Guess who won all of his bets last night? Me.

You still "think it's a bad bet"?
That was a good bet. It turns out that Joshua was probably more accurately priced at about 1/20. Definitely would be near that if they had a rematch.

You don't understand gambling and will end up losing your dosh mate.
So it was a bad bet last night at 2/7, but today it's a good one? Maybe it's you who doesn't understand betting.

Since September, I've had a 1,712.2% return on my original stake from betting.
fair play mate,
TheLeprechaun
Middleweight
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Joined: 27 Jun 2013, 20:42

Re: Betting thread

Post by TheLeprechaun »

jwfg wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 15:22
TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 14:58
jwfg wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 11:36

No, betting is about winning and losing. There is zero value in a losing bet, ZERO. I bet on AJ when he was 1/4, then again at 2/7 and even more at 1/3. Guess who won all of his bets last night? Me.

You still "think it's a bad bet"?
That was a good bet. It turns out that Joshua was probably more accurately priced at about 1/20. Definitely would be near that if they had a rematch.

You don't understand gambling and will end up losing your dosh mate.
So it was a bad bet last night at 2/7, but today it's a good one? Maybe it's you who doesn't understand betting.

Since September, I've had a 1,712.2% return on my original stake from betting.

I thought it was a bad bet before the fight but judging by the fact that he looked a 1/20 shot you have to say that it had value at 2/7.

I've got 1.5k on William Zepeda to KO Maxi Hughes at 1.62. That's what you call a good bet.
jwfg
Super Flyweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jwfg »

TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 20:19
jwfg wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 15:22
TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 14:58

That was a good bet. It turns out that Joshua was probably more accurately priced at about 1/20. Definitely would be near that if they had a rematch.

You don't understand gambling and will end up losing your dosh mate.
So it was a bad bet last night at 2/7, but today it's a good one? Maybe it's you who doesn't understand betting.

Since September, I've had a 1,712.2% return on my original stake from betting.

I thought it was a bad bet before the fight but judging by the fact that he looked a 1/20 shot you have to say that it had value at 2/7.

I've got 1.5k on William Zepeda to KO Maxi Hughes at 1.62. That's what you call a good bet.
Only if it wins mate. Good luck, I hope it comes in. :TU:
SeanBrennan
Bantamweight
Posts: 9634
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Re: Betting thread

Post by SeanBrennan »

jwfg wrote: 10 Mar 2024, 07:36
TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 20:19
jwfg wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 15:22

So it was a bad bet last night at 2/7, but today it's a good one? Maybe it's you who doesn't understand betting.

Since September, I've had a 1,712.2% return on my original stake from betting.

I thought it was a bad bet before the fight but judging by the fact that he looked a 1/20 shot you have to say that it had value at 2/7.

I've got 1.5k on William Zepeda to KO Maxi Hughes at 1.62. That's what you call a good bet.
Only if it wins mate. Good luck, I hope it comes in. :TU:
jesus does that mean you've bet £1500?
The_Don1
Heavyweight
Heavyweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by The_Don1 »

SeanBrennan wrote: 11 Mar 2024, 19:09
jwfg wrote: 10 Mar 2024, 07:36
TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 20:19


I thought it was a bad bet before the fight but judging by the fact that he looked a 1/20 shot you have to say that it had value at 2/7.

I've got 1.5k on William Zepeda to KO Maxi Hughes at 1.62. That's what you call a good bet.
Only if it wins mate. Good luck, I hope it comes in. :TU:
jesus does that mean you've bet £1500?
sounds like it, stands to win £930 should it come in, as the price is now 1.28, I'd say it's a good bet regardless of whether it lands or not.
SeanBrennan
Bantamweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by SeanBrennan »

The_Don1 wrote: 12 Mar 2024, 07:46
SeanBrennan wrote: 11 Mar 2024, 19:09
jwfg wrote: 10 Mar 2024, 07:36

Only if it wins mate. Good luck, I hope it comes in. :TU:
jesus does that mean you've bet £1500?
sounds like it, stands to win £930 should it come in, as the price is now 1.28, I'd say it's a good bet regardless of whether it lands or not.
cheers Don, I know bugger all about betting, just intrigued.
IrishGuy
Middleweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by IrishGuy »

I'd need a screenshot to believe was ever them odds
1504017
Flyweight
Posts: 5
Joined: 14 Mar 2024, 12:50

Re: Betting thread

Post by 1504017 »

TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 20:19
jwfg wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 15:22
TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 14:58

Claiming casino bonuses can sometimes seem like a risky strategy, but with the right knowledge, it can be a winning strategy. Understanding the odds and value of each offer is key to maximizing profits. At AussieCasinoReviewer you will find reviews of various casinos with different bonuses, such as the free spins no deposit bonus. These reviews can help you navigate the world of bonuses and find the best deals for your gaming style.
So it was a bad bet last night at 2/7, but today it's a good one? Maybe it's you who doesn't understand betting.

Since September, I've had a 1,712.2% return on my original stake from betting.

I thought it was a bad bet before the fight but judging by the fact that he looked a 1/20 shot you have to say that it had value at 2/7.

I've got 1.5k on William Zepeda to KO Maxi Hughes at 1.62. That's what you call a good bet.
Wow, that's not just a good bet, it's a super good bet
Last edited by 1504017 on 20 Mar 2024, 19:15, edited 1 time in total.
Coco
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Heavyweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by Coco »

1504017 wrote: 18 Mar 2024, 14:44
TheLeprechaun wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 20:19
jwfg wrote: 09 Mar 2024, 15:22

So it was a bad bet last night at 2/7, but today it's a good one? Maybe it's you who doesn't understand betting.

Since September, I've had a 1,712.2% return on my original stake from betting.

I thought it was a bad bet before the fight but judging by the fact that he looked a 1/20 shot you have to say that it had value at 2/7.

I've got 1.5k on William Zepeda to KO Maxi Hughes at 1.62. That's what you call a good bet.
Wow, that's not just a good bet, it's a super good bet
Yeah but a lot of money to lose if the fella got cut
TheLeprechaun
Middleweight
Posts: 5137
Joined: 27 Jun 2013, 20:42

Re: Betting thread

Post by TheLeprechaun »

I'm watching Campbell Hattons opponent and I'd love to bet him but the robbery that Hatton got before (Marcus McDonnell bent as a two bob note in that one) really puts me off sadly.
JamesPhilips
Super Bantamweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by JamesPhilips »

TheLeprechaun wrote: 19 Mar 2024, 16:29 I'm watching Campbell Hattons opponent and I'd love to bet him but the robbery that Hatton got before (Marcus McDonnell bent as a two bob note in that one) really puts me off sadly.
Right!
SeanBrennan
Bantamweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by SeanBrennan »

no one can comfortably bet vs Hatton on MR cards sadly. If he got knocked out twice he'd a get MD win.
TheLeprechaun
Middleweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by TheLeprechaun »

You know they will roll out Markus McDonnell again. As Frank (Kellie) Maloney used to say - At least Dick Turpin wore a mask when he robbed you.

I'm not sure what the upside of Campbell getting helped to wins over journeymen types is? He's not going to become an operator at Brit level, nevermind World level.
The_Don1
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Re: Betting thread

Post by The_Don1 »

TheLeprechaun wrote: 19 Mar 2024, 17:47 You know they will roll out Markus McDonnell again. As Frank (Kellie) Maloney used to say - At least Dick Turpin wore a mask when he robbed you.

I'm not sure what the upside of Campbell getting helped to wins over journeymen types is? He's not going to become an operator at Brit level, nevermind World level.
It's probably to save face for Matchroom putting their money behind him, they know he's a dud, and likely looking for the right time to cash him out, this isn't it.
ardybo
Super Middleweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by ardybo »

Anyone fancy Brian Mendoza to win tonight?
jwfg
Super Flyweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jwfg »

Hughie by stoppage at an incredibly generous 1/4. 25% return on your money.
My T Sharp
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Re: Betting thread

Post by My T Sharp »

:clap:
cutsman
Super Middleweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by cutsman »

Any value to be had on the undercard of Fury v Usyk?
I’m picking Usyk for the main event but IMO it’s a 50/50 fight reflected in the odds
jwfg
Super Flyweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jwfg »

cutsman wrote: 17 May 2024, 05:45 Any value to be had on the undercard of Fury v Usyk?
I’m picking Usyk for the main event but IMO it’s a 50/50 fight reflected in the odds
Cordina and Opetaia outright for me. :TU:
Frostieballs
Super Bantamweight
Posts: 1995
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Re: Betting thread

Post by Frostieballs »

cutsman wrote: 17 May 2024, 05:45 Any value to be had on the undercard of Fury v Usyk?
I’m picking Usyk for the main event but IMO it’s a 50/50 fight reflected in the odds
All the value is with Usyk. He’s not even the favourite!
WestEndRiot
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Re: Betting thread

Post by WestEndRiot »

cutsman wrote: 17 May 2024, 05:45 Any value to be had on the undercard of Fury v Usyk?
I’m picking Usyk for the main event but IMO it’s a 50/50 fight reflected in the odds
I like Kabayal to best Sanchez at 13/8. He looked good last time out, and Sanchez hasn't overly impressed me.

Another one is Moses Itauma. He's widely expected to get the early KO, but the prices for round betting are mental as you get to R4 and beyond, gotta be worth a quid or 2
jwfg
Super Flyweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jwfg »

WestEndRiot wrote: 17 May 2024, 11:15
cutsman wrote: 17 May 2024, 05:45 Any value to be had on the undercard of Fury v Usyk?
I’m picking Usyk for the main event but IMO it’s a 50/50 fight reflected in the odds
I like Kabayal to best Sanchez at 13/8. He looked good last time out, and Sanchez hasn't overly impressed me.

Another one is Moses Itauma. He's widely expected to get the early KO, but the prices for round betting are mental as you get to R4 and beyond, gotta be worth a quid or 2
1/20 for Moses by stoppage is good value, I had to shop around a fair bit to get it, but it's good value. 5% return on your money.
WestEndRiot
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Re: Betting thread

Post by WestEndRiot »

jwfg wrote: 17 May 2024, 11:19
WestEndRiot wrote: 17 May 2024, 11:15
cutsman wrote: 17 May 2024, 05:45 Any value to be had on the undercard of Fury v Usyk?
I’m picking Usyk for the main event but IMO it’s a 50/50 fight reflected in the odds
I like Kabayal to best Sanchez at 13/8. He looked good last time out, and Sanchez hasn't overly impressed me.

Another one is Moses Itauma. He's widely expected to get the early KO, but the prices for round betting are mental as you get to R4 and beyond, gotta be worth a quid or 2
1/20 for Moses by stoppage is good value, I had to shop around a fair bit to get it, but it's good value. 5% return on your money.
:lol:
Just to be clear, what i specifically meant was Moses in...
R5 40/1,
R6 66/1
R7 100/1 &
R8 100/1
jwfg
Super Flyweight
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Re: Betting thread

Post by jwfg »

WestEndRiot wrote: 17 May 2024, 11:49
jwfg wrote: 17 May 2024, 11:19
WestEndRiot wrote: 17 May 2024, 11:15

I like Kabayal to best Sanchez at 13/8. He looked good last time out, and Sanchez hasn't overly impressed me.

Another one is Moses Itauma. He's widely expected to get the early KO, but the prices for round betting are mental as you get to R4 and beyond, gotta be worth a quid or 2
1/20 for Moses by stoppage is good value, I had to shop around a fair bit to get it, but it's good value. 5% return on your money.
:lol:
Just to be clear, what i specifically meant was Moses in...
R5 40/1,
R6 66/1
R7 100/1 &
R8 100/1
I knew what you meant. :TU: I just don't think it'll go to the 5th, so for me, it ain't good value. Just my opinion. :D
margaret thatcher
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Re: Betting thread

Post by margaret thatcher »

moses is the knockover king, guy will probably tumble quickly from a glancing shot and then get counted out while grinning
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